Author: roymorgansocial

Hurdles ahead, but ASX could reach 6000

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 18 : 9-Jan-19

The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 reached an intra-day high of 5,733.7 points on 8 January, having fallen to 5,410.2 points on 24 December. Morgan Stanley says the financial services royal commission, the upcoming federal election, the impact of falling house prices on consumer confidence and the outlook for the Chinese economy are key risks for the local bourse in the near-term. However, Chris Nicol and Daniel Blake of Morgan Stanley expect the market to rise above 6,000 points in 2019.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MORGAN STANLEY AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, APPLE INCORPORATED

Record LNG exports, but prices falling

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Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 13 : 9-Jan-19

The Gladstone LNG, Australia Pacific LNG and Queensland Curtis LNG projects’ export volumes rose to a record 5.4 million tonnes during the December quarter. Queensland Resources Council CEO Ian Macfarlane says the oil and gas industry contributed $8.2bn to the economy in 2017-18. Meanwhile, Saul Kavonic of Credit Suisse says declining gas production in Bass Strait has been the key contributor to rising gas prices on the east coast, and that prices would have risen much more if the three Queensland LNG projects did not sell gas into the domestic market.

CORPORATES
GLADSTONE LNG PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA PACIFIC LNG LIMITED, QUEENSLAND CURTIS LNG PTY LTD, QUEENSLAND RESOURCES COUNCIL LIMITED, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, CONOCOPHILLIPS, ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, ENERGYAUSTRALIA PTY LTD, WOOD MACKENZIE

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence softens to 115.2

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 9-Jan-19

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence fell 2.2% to 115.2 in the week ended 6 January. Households’ views towards current financial conditions fell 4.3%, the third consecutive fall, while future financial condition rose 1.1%. Consumers’ views toward current and future economic conditions fell by 4.2% and 3.1% respectively. The ‘time to buy a household item’ sub-index fell 1.1%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Industry super roars to the lead

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Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 9-Jan-19

Rice Warner forecasts that industry superannuation funds will hold assets worth $800m in 2020, displacing self-managed super funds as the sector’s largest asset managers. Rice Warner also estimates that industry funds’ assets will top $1bn in 2024 and $1.7trn in 2033. Industry funds will boast a 37 per cent share of the market in 2033, ahead of SMSFs (30 per cent) and retail funds (23 per cent). Industry experts note that employers are becoming more willing to embrace industry funds, while the fallout from the financial services royal commission is expected to accelerate the shift from retail funds to industry funds.

CORPORATES
RICE WARNER ACTUARIES PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, DELOITTE TOUCHE TOHMATSU LIMITED, INDUSTRY SUPER AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD, HOST-PLUS, CONSTRUCTION AND BUILDING UNIONS’ SUPERANNUATION FUND, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, VANGUARD INVESTMENTS AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Satisfaction with banks remains positive and above the long term average

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 9-Jan-19

New results from Roy Morgan shows that customer satisfaction with Australia’s banks rose to 78.1% in the six months to November 2018, compared with 78.0% in the six months to October. This represents the first positive monthly move in satisfaction since prior to the start of the Finance Royal Commission in January. Satisfaction with banks remains above the long-term average of 74.3% calculated since 2001 and well up on the 58.7% in January 2001. Of the 10 largest consumer banks, ING with 88.8% satisfaction (up 3.6% points from January) and Bendigo Bank on 88.5% (up 0.1% point), were the only ones to show improvements in satisfaction during the Royal Commission. Westpac showed the biggest decline (down 5.5% points). The CBA retains its position of having the highest satisfaction among the big four with 76.7%, followed by NAB (74.6%), ANZ (74.3%) and Westpac (72.4%). Roy Morgan’s ‘Customer Satisfaction-Consumer Banking in Australia November Report’ is based on in-depth interviews conducted face-to-face with over 50,000 consumers per annum in their homes, including over 4,000 bank customers per month.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Sign of the times as Fairfax goes

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Original article by Lilly Vitorovich
The Australian – Page: 13 & 14 : 9-Jan-19

Nine Entertainment Company has confirmed that it is seeking a buyer for Fairfax Media’s events business, which has been valued at between $24m and $32m by Macquarie Group. Meanwhile, Nine has begun the process of phasing out the Fairfax Media brand; workers have used black plastic sheeting to cover the Fairfax signage on the newspaper publisher’s headquarters in the Sydney suburb of Pyrmont. Some Fairfax staff were recently relocated to Nine’s offices in the Sydney CBD in the wake of the $4.2bn merger.

CORPORATES
NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED, LOTUS DEVELOPMENT CORPORATION, EURO PROPERTIES, SYDNEY CITY COUNCIL, SPORTS MEDIA AND ENTERTAINMENT 360, NINE LIVE PTY LTD, AFFINITY EQUITY PARTNERS (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, GOOGLE AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Woolies wins on penalty rates deal

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Original article by David Marin-Guzman
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 8-Jan-19

The Fair Work Commission has approved a new four-year enterprise agreement for more than 100,000 employees of supermarkets group Woolworths. Amongst other things, the new pay deal will reinstate full penalty rates and increase casual loadings to 25 per cent. The deal has been welcomed by the Shop, Distributive & Allied Employees’ Association, although the rival Retail & Fast Food Workers Union had opposed some aspects of the new agreement.

CORPORATES
WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, WOOLWORTHS SUPERMARKETS, AUSTRALIA. FAIR WORK COMMISSION, SHOP, DISTRIBUTIVE AND ALLIED EMPLOYEES’ ASSOCIATION, RETAIL AND FAST FOOD WORKERS UNION INCORPORATED, COLES SUPERMARKETS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, KMART AUSTRALIA LIMITED, McDONALD’S AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Banks in GST war with ATO

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Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 2 : 8-Jan-19

The Australian Taxation Office wants to cut the amount of goods and services tax credits that banks and other financial institutions claim for providing home loans, credit cards and transactional accounts. Experts suggest that the ATO’s clampdown could cost each of the big banks between $60 million and $80 million a year, while bank executives acknowledge that it will be very difficult for them to pass on any higher tax costs to customers, given the current poor reputation of the banking sector.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN TAXATION OFFICE, AUSTRALIAN BANKING ASSOCIATION

Challenging year in the offing for ASX listings

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Original article by William McInnes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 12 & 16 : 8-Jan-19

More than 130 companies debuted on the Australian sharemarket in 2018, but stock exchange operator ASX Limited expects the environment for new listings to be difficult in 2019. Max Cunningham, the ASX’s executive general manager of listings, says the first quarter in particular will be challenging given the recent market volatility, although the outlook for calendar 2019 will become clearer by March or April. He adds that several large technology companies are looking at IPOs, and he notes increased listing activity in the mining sector.

CORPORATES
ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX, COLES GROUP LIMITED – ASX COL, PROPERTY EXCHANGE AUSTRALIA, COLONIAL FIRST STATE GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, WISETECH GLOBAL LIMITED – ASX WTC, XERO LIMITED – ASX XRO, APPEN LIMITED – ASX APX

Fed will take a break from rate hikes: Yellen

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 13 & 18 : 8-Jan-19

The Federal Reserve raised US interest four times in 2018, and former chair Janet Yellen says another one or two rate rises may be necessary to prevent the economy from overheating. However, Yellen has told a conference in China that she does not expect the central bank to tighten monetary policy again immediately. Yellen’s successor Jerome Powell has signalled that the Federal Reserve will be flexible in its approach to monetary policy in 2019.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE, UBS AG, AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT