Author: roymorgansocial

Target surplus, but keep on spending

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Original article by Rosie Lewis
The Australian – Page: 6 : 10-Jul-19

Australian Industry Group CEO Innes Willox says there is scope for the federal government to pursue stimulus measures in addition to its income tax cuts package. He says that although returning the Budget to surplus should remain a priority, there should also be increased government spending in areas that will generate economic growth. Treasury Josh Frydenberg is confident that the economy will be boosted by factors such as the tax cuts, monetary policy easing and the Coalition’s infrastructure spending program.

CORPORATES
THE AUSTRALIAN INDUSTRY GROUP, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIAN RESOURCES AND ENERGY GROUP, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Big four in great rate cuts rip-off

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Original article by Adam Creighton, David Tanner
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 10-Jul-19

The gap between the cash rate and the average variable mortgage interest rate of Australia’s major banks was consistently around 1.8 percentage points between 1997 and 2007. However, this gap has widened significantly since then, and the two consecutive official interest rate cuts has increased it to a 25-year high of 3.94 percentage points. The banks contend that factors such as rising funding costs, capital requirements and increased regulation mean it has become more difficult to move in tandem with the Reserve Bank.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA. PRODUCTIVITY COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION

Gas pressure rising for Woodside

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Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 17 & 20 : 10-Jul-19

Saul Kavonic of Credit Suisse says the National Offshore Petroleum Titles Administrator recently warned the Browse LNG partners that they could potentially forfeit their leases under ‘use it or lose it’ provisions. Resources Minister Matt Canavan has also issued a similar warning to Woodside Petroleum and its partners, whose retention leases must be renewed in mid-2020. Kavonic suggests that NOPTA could potentially subject the Browse partners to certain conditions if the leases are renewed, or seek to exclude certain partners that have been reticent about making a final investment decision.

CORPORATES
WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC, BP PLC, JAPAN AUSTRALIA LNG PTY LTD, PETROCHINA COMPANY LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. NATIONAL OFFSHORE PETROLEUM TITLES ADMINISTRATOR, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND SCIENCE, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence consolidates to 117.6

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 10-Jul-19

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence fell 1.1% to 117.6 in the week ended 7 July, following the prior week’s 4% gain. Households’ views towards current financial conditions rose 3.7%, while views towards future financial conditions gained 1.3%. However, consumers’ views toward current economic conditions fell 3.6% and views toward future economic conditions fell 1.7%. The ‘time to buy a household item’ index was down 4.6%, and the four-week moving average for inflation expectations was up 0.1ppt to 4%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Rate cuts push investors into risky territory

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 25 : 10-Jul-19

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 recorded its third-biggest loss for 2019 on 8 July, after gaining two per cent in the previous week and about 25 per cent in the last six months. The rally in global sharemarkets during 2019 has been driven by central banks’ shift towards a monetary policy easing bias. The downturn in official interest rates is prompting more investors to embrace higher-risk asset classes, which in turn can increase market risk.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, JP MORGAN AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Lower wholesale power prices a pipe dream

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Original article by Mark Ludlow
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 9-Jul-19

Energy Users Association of Australia CEO Andrew Richards has questioned whether the federal government can deliver on its promise to reduce wholesale electricity prices to $70 per megawatt-hour by 2021. The wholesale price of electricity is currently around $95 per megawatt hour, and Richards says it is unlikely to fall much below $80. He adds that the federal government’s intervention in the energy market has also "spooked" some investors.

CORPORATES
ENERGY USERS ASSOCIATION OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE ENVIRONMENT AND ENERGY, ENERGYAUSTRALIA PTY LTD, GRATTAN INSTITUTE, AUSTRALIAN ENERGY COUNCIL

Pensioners face delay in deeming rate relief until late September

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Original article by Andrew Tillett
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 9-Jul-19

The federal government has not adjusted the pension ‘deeming’ rate since March 2015, despite a sharp fall in in interest rates since then. The expenditure review committee will shortly consider reducing the deeming rate, although no action may be possible until the government undertakes its bi-annual review of pension payments on 20 September. Ian Henschke of National Seniors Australia believes that the government is able to review the deeming rate at any time, although Council on the Ageing CEO Ian Yates says the Department of Human Services’ outdated computer systems means that an immediate reduction in the deeming rate may not be possible.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL SENIORS AUSTRALIA LIMITED, COUNCIL ON THE AGEING, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HUMAN SERVICES, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF SOCIAL SERVICES, AUSTRALIA. EXPENDITURE REVIEW COMMITTEE, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Big super ready to fund infrastructure

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Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 7 : 9-Jul-19

IFM Investors CEO Brett Himbury has argued the case for industry superannuation funds to invest in public infrastructure, saying they are prepared to buy into both new and existing assets. Himbury concedes that there is still some concern about the partial sale of public assets; however, he stresses that unlike some private investors, super funds are focused on long-term returns rather than short-term profits. Former ACTU secretary Bill Kelty has proposed the creation of a new government-backed asset class that is focused on infrastructure.

CORPORATES
IFM INVESTORS PTY LTD, ACTU, INFRADEBT PTY LTD

Labor review may jettison 2pc tax slug

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Original article by Andrew Tillett
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 9-Jul-19

A spokesperson for Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese has stressed that Labor has not yet formally dropped its proposed changes to the negative gearing and franking credits regimes, after Albanese gave indications that they will be dumped. Labor intends to review all of its policies in the wake of the federal election loss; some Labor MPs have suggested that increasing the highest marginal income tax rate to 49 per cent by reinstating the budget repair levy is among the policies that may be dropped. Several Labor MPs also say there may be merit in Bill Kelty’s proposal to reduce the top income tax rate.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Iron ore prices to remain high

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Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 20 : 9-Jul-19

The price of iron ore for delivery to China firmed on 8 July, after falling sharply in the previous week in response to calls for Chinese government intervention. Meanwhile, Ord Minnett expects the benchmark price of iron ore to remain high for the remainder of 2019, before averaging $US87 per tonne in 2020. The firm also notes that an increase in steel production has seen iron ore stockpiles at Chinese ports decline for 12 consecutive weeks. Ord Minnett has increased its Chinese steel production forecast for 2019 by seven per cent year-on-year, to 992 million tonnes.

CORPORATES
ORD MINNETT GROUP LIMITED, CHINA IRON AND STEEL ASSOCIATION, CHINA. NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFORM COMMISSION, VALE SA, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO