Author: roymorgansocial

PM rejects cost-of-living comparison with Trudeau

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Original article by Andrew Tillett
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 5 : 8-Jan-25

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has praised his outgoing Canadian counterpart Justin Trudeau following the latter’s resignation after nine years in office. Albanese says Trudeau has had a good relationship with Australia under both the current Labor government and its Coalition predecessor. However, Albanese has downplayed concerns that factors which contributed to Trudeau’s departure – such as cost-of-living pressures, high inflation and immigration – could affect his own election prospects in 2025. He notes that Trudeau is the leader of a long-term government; Albanese is nearing the end of his first term in office.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, CANADA. OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER

Labor faces $7.4b wages black hole

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Original article by Michael Read
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 8-Jan-25

The federal public service wages bill increased by 11.7 per cent in 2023-24, due to wage rises and the addition of about 15,000 new staffers. The Treasury’s forecasts suggest that the public service wages bill is set to increase by another 10.8 per cent in 2023-24; however, the federal government’s recent mid-year budget update assumes that annual growth in the public services wages bill will then remain flat at $30 billion for the following three financial years. This forecast is at odds with the government’s latest enterprise agreement for public servants, which featured a pay rise of 11.2 per cent over the three years to March 2026.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Exporters brace for LNG new wave

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Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 12 : 8-Jan-25

Global supply of LNG is expected to ramp up in 2025, which is likely to weigh on local producers and the federal government’s revenue. The increase in production had been slated to occur in 2024, but delays to a number of LNG projects resulted in this being pushed back to 2025. Meanwhile, EnergyQuest notes that global output of LNG is expected to rise by about 50 million tonnes per annum from 2026, while Saul Kavonic from MST Marquee says there is likely to be a global oversupply of LNG beyond 2026.

CORPORATES
ENERGYQUEST PTY LTD, MST MARQUEE

Dutton, PM spar over power prices

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Original article by Greg Brown, Michael McKenna
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 8-Jan-25

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese visited Cairns on Tuesday, as part of a tour of regional Queensland. He contended that Opposition leader Peter Dutton is not interested in capitalising on the job opportunities that will arise from the transition to net-zero emissions, arguing that he has a plan to stop investment in Australia rather than a plan for the future. Building seven nuclear power stations is a key element of the Coalition’s energy policy, and Dutton contends that nuclear power will be one-third of the current cost of electricity in Australia. He adds that Albanese is a "desperate prime minister" leading a "desperate government with no vision for the future". Dutton notes that Albanese has admitted that he has broken an election promise of a $275 reduction in households’ electricity bills by 2025.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence up 3.6pts to 87.5, highest start to New Year for three years since 2022

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 8-Jan-25

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rose 3.6pts to 87.5 in in early January, with the traditional ‘New Year’s bump’. Consumer Confidence is now 2.7 points above the same week a year ago (84.8), and 4.6 points above the 2024 weekly average of 82.9. A look at Consumer Confidence by State shows increases in the four largest States of New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland and Western Australia, but a decline in South Australia. Now 21% of Australians (unchanged) say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year, while 46% (down 3ppts) say their families are ‘worse off’. Looking forward, 33% (up 2ppts) of Australians expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, while 29% (down 3ppts) expect to be ‘worse off’. Now 9% (down 1ppt) of Australians expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months, while 29% (down 1ppt) expect ‘bad times’. Meanwhile, 28% (up 3ppts) of Australians say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 42% (down 5ppts) say now is a ‘bad time to buy’.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

PM’s green tape tangle for miners

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Original article by Noah Yim, Brad Thompson
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 8-Jan-25

The Minerals Council of Australia has expressed concern about key elements of the federal government’s proposed critical minerals production tax incentive scheme. The MCA contends that the ‘community benefit principles’ requirement of the tax incentive would create uncertainty for the nation’s critical minerals industry, which is already facing strong global competition. The government estimates that the tax incentive will cost about $7bn over a decade, but create secure jobs in Australia and diversify global supply chains by processing critical minerals onshore rather than exporting the raw materials overseas.

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MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA

ASX listings climb with hopes for more

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Original article by Matt Bell
The Australian – Page: 18 : 8-Jan-25

A total of 67 companies listed on the Australian sharemarket in 2024, compared with just 45 in the previous calendar year. It also follows 107 new listings in 2022 and 241 in 2021. However, takeovers and de-listings resulted in the number of companies on the ASX falling from 2,191 in 2023 to 2,116 at the end of 2024. James Posnett from the ASX is upbeat about the outlook for new listings in 2025, noting that there has been increased confidence and renewed interest in listing in recent months.

CORPORATES
ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX

Nine shoots higher as investors talk break-up

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Original article by Valerina Changarathil
The Australian – Page: 18 : 8-Jan-25

Nine Entertainment Company’s shares fell by 39 per cent in calendar 2024; however, the stock rose 5.6 per cent t to $1.32 on Tuesday, amid speculation that the diversified media group could be broken up. The recent emergence of Tanarra Capital on Nine’s share register has boosted such speculation; Tanarra is headed by John Wylie, who has successfully advocated for changes at companies such as Lendlease.

CORPORATES
NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC, TANARRA CAPITAL PTY LTD

Chalmers to press on with super tax hike

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Original article by Jack Quail
The Australian – Page: 2 : 18-Dec-24

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the federal government has no plans to tighten tax concessions, although it intends to proceed with its existing tax reform agenda. This includes legislation to double the tax rate on the earnings of superannuation funds whose balance exceeds $3m; the legislation has been stalled in the Senate amid a push by both the Greens and crossbenchers for amendments. Meanwhile, the Treasury’s annual Tax Expenditures and Insights Statement shows that superannuation tax concessions are expected to cost the federal budget about $55.2bn in 2024-25.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Record insolvencies tarnish Chalmers’ spin

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Original article by Geoff Chambers
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 18-Dec-24

Data from the Australian Securities & Investments Commission undermines the federal government’s economic credentials. The figures show that 12,405 businesses were declared insolvent in the first 11 months of 2024. This includes a record 1,442 business failures in November, which is 62 per cent higher year-on-year. Nearly 26,000 businesses have collapsed since Labor won the May 2022 federal election; Deputy Opposition Leader Sussan Ley notes that this is approximately the same as the number of additional public servants Labor has hired since it took office. Separate data shows that the number of welfare recipients has risen by about 83,000 year-on-year.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA