Oil plunge will stir M&A when price settles

Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 16 : 12-Jan-15

Santos, Senex Energy and Horizon Energy are among the Australian companies whose share prices have fallen sharply in response to the downturn in the crude oil price. Experts say lower valuations in the oil and gas sector is likely to prompt mergers and acquisitions activity, although some suggest that potential suitors will bide their time as the oil price and shares may fall further. The price of Brent oil closed at $US50.11 per barrel on 9 January 2015

CORPORATES
SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, SENEX ENERGY LIMITED – ASX SXY, HORIZON OIL LIMITED – ASX HZN, BEACH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX BPT, HERBERT SMITH FREEHILLS PTY LTD, TOTAL SA, INPEX CORPORATION, ROC OIL COMPANY LIMITED – ASX ROC, FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED, DRILLSEARCH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX DLS, AMBASSADOR OIL AND GAS LIMITED – ASX AQO, MAGNUM HUNTER RESOURCES CORPORATION, NIDO PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX NDO, BANGCHAK PETROLEUM PCL, METGASCO LIMITED – ASX MEL, ELK PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX ELK, BP PLC, BP AMOCO PLC, EXXONMOBIL CORPORATION, CHEVRON CORPORATION, TEXACO INCORPORATED, BERNSTEIN AND ASSOCIATES, BRIGHTOIL PETROLEUM, HARBOUR ENERGY LIMITED, TEMASEK HOLDINGS (PTE) LTD, PAVILION ENERGY PTE LTD

AMP strategist says crude likely to hit $US40 before any recovery

Original article by Matt Chambers
The Australian – Page: 22 : 9-Jan-15

The crude oil price is currently trading at about $US50 a barrel, but AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver says production is unlikely to be reduced until it falls to around $US40. He adds that historical analysis shows that any resulting rebound in the oil price is likely to occur gradually. Meanwhile, Oliver says investors should capitalise on any downturn in share prices as a result of the falling oil price

CORPORATES
AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, KAROON GAS AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX KAR, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, AWE LIMITED – ASX AWE, BEACH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX BPT, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, SENEX ENERGY LIMITED – ASX SXY

Nation to burn past coal quota

Original article by Peter Hannam
The Sydney Morning Herald – Page: 12 : 9-Jan-15

A study by University College London assesses the limits on carbon emissions needed to ward off dangerous climate change. The research finds that for increases in worldwide temperatures to remain within two degrees Celsius of pre-industrial levels, 82 per cent of global coal and 50 per cent of gas reserves must stay unmined. Julien Vincent of Market Forces says the study suggests that Australia will soon surpass the level of coal output with which a stable climate can cope, it it has not already

CORPORATES
UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON, ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT, FRIENDS OF THE EARTH, ADANI ENTERPRISES LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, MINERAL COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE ENVIRONMENT, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY

Price crash may see BHP pull rigs

Original article by Amanda Saunders
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 20 : 8-Jan-15

West Texas Intermediate crude oil was trading at $US48 per barrel on 7 January 2015. Paul Young of Deutsche Bank suggests that BHP Billiton could potentially reduce the number of drilling rigs it operates in the Permian Basin in the US until there is a sustained rebound in the oil price. Young adds that BHP could delay adding additional drilling rigs until the oil price rises to about $US80/barrel, which may not occur until around 2018

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, DEUTSCHE BANK AG

Shale oil remains the focus for BHP

Original article by Matt Chambers
The Australian – Page: 16 : 6-Jan-15

Tim Cutt, CEO of the oil and gas division at Australian-listed resources group BHP Billiton, has reaffirmed plans to divest non-core operations and maintain an emphasis on shale assets in the US. The latter require capital investment worth $US4bn ($A4.95bn) a year, compared with just $US1.5bn for conventional energy projects, and had been purchased for $US20bn in 2011. The strategy is being followed despite the recent rapid decline in the global crude oil price

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, ORGANISATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES

Timing off, but BHP split still on: investors

Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 18-Dec-14

BHP Billiton’s Australian-listed shares have fallen by more than 30 per cent since the group revealed plans to spin off its non-core assets. The stock has been hit by the downturn in the prices of commodities on which BHP will focus if the demerger proceeds. Michelle Lopez of Aberdeen Asset Management expects the demerger to go ahead, adding that it would most likely require a sustained decline in commodity prices for the group to abandon the demerger

CORPORATES
BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, SOUTH32 LIMITED, ABERDEEN ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, NIKKO ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Woodside’s $4.6bn punt on LNG assets

Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 26 : 17-Dec-14

Peter Coleman, CEO of Australian-listed energy group Woodside Petroleum, has announced the acquisition for $US3.75bn ($A4.6bn) combined of holdings in two LNG developments from US-based Apache Energy. Woodside will gain a 13% stake in the Wheatstone project offshore Western Australia (WA) and one of 50% in the Kitimat tenements in Canada. The deal will please investors who had been concerned at a lack of new growth assets for the company. At the same time it has, along with allies Royal Dutch Shell and BP, again postponed the roll-out of floating LNG technology at their Browse field off WA

CORPORATES
WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, APACHE ENERGY LIMITED, ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC, BP PLC, CHEVRON CORPORATION

Plunge claims its first scalp as Red Fork Energy goes under

Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 19 : 12-Dec-14

Australian-listed oil and gas producer Red Fork Energy has become the first such business to succumb to the effects of the recent global crude oil price fall. Its stock had declined from $A0.38 in late 2013 to just $A0.006 in early December 2014. In mid-2013 the group sourced over $A47m in fresh capital at a price per share of $A0.43, and among the major stockholders to now suffer losses is Ellerston Capital with a stake of 10.9%. Red Fork, which has shale oil and gas assets in the US, cannot service its liabilities of $A100 with Guggenheim Partners

CORPORATES
RED FORK ENERGY LIMITED – ASX RFE, GUGGENHEIM PARTNERS LLC, ELLERSTON CAPITAL PTY LTD, ORGANISATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES, ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX

Woodside’s Apache bid may kill Browse

Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 20 : 10-Dec-14

Insiders claim that Australian-listed Woodside Petroleum has made a pitch to US partner Apache ­Energy, to acquire the latter’s 13% stake in the Wheatstone LNG development offshore Western Australia. The likely price tag is $US1.8bn ($A2.17bn), and other potential suitors appear to have abandoned their bids due to the recent decline of the crude oil price. If Woodside goes ahead, it may no longer want to pursue its stalled Browse LNG project. A floating LNG production platform has been proposed for it by Woodside and allies Royal Dutch Shell and BP

CORPORATES
WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, APACHE ENERGY LIMITED, ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC, BP PLC, TEMASEK HOLDINGS (PTE) LTD, HARBOUR ENERGY LIMITED, NOBLE GROUP LIMITED, EIG GLOBAL ENERGY PARTNERS, PAVILION ENERGY PTE LTD, ORBIS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

Santos slumps after rating downgrade

Original article by Angela Macdonald-Smith
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 10-Dec-14

Investors have responded bearishly to a move by Standard & Poor’s to reduce the credit rating of Australian-listed Santos from "BBB+" to "BBB". Santos shares closed $A0.60 lower at $A7.70 on 9 December 2014, after reaching an intra-day low of $A7.46. The oil and gas producer has indicated that the ratings downgrade will have no impact on its finances, and notes that it has a healthy balance sheet

CORPORATES
SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, STANDARD AND POOR’S (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB