Author: roymorgansocial

Trump the big threat to numbers

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Original article by Geoff Winestock
The Australian Financial Review – Page: B9 : 9-May-18

The Treasury has noted in the May 2018 Budget papers that changes to trade policies in a country like the US could have a significant impact on many other economies around the world. Its view of the global economy is generally positive, but contends that the consequences of President Donald Trump’s tariff policies could impact negatively on its outlook. In commenting on trade policy changes, Treasury noted that many components in goods exported from countries like the US and Japan have been imported from other nations.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, WORLD TRADE ORGANIZATION

Labor bracing for mid-year byelections

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Original article by Tom McIlroy
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 9-May-18

The High Court will hand down its determination on whether Labor senator Katy Gallagher is eligible to sit in parliament because of her dual citizenship on 9 May. Should its decision go against her, there would be pressure on fellow Labor MPs Susan Lamb, Justine Keay and Josh Wilson and Centre Alliance MP Rebekha Sharkie to resign from parliament or be referred to the High Court. Should Lamb, Keay and Wilson resign, it is likely that by-elections would be held on the same day as the one to replace Labor MP Tim Hammond, who resigned in early May.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, CENTRE ALLIANCE, HIGH COURT OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, PROFESSIONALS AUSTRALIA

AMP reeling as more pull pin

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 1 & 16 : 9-May-18

Holly Kramer, Van­essa Wallace and Patty Akopiantz have resigned as directors of AMP in the wake of revelations that it charged fees for services that clients did not receive. Kramer and Wallace were seeking re-election at AMP’s AGM on 10 May, and sources within the financial services group have suggested that they were unlikely to gain another term on the board. Akopiantz is not standing for re-election, but she has agreed to step down at the end of 2018. Andrew Harmos is tipped to be re-elected at the AGM, although he is likely to face a backlash from investors.

CORPORATES
AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, SEEK LIMITED – ASX SEK, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN COUNCIL OF SUPERANNUATION INVESTORS INCORPORATED

Almost back in black as $126bn sliced off debt

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Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 9-May-18

The Federal Government has forecast a modest Budget surplus of $A2.2bn in 2019-20. The Budget had previously been expected to return to surplus in 2020-21, compared with a likely deficit of $A18.2bn in 2017-18. Meanwhile, Australia’s gross debt is now slated to be $A558bn in 2027-28, compared with expectations of $A684bn in the mid-year Budget update in December. Net debt is expected to fall to 3.8 per cent of GDP by 2029, down from a peak of 18.6 per cent in 2017-18.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC

ABC to feel the pinch with funding freeze

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Original article by Michael Koziol
The Sydney Morning Herald – Page: 6 : 9-May-18

The May 2018 Budget includes a freeze on the ABC’s funding until 2022, amounting to savings of $A83.7 million. Despite the freeze, the public broadcaster will still receive funding of over $A1 billion a year. Some $A50 million of the $A83.7 million saved as a result of the funding freeze will be spent over four years on the commemoration of the 250th anniversary of the landing of Captain James Cook. Unlike the ABC, SBS will not have its funding frozen.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BROADCASTING CORPORATION, SPECIAL BROADCASTING SERVICE (SBS), AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS

ScoMo’s in the money, so the shout’s on him

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: B1 & B2 : 9-May-18

The Federal Government’s May 2018 Budget is underpinned by plans to progressively phase in personal income tax cuts over seven years. The threshold for the 37 per cent marginal tax rate will be increased from $A87,000 to $A90,000 on 1 July. This will in turn be increased to $120,000 from 1 July 2022, with all income below this threshold to be taxed at 32.5 per cent. This tax rate will then apply to incomes between $A41,000 and $A200,000 from 1 July 2024. The income tax cuts are forecast to cost $13.4bn in the first four years and $A140bn in total over 10 years.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC

Corporate take will hit $100b in 2021-22

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Original article by Ben Potter
The Australian Financial Review – Page: B6 : 9-May-18

The May 2018 Budget papers show that company tax revenue is forecast to be $A100.7bn in 2021-22, compared with $A83.5bn in 2017-18. The rally in commodity prices has bolstered company tax revenue, although economists caution that this may not be sustainable. In addition, the corporate tax take could fall in future years if the government passes legislation for an across-the-board reduction in the company tax rate. The government expects companies to increase capital investment as a result of the tax cuts, but factors such as a recession could dampen investment intentions.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD

Resources bull run ‘won’t last’

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Original article by Glenda Korporaal
The Australian – Page: 43 : 9-May-18

The Federal Government’s Budget bottom line has been bolstered by stronger-than-expected commodity prices, although its economic forecasts for coming years are based on expectations of a fall in the price of iron ore and metallurgical coal. The Budget papers also forecast that Australia’s terms of trade will rise by 1.5 per cent in 2017-18, followed by a decline over the next four years, including a 5.25 per cent fall in 2018-19. The Budget also notes that the global price of oil will have a greater influence on Australia’s export revenue in coming years as the nation’s LNG exports increase.

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ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence remains elevated at 119.6 pre-Budget

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 9-May-18

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rose 0.3% to 119.6 in the week ended 5 May, to its highest level in 13 weeks. The details were mixed, with a solid rise in "time to buy a household item" offset by falls in three of the remaining sub-indices. Households’ views toward current financial conditions eased 0.8%, following a 1.7% rise previously. Views towards future conditions declined 3.2%, after three straight weekly gains. Both sub-indices remain above their long term averages. Consumers were less optimistic about year-ahead economic conditions, with sentiment dipping 0.9%, ending the streak of five consecutive weekly gains. Meanwhile, views towards future conditions rose 1.2%, entirely reversing the previous week’s 0.7% decline.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Fairfax slapped for Domain ad

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Original article by Darren Davidson
The Australian – Page: 19 : 8-May-18

Fairfax Media has been fined $A15,000 for running an advertisement in February 2016 that made false claims about its Domain real estate listings business. The advertisement was run one day after Fairfax had agreed in court that it would not place adverts that made false claims, following legal action taken by realestate.com.au owner REA Group. Fairfax was found to be in contempt of court.

CORPORATES
FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, DOMAIN HOLDINGS AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX DHA, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, REALESTATE.COM.AU, NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS, FEDERAL COURT OF AUSTRALIA, HOMETRACK DATA SYSTEMS LIMITED