The share of mortgage holders At Risk of mortgage stress fell in July after the Stage 3 tax cuts

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 28-Aug-24

New research from Roy Morgan shows that 1,604,000 mortgage holders (29.8%) were ‘At Risk’ of ‘mortgage stress’ in the three months to July 2024. This represents a decrease of 0.5% points on the June figures after the introduction of the Stage 3 tax cuts in July increased household income for millions of Australians, including many mortgage holders. The level of mortgage holders ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress is set to fall further over the next few months. However, a reduction in mortgage stress will not happen if the Reserve Bank board decides to raise interest rates at its next meeting in September. The number of Australians ‘At Risk’ of mortgage stress has increased by 797,000 since May 2022, when the RBA began a cycle of interest rate increases. Meanwhile, the number of mortgage holders considered to be ‘Extremely At Risk’ of mortgage stress is now numbered at 982,000 (18.9% of mortgage holders), which is significantly above the long-term average over the last 10 years of 14.5%. These are the latest findings from Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey, based on in-depth interviews conducted with over 60,000 Australians each year, including over 10,000 owner-occupied mortgage-holders.

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