Odds of post-election rate cut mispriced, says Ellerston

Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 31 : 10-May-19

Financial market traders have priced in a 20 per cent chance of an official interest rate cut in June, after the Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate on hold in May. Brett Gillespie of Ellerston Capital argues that the central bank would have wanted to avoid adjusting monetary policy during an election campaign, as it could potentially have been accused of influencing the outcome of the election. He expects a rate cut in June, stating that the RBA’s mandate requires it to do so as soon as possible.

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