Foodland edges out Aldi for customer satisfaction

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 10-Dec-18

New research from Roy Morgan shows that customer satisfaction with Foodland in the six months to October was 91%, giving the South Australia-based supermarket a third straight monthly win ahead of Aldi on 89%. Coles is on 85%, just ahead of Woolworths on 84% with IGA taking fifth position on 80%. The overall supermarket customer satisfaction across the industry was 85%, representing an overall decline of 6% in customer satisfaction compared to this time a year ago. These are the latest results from Roy Morgan’s ‘Retail Satisfaction Report-Supermarkets’, which is based on in-depth personal interviews conducted face-to-face with over 50,000 Australians per annum in their own home, including over 11,000 main supermarket shoppers.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, FOODLAND SUPERMARKETS, ALDI STORES SUPERMARKETS PTY LTD, COLES SUPERMARKETS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, WOOLWORTHS SUPERMARKETS, IGA

Weak wages a threat to Xmas sales

Original article by John Kehoe, Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 6-Dec-18

The latest GDP data shows that the Australian economy expanded by just 0.3 per cent in the September quarter, compared with economists’ expectations of 0.6 per cent growth. Economists have attributed the fall in consumer spending to low wages growth and raised concerns about the outlook for retail sales during the Christmas trading period. Recent research by the Australian Retailers Association and Roy Morgan found that Christmas spending will increase by 2.9 per cent in 2018. The GDP data may affect the timing of any change in official interest rates, but the federal government still expects to post a Budget surplus in 2019-20.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN RETAILERS ASSOCIATION, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, MJ BALE, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, RETAIL APPAREL GROUP PTY LTD, CITIBANK PTY LTD

Woolworths extends lead over Coles in seafood

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Dec-18

Roy Morgan’s latest Supermarket & Fresh Food Currency Report shows that Woolworths has a 27.4% share of Australia’s fresh food market, ahead of Coles (24.6%) and Aldi (9.8%). In fresh seafood, which accounts for 7 per cent of the overall fresh food sector, stand-alone shops still have the largest market share in dollar terms. However, among supermarkets Woolworths has opened up a strong lead over rival Coles during the 12 months to September 2018. Woolworths also continues to hold the largest market share in dollar terms of fresh meat, fresh deli, fresh bread and fresh fruit and vegetables, although Coles has narrowed the market share gap in all those categories in the 12 months to September. The Supermarket & Fresh Food Currency Report is compiled from data collected as part of Roy Morgan’s Single Source survey, which involves more than 50,000 in-home, face-to-face interviews each year, including more than 12,000 detailed surveys of grocery and fresh food buying behaviour.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, COLES GROUP LIMITED – ASX COL, ALDI STORES SUPERMARKETS PTY LTD

‘Totally frigging mad’: Harvey lashes critics

Original article by Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 18 : 28-Nov-18

Furniture and consumer electronics retailer Harvey Norman incurred a "first strike" against its remuneration report at its AGM on 27 November. It will face a board spill in 2019 if a sufficient number of shareholders vote down the remuneration report again. Chairman Garry Harvey was not very happy about those who have criticised it over various issues, including the independence of its directors and loans to franchisees. Commenting on its share price, which has by fallen 22 per cent in 2018, Harvey said it presents a good opportunity for Harvey Norman to be privatised.

CORPORATES
HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Coles steps out alone to mixed reviews

Original article by Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 23-Nov-18

Macquarie and Goldman Sachs have contrasting views on the prospects of Coles following the food and liquor retailer’s demerger from Wesfarmers. Macquarie has a "neutral" recommendation on Coles stock and a 12-month price target of $13.48, while Goldman Sachs rates it as a "buy" with a 12-month target of $14.80. Both Macquarie and Goldman Sachs believe that Coles can lift its earnings by boosting sales from fresh food and private label products. Macquarie also believes that Wesfarmers now has up to $10 billion to spend on possible acquisitions.

CORPORATES
COLES GROUP LIMITED – ASX COL, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, KAUFLAND STIFTUNG & CO KG, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED

New era as Coles breaks free

Original article by Eli Greenblat, Sarah-Jane Tasker
The Australian – Page: 17 & 20 : 22-Nov-18

Shares in Coles Group closed at $12.75 on 21 November, after the stock listed at $12.49 following its demerger from Wesfarmers. Coles has a market capitalisation of about $16bn, ranking it among Australia’s 20 largest listed companies. Alphinity Investment Management’s Bruce Smith expects some volatility in Coles’ share price in the near-term, as investors decide whether to buy into the stock or sell their holdings. Vertium Asset Management’s Jason Teh adds that Coles has a higher level of higher investment risk than grocery rival Woolworths.

CORPORATES
COLES GROUP LIMITED – ASX COL, ALPHINITY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, VERTIUM ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, ALDI STORES SUPERMARKETS PTY LTD, COSTCO WHOLESALE AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, ARISTOCRAT LEISURE LIMITED – ASX ALL

2018 Christmas retails sales to grow 2.9% to $51.5 billion

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Nov-18

Roy Morgan’s annual Christmas retail sales forecasts indicate that Australians will spend nearly $51.5bn across retail stores during the 46-day Christmas trading period from November 9-December 24. This is 2.9% than the $50bn of retail expenditure during the 2017 Christmas trading period. Growth in retail expenditure is predicted across all six categories measured, with spending on Food expected to grow the fastest (3.7%) from a year ago to nearly $21 billion. Also expected to enjoy strong growth are Hospitality businesses (up 3.2% to over $7.3bn) and Apparel & Household Goods (up 3.1% to $4bn). The Christmas retail sales forecasts are conducted in conjunction with the Australian Retailers Association.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN RETAILERS ASSOCIATION

Coles finally checks out from Wesfarmers

Original article by Eli Greenblat, Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 19 & 29 : 16-Nov-18

The demerger of grocery giant Coles was supported by more than 98 per cent of votes cast at a special meeting of Wesfarmers shareholders on 15 November. The Perth-based conglomerate will retain a 15 per cent stake in Coles when its shares begin trading on a deferred settlement basis on 21 November. Wesfarmers chairman Michael Chaney has dismissed any concerns about an overhang, stressing that the company intends to retain its Coles stake in the long-term. Wesfarmers shareholders will be allocated Coles shares on a one-for-one basis.

CORPORATES
WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, COLES GROUP LIMITED, BUNNINGS GROUP LIMITED, WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, ALDI STORES SUPERMARKETS PTY LTD, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, METCASH LIMITED – ASX MTS

Woolies to return $1.7b to shareholders

Original article by Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 13-Nov-18

Shaun Cousins of JP Morgan estimates that the sale of Woolworths’ fuel retailing business will reduce earnings per share by 7.4 per cent in 2020 and 8.1 per cent in 2021. However, the impact on EPS would be lower if Woolworths opts to return the proceeds of the sale to shareholders via a buyback. Woolworths is widely tipped to return most of the sale proceeds to investors, having initially flagged its intention to use some of the funds to reduce to debt and finance store refurbishments.

CORPORATES
WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, EG GROUP, MASTERS HOME IMPROVEMENT AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, BP PLC, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, BIG W DISCOUNT STORES, AUSTRALIAN LEISURE AND HOSPITALITY GROUP LIMITED, ENDEAVOUR DRINKS

Woolworths lures back fickle shoppers to regain share

Original article by Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 24 : 2-Nov-18

Woolworths has advised that its Australian supermarkets recorded same-store sales growth of 1.8 per cent in the September quarter, compared with 3.1 per cent in the three months to June. In contrast, Coles posted same-store sales growth of 5.1 per cent, due to its successful Little Shop promotion and its decision to extend an offer of free reusable shopping bags. However, Woolworths CEO Brad Banducci says same-store sales improved in September and October. Woolworths’ average food prices fell by one per cent in the September quarter as it extended price discounts to more grocery products.

CORPORATES
WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, WOOLWORTHS SUPERMARKETS, COLES SUPERMARKETS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, BIG W DISCOUNT STORES, ENDEAVOUR DRINKS, AUSTRALIAN LEISURE AND HOSPITALITY GROUP LIMITED, DEUTSCHE BANK AG