Author: roymorgansocial

Fairfax ‘reviews’ its papers

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Original article by Jake Mitchell
The Australian – Page: 23 : 11-Aug-16

Fairfax Media has posted a 2015-16 net loss of $A893.5m, following a profit of $A83.2m in 2014-15. The latest result was marred by a $A1bn writedown in the value of its newspapers. The listed media group’s underlying net profit was 7.6 per cent lower at $A132.5m, and revenue fell by 0.6 per cent to $A1.83bn. CEO Greg Hywood says the company will consider all options for its publishing businesses, adding that the Australian Community Media regional newspapers business is under review.

CORPORATES
FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, AUSTRALIAN COMMUNITY MEDIA PTY LTD, DOMAIN.COM.AU, PLATINUM EQUITY HOLDINGS, SENSIS PTY LTD, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, GRESHAM PARTNERS LIMITED, NEWS CORP AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

NAB forecasts more cuts in interest rates

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 10-Aug-16

National Australia Bank expects the Reserve Bank to reduce the cash rate by another 50 basis points in the next 12 months, to a record low of one per cent. The banking major anticipates rate cuts in both May and August 2017. Meanwhile, NAB’s latest monthly survey shows that both business sentiment and business conditions declined in July 2016. Likewise, the ANZ Bank-Roy Morgan consumer sentiment index fell by 2.8 per cent in the first week of August.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

Gary Morgan’s comment on this week’s Consumer Confidence & Business Confidence – both down

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 10-Aug-16

This week’s fall in ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence – down 3.3pts to 114.7 – follows a similar fall in Roy Morgan Business Confidence during July – down 3.4pts to 116.1. Both falls come as the new Turnbull Government deals with a closer than expected Federal Election result and a record 11 Senate cross-benchers. Although that might at first appear to be a huge problem for the Turnbull Government, the fact that most of the new cross-benchers in the Senate are right-of-centre should make dealing with the Senate easier during this term of Parliament than it was during the last term and it should be possible for the Government to pass its reforms with corporate tax cuts and the Australian Building & Construction Commission (ABCC) to increase workplace productivity. The RBA’s decision to cut interest rates to a record low 1.25% last week is a step in the right direction to stimulate the broader Australian economy; however, a further cut of 1% at the RBA’s next meeting is required to be competitive with international competitors including the US & UK and deal with the rising $A and slowing Australian economy after the end of the mining boom.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN BUILDING AND CONSTRUCTION COMMISSION

Forrest slams Grylls over tax threat

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Original article by Julie-anne Sprague, Tess Ingram
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 10-Aug-16

Fortescue Metals Group founder Andrew Forrest has criticised a proposal by new Western Australian National Party leader Brendan Grylls to impose an iron ore tax on BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto. Grylls has proposed changes to state agreements with the two resources giants to increase the levy on iron ore out from $A0.25 per tonne to $A5. Fortescue would not be affected as its state agreement is more recent. Grylls says the levy will not proceed if BHP and Rio successfully lobby the Federal Government to overhaul the system for distributing GST revenue.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, WESTERN AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET, MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA

Elliott steadies the ship at ANZ

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 21 & 25 : 10-Aug-16

The ANZ Bank has posted a cash profit of $A5.2bn for the nine months to 30 June 2016, which is three per cent lower than previously. ANZ’s earnings for the June 2016 quarter were below expectations at around $A1.7bn, while bad debt charges rose to $A482m during the quarter. Meanwhile, CEO Shayne Elliott has defended the banks’ decision to pass on only part of the 25 basis point reduction in the cash rate to home loan customers and increase the interest rates on some term deposits.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence takes a hit – down 3.3pts to 114.7

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 10-Aug-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence has fallen by 2.8 per cent to 114.7 in the week ending 7 August 2016. This is a surprising result given that the RBA cut the cash rate to a historic low of 1.5 per cent last Tuesday. While the drop is disappointing, overall confidence remains well above its long run average. The deterioration in confidence was relatively broadly based. Consumers’ views of their current finances fell by 2.4 per cent, and households’ views of the economic outlook in the next 12 months fell by 8.5 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Down for the count: census thrown into chaos

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Original article by Simone Fox Koob, Rosie Lewis
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 10-Aug-16

Concerns about the Australian Bureau of Statistics’ management of personal information have been underscored by the failure of its website to cope with the nation’s inaugural digital-first census. Many people who tried to fill out their census form online on 9 August 2016 encountered server problems, with the website either not available or generating error messages. Some federal politicians have refused to put their name on the census form due to fears that such information will be retained for much longer than in the past.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, THE STATISTICAL SOCIETY OF AUSTRALIA INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, NICK XENOPHON TEAM

News Corp sees a property-led future

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Original article by Max Mason
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 14 : 10-Aug-16

Media giant News Corporation has posted a 2015-16 profit of $US179m, compared with a $US147m loss in 2014-15. Group revenue was three per cent lower at $US8.3bn, while its newspaper division’s revenue was down seven per cent at $US5.3bn. However, revenue at its digital real estate services business rose by 32 per cent to $US822m. This division includes property listings businesses such as REA Group and Realtor.com. News Corp CEO Robert Thomson expects the division to become the group’s biggest source of earnings.

CORPORATES
NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, REALTOR.COM, MOVE INCORPORATED, IPROPERTY GROUP LIMITED, NEWS CORP AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, FOXTEL MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, NEWS AMERICA MARKETING INCORPORATED, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS

REA banks on property snoops to fuel global push

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Original article by Darren Davidson
The Australian – Page: 21 : 10-Aug-16

Australian-listed REA Group has posted a 2015-16 net profit of $A214m, which is 16 per cent higher than previously. The real estate listings business recorded revenue growth of 20 per cent, to $A629.8m, while EBITDA rose by 22 per cent to $A347.3m. CEO Tracey Fellows expects a plan to combine the property listings of REA’s realestate.com.au with those of Move to boost the group’s revenue.

CORPORATES
REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, REALESTATE.COM.AU, MOVE INCORPORATED, NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, DOMAIN.COM.AU

Cutting rates to get the $A lower brings risks to the economy

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 10-Aug-16

The Australian dollar has risen above $US0.76 since the Reserve Bank reduced the cash rate to a record low of 1.5 per cent on 2 August 2016. The currency has benefited from the fact that the local cash rate is still quite high relative to many countries, so further money policy easing may be necessary in order to put sustained downward pressure on the dollar. However, this strategy has economic risks, such as the potential to undermine consumer confidence. Indeed, the ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating fell by 2.8 per cent to 114.7 in the first week of August.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, TD SECURITIES, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BANK OF JAPAN, ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT