Author: roymorgansocial

In October: Real unemployment in Australia is 8.8% (up 0.5% in a month); but down 0.3% from a year ago (9.1%)

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Nov-15

A Roy Morgan Research survey on Australia’s labour market has found that the real unemployment rate was 8.8 per cent in October 2015, compared with 9.1 per cent 12 months earlier. The number of people in the workforce now totals 12,663,000 (up 654,000 since October 2014), while the number of people who are under-employed has fallen by 29,000 in the last 12 months to 1,088,000 (8.6 per cent of the workforce). The official unemployment rate was 6.2 per cent in September 2015. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says the Federal Government’s main priority must be to eliminate the sizeable "cash economy" in Australia, which will free-up the labour market and have a much bigger impact on increasing productivity and employment growth than a simple increase in the GST.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, 7-ELEVEN STORES PTY LTD, UNITED PETROLEUM PTY LTD, BAKER’S DELIGHT HOLDINGS LIMITED, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, NANDO’S AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, SUBWAY SANDWICHES PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. FAIR WORK COMMISSION

Woolworths dividend and rating at risk

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Original article by Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 4-Nov-15

Ian Chitterer of ratings agency Moody’s says Australian-listed Woolworths needs to take action to arrest a decline in same-store sales. Chitterer will meet with the retailer’s executives shortly, and he says Woolworths may need to consider measures such as asset sales and a reduction in its dividend payout. Moody’s downgraded Woolworths’ credit rating in August 2015, while Standard & Poor’s did so in late October.

CORPORATES
WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, BIG W DISCOUNT STORES, MASTERS HOME IMPROVEMENT AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, TESCO PLC

Kikki.K just outpaces Smiggle

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Original article by Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 4-Nov-15

Australian retailer Kikki.K has posted a 2014-15 net profit of $A1.1m, while sales rose by 28 per cent to $A60.9m. The stationery retailer’s sales and store numbers have risen strongly in the last five years. Rival stationery retailer Smiggle posted sales of $A132.6m in fiscal 2015, which is 26 per cent higher than previously, while OfficeWorks’ sales were up 8.8 per cent at $A1.7bn.

CORPORATES
KIKKI.K PTY LTD, SMIGGLE PTY LTD, PREMIER INVESTMENTS LIMITED – ASX PMV, OFFICEWORKS SUPERSTORES PTY LTD, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, BOOST JUICE PTY LTD, ECORP LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, JURLIQUE INTERNATIONAL PTY LTD, KORDA MENTHA AND COLLEAGUES PTY LTD, 333 CAPITAL PTY LTD

Is climate change man’s fault? That depends on your politics

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Original article by Peter Hannam
The Age – Page: 3 : 4-Nov-15

The CSIRO has released the results of a survey which shows that almost 80 per cent of respondents agree that climate change is an issue and human activity is responsible for 62 per cent of the change in the climate. However, the survey also shows that more than 75 per cent of Australian Greens supporters and 59 per cent of Australian Labor Party voters believe that human activity is primarily responsible for climate change. In contrast, 52 per cent of Liberal Party voters and 42 per cent of National Party voters believe that climate change is a natural phenomenon.

CORPORATES
CSIRO, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND SCIENCE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES, UNITED NATIONS

Lynch in box seat for CFO at Seven

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Original article by Jake Mitchell
The Australian – Page: 21 : 4-Nov-15

Australian-listed Seven West Media is shortly expected to announce a successor to former CFO Dave Boorman, who stepped down in early 2015. Warwick Lynch has been acting CFO, and he is believed to be the leading candidate to take on the role permanently. Lynch was also acting CFO prior to Boorman’s appointment in mid-2013. Boorman recently became the CFO at Ten Network.

CORPORATES
SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM, TEN NETWORK HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TEN, NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, PEOPLE ONE PTY LTD, SEVEN GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX SVW

10pc tax on financial services could mean higher house costs

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Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 4-Nov-15

Ernst & Young’s Brad Miller says a proposal to impose a 10 per cent tax on margin-based financial services could result in home buyers being taxed twice. The tax initiative was proposed by ex-KPMG tax partner Michael Evans, and would apply to banks’ margin of profit on financial products such as mortgages. Miller notes that house buyers could potentially pay GST on both the home itself and the interest on their mortgage loan.

CORPORATES
ERNST AND YOUNG, KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, SOUTH AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS AUSTRALIA (INTERNATIONAL) PTY LTD, BDO AUSTRALIA LIMITED

EPL rights loss to Optus a blow to Foxtel, Macquarie says

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 4-Nov-15

Andrew Levy of Macquarie Group says Singtel Optus’s deal to acquire the English Premier League rights is a "clear negative" for incumbent broadcaster Foxtel. Levy notes that English soccer is popular with Foxtel subscribers, and the pay-TV group has benefited from the Premier League’s exclusion from the anti-siphoning list. Fox Sports also recently lost the right to broadcast the popular Saturday and Monday night National Rugby League matches.

CORPORATES
SINGTEL OPTUS PTY LTD, FOXTEL MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, FOX SPORTS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE, NEWS CORP AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, NATIONAL RUGBY LEAGUE, NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, PRESTO ENTERTAINMENT PTY LTD, FETCHTV PTY LTD

Dollar jumps as RBA wrong-foots punters with cash rate

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 4-Nov-15

The Australian dollar was fetching $US0.7199 late in trading on 3 November 2015. The currency reached an intra-day high of $US0.7209 after the Reserve Bank left the cash rate on hold. Central bank governor Glenn Stevens indicated that there may be potential for further rate cuts given the low inflation rate. Felicity Emmett of the ANZ Bank expects the cash rate to be left on hold again in December before being reduced in February.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, JAMIESONCOOTEBONDS PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Low oil prices won’t stop LNG boom: HSBC

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Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 4-Nov-15

HSBC’s global head of commodities, Jean-Francois Lambert, expects the crude oil price to trade within a range of $US45 to $US55 per barrel over the next several years. However, he is upbeat about the outlook for Australian LNG producers, arguing that they will adapt to the lower oil price, which has in turn put downward pressure on LNG prices. Meanwhile, HSBC expects the iron ore price to fall to $US52 per tonne in 2016.

CORPORATES
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC

BHP sees bleak iron ore future

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Original article by Amanda Saunders
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 4-Nov-15

The price of iron ore has shed 16 per cent in the last eight weeks, reaching a low of $US49.50 per tonne on 2 November 2015. Alan Chirgwin of BHP Billiton is bearish about the outlook for the steel input, forecasting that it will keep falling in the next several years and eventually trade at the break-even price of an unspecified iron ore producer in Australia or Brazil. He expects supply to continue to exceed demand in the next several years. BHP’s Shaun Verner also expects the price of metallurgical coal to remain subdued in the near-term.

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, VALE SA, ROY HILL HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ