Author: roymorgansocial

Citi eyes value in beaten-down media sector

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Original article by Lilly Vitorovich
The Australian – Page: 20 : 16-Jan-19

Citigroup has downgraded its 2018-19 earnings-per-share forecasts for listed media groups, including Nine Entertainment Company, Seven West Media and Southern Cross Media. The investment bank has also reduced its share price targets for these stocks, although its recommendations on Nine, Seven, Southern Cross and News Corporation have been upgraded.

CORPORATES
NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM, SOUTHERN CROSS MEDIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX SXL, NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS, HT&E LIMITED – ASX HT1, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX DHA

Banks plan exit from uninvestible Britain

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Original article by Sarah Turner, Hans van Leeuwen, Lisa Murray
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 10 : 16-Jan-19

The Commonwealth Bank has confirmed that it will establish a subsidiary in Amsterdam in response to continuing uncertainty surrounding Britain’s departure from the European Union. Other Australian banks with a presence in the UK are also looking to set up subsidiaries in other European countries to ensure that they can keep operating in the region. Mark Tinkler of AXA Investment Managers says the UK is largely "uninvestible" until the Brexit uncertainty is resolved. The British parliament will shortly vote on the Brexit deal of Prime Minister Theresa May.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AXA INVESTMENT MANAGERS PTY LTD, GREAT BRITAIN. OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ALPHINITY INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, GRANT SAMUEL FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, GERMANY. FEDERAL FINANCIAL SUPERVISORY AUTHORITY (BAFIN), BANK OF ENGLAND. PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

Future Fund’s returns good, not great

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Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 16-Jan-19

Data from Chant West shows that the federal government’s Future Fund achieved an average return of 10.7 per cent over the seven years to September. This is lower than the returns of major industry superannuation funds over the same period, including AustralianSuper, Hostplus and Cbus. Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia CEO Martin Fahy says the Future Fund would have lower costs and lower net returns if it were to be converted from a sovereign wealth fund into a super fund.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY, CHANT WEST FINANCIAL SERVICES PTY LTD, AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD, HOST-PLUS, CONSTRUCTION AND BUILDING UNIONS’ SUPERANNUATION FUND, UNISUPER LIMITED, THE ASSOCIATION OF SUPERANNUATION FUNDS OF AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RICE WARNER ACTUARIES PTY LTD

Dividends paid early to beat ALP

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Original article by Eli Greenblat
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 16-Jan-19

Jason Steed of Morgan Stanley expects some listed companies to announce share buybacks and special dividends prior to the federal election, in order to avoid Labor’s proposed changes to the franking credits system. Mirrabooka Investments has already advised that its special dividend will be paid immediately rather than on 1 July, with CEO Mark Freeman attributing the move to uncertainty regarding Labor’s policy. Liberal MP Tim Wilson notes that many companies have told a parliamentary committee that they have changed their investment strategy in anticipation of Labor’s policy.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, MIRRABOOKA INVESTMENTS LIMITED – ASX MIR, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, METCASH LIMITED – ASX MTS, WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW

Punishing company tax regime on par with Third World

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Original article by David Uren, Chris Griffith
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 16-Jan-19

A new report from the OECD shows that France is the only developed nation with a higher company tax rate than Australia at present. However, the French government intends to reduce its corporate tax rate to 28 per cent, while the Coalition’s tax reform policy has been stalled in the Senate. The OECD report also notes that Costa Rica and Chile are the only countries in the world that have a higher tax rate on new business investment than Australia.

CORPORATES
ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CURIOUS THINGS, MURU MUSIC

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rebounds to 116.8

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Jan-19

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rose 1.4% to 116.8 in the week ended 13 January. Households’ views towards current financial conditions rose 2.8%, rebounding after three consecutive falls; future financial conditions registered a fifth consecutive increase, rising 2.0%. Consumers’ views toward current and future economic conditions fell 0.6% and 2.3% respectively. The ‘time to buy a household item’ sub-index rose 3.9%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Heatwave triggers AEMO reserve shortfall warning

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Original article by Tim Boyd
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 15-Jan-19

A heatwave in Victoria has prompted the Australian Energy Market Operator to issue a reserve warning, amid fears that the state could be hit by blackouts. Energy experts state that the reserve warning is a signal from AEMO to the electricity market that it is seeking more capacity, and is not necessarily a cause for alarm. EnergyAustralia has stated that it has around 20 megawatts of capacity in Victoria that can be activated at times of high demand. Northern parts of Victoria have been subject to very high temperatures in recent days.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN ENERGY MARKET OPERATOR LIMITED, ENERGYAUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, AUSTRALIA. BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG

ALP’s tax plan hurts workers, says Frydenberg

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Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 4 : 15-Jan-19

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg says data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that low- and middle-income earners would bear the brunt of Labor’s proposed capital gains tax reforms. According to the ABS, some 194,000 middle-income earners had a capital gain in 2016, compared with just 70,635 people whose taxable income exceeded $180,000. The figures also show that middle-income earners made an average capital gains of $9,176, while the average capital gain for people on high incomes was $164,710.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Wesfarmers revamps Kmart after sales shock

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Original article by Sue Mitchell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 14 : 15-Jan-19

Wesfarmers has advised that same-store sales for its Kmart unit fell by 0.6 per cent in the first half of 2018-19. Wesfarmers stated that earnings from its department store division, which includes Kmart, would be down around seven per cent for the half-year. Wesfarmers MD Rob Scott said Kmart’s sales decline could be attributed to a range of factors, including lower demand for womenswear and its decision to no longer sell DVDs.

CORPORATES
WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, KMART AUSTRALIA LIMITED, TARGET AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, COSTA GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX CGC, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, KATHMANDU HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX KMD, QUADRANT ENERGY PTY LTD

Savers under pressure as banks keep lowering rates

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Original article by Duncan Hughes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 15-Jan-19

Analysis by Canstar shows that the average interest rate for a 12-month term deposit of $50,000 is now 2.55 per cent. Likewise, the average online savings interest rate is now just 1.35 per cent, compared with a peak of 7.3 per cent in 2008. In contrast, the cash rate is 1.5 per cent and Australia’s inflation rate is 1.9 per cent. Professor Richard Holden from the University of New South Wales warns that low interest rates will encourage more savers to seek higher-risk investment options such as shares.

CORPORATES
CANSTAR PTY LTD, UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES, SEMAPHORE PRIVATE PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, VIRGIN MONEY (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ