Why investors and economists differ on odds of rate call

Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 22-Sep-16

Financial markets consider that there is a near-even chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate in the first half of 2017. In contrast, the general consensus of economists is that there will be at least one more rate cut in the current monetary policy easing cycle. JP Morgan economist Tom Kennedy expects the central bank to reduce the cash rate by another 50 basis points, while James Woods of Rivkin Securities suggests that there are limits to what monetary policy can achieve in terms of economic stimulus.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RIVKIN SECURITIES PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

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