Dacian downturn bodes ill for WA gold producers

Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 19 : 6-Jun-19

Dacian Gold has advised that it now expects production at its Mount Morgans mine to be within the range of 36,000 to 38,000 ounces in the June quarter, compared with previous guidance of 50,000 to 55,000 ounces. Dacian has also warned that longer-term production at the mine will also fail to meet expectations, at an of average 160,000 to 180,000 ounces annually over a five-year period. Shares in Dacian closed 67.5 per cent lower at $0.515 on 5 June.

CORPORATES
DACIAN GOLD LIMITED – ASX DCN, GASCOYNE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX GCY, MILLENNIUM MINERALS LIMITED – ASX MOY, ST BARBARA LIMITED – ASX SBM, NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX NST, ATLANTIC GOLD CORPORATION, NORGES BANK

No bargains from gold mergers: PwC

Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 17 & 20 : 5-Jun-19

The Super Pit gold mine in Western Australia is among the assets that could potentially be offered for sale in the wake of the latest round of mergers in the gold sector. Northern Star Resources and Evolution Mining are among the Australian gold producers that acquired assets at a discount during the previous spate of mergers in the sector. However, Chris Dodd of PwC says potential buyers cannot expect a significant discount this time around.

CORPORATES
NORTHERN STAR RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX NST, EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED – ASX EVN, PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS AUSTRALIA (INTERNATIONAL) PTY LTD, NEWMONT MINING CORPORATION, GOLDCORP INCORPORATED, BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION, RANDGOLD RESOURCES LIMITED, ST BARBARA LIMITED – ASX SBM, ATLANTIC GOLD CORPORATION

Miners soar as new dividend heroes on ASX

Original article by William McInnes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 30-May-19

Australia’s three major iron ore producers are widely tipped to continue to return excess cash to shareholders via dividends or share buybacks. The surging price of the steel input has bolstered the balance sheets of BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue Metals Group, and Michael Slack of Martin Currie says cash flows appear to be at or near their peak. However, he adds that the miners will eventually need to begin reinvesting in their businesses.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHPRIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIOFORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMGMARTIN CURRIE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITEDEPOCH INVESTMENT PARTNERS INCORPORATEDVALE SA

Bullish iron ore could give budget $4b boost

Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 29-May-19

The iron ore price reached a five-year high of $US108 per tonne on 28 May, prompting strong gains in the share prices of Australia’s three major producers. The federal government’s April 2019 Budget had forecast that the iron ore price would average $US88/tonne in 2019-20; Nicki Hutley of Deloitte Access Economics says government revenue could increase by $4bn if the price remains at its current level over this period. Goldman Sachs does not expect iron ore to remain above $US100 for long; it has issued a revised price forecast for 2019 of $US91.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, VALE SA, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED – ASX MGX, ROY HILL HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MINERAL RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX MIN, GRANGE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX GRR

Iron ore’s wild run threatens fragile balance

Original article by Nick Evans
The Weekend Australian – Page: 15 & 16 : 25-May-19

The iron ore price recently rose to a five-year high of more than $US100 per tonne. While the price surge will boost the earnings of Australian iron ore producers, BHP and Rio Tinto in particular would prefer a sustained price of around $US70 per tonne. The current elevated price of the steel input provides an incentive for other mining companies to develop iron ore projects and emerge as rival exporters to Asian steel mills. Countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia and India could potentially resume iron ore shipments to China, while strong growth in China’s scrap steel market looms as another possible threat to Australian producers.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, ROY HILL HOLDINGS PTY LTD, ATLAS IRON LIMITED, VALE SA

BHP puts foot down on robotic truck drive

Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 19 : 27-May-19

BHP may ramp up its deployment of autonomous haulage truck at its iron ore and coal mines in Australia. BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue now operate about 250 automated trucks at their iron ore mines in the Pilbara, and BHP recently said that most of its fleet could potentially be automated by 2023. Its fleet at the Jimblebar mine has been fully automated since 2017, and BHP executive Rag Udd notes that this has resulted in significant safety and productivity improvements. He stresses that such factors are driving the automation push, rather than job cuts, adding that many former truck drivers have been redeployed.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG

Fortescue approves $417m Queens mine as analysts tip dividend top-up

Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 20 : 23-May-19

Pure-play iron ore producer Fortescue Metals Group will develop the Queens Valley mine in the Pilbara, with the project slated to cost $US287m ($417m). Paul Hissey of RBC Capital Markets says the recent rise in the iron ore price could significantly boost Fortescue’s earnings in the June quarter. This could in turn prompt another dividend payout when Fortescue releases its full-year results.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS

BHP plugs into battery boom, holds line on ore

Original article by Nick Evans
The Australian – Page: 19 : 23-May-19

CFO Peter Beaven has told investors that BHP is unlikely to increase its Pilbara iron ore output to capitalise on reduced supply from Brazilian rival Vale. BHP will also maintain its current annual production target for metallurgical coal. Beaven also indicated that BHP will pursue growth in copper and nickel sulfide production in response to rising demand for electric vehicles and battery storage technology. He added that BHP may be open to nickel acquisitions, after dropping plans to divest its Nickel West division.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, VALE SA, NICKEL WEST, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Iron ore is surging, but not all producers are joining the party

Original article by Clyde Russell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: Online : 23-May-19

The spot price of iron ore for delivery to China has risen by more than 38 per cent so far in 2019, to over $US100 per tonne. Shares in Australian-listed Fortescue Metals Group have in turned gained 119 per cent in local currency terms, while Rio Tinto and BHP have risen by 33.7 per cent and 15.6 per cent respectively. In contrast, Brazil-based Vale has shed seven per cent in local currency terms so far in 2019, and nearly 16 per cent since a tailings dam collapse in late January.

CORPORATES
FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, VALE SA, GRANGE RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX GRR, MOUNT GIBSON IRON LIMITED – ASX MGX, ARGUS MEDIA PTY LTD

BHP raises the bar on electric vehicle forecasts

Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 22-May-19

Resources giant BHP is bullish about global demand for electric cars. Its forecast for the proportion of vehicle sold in 2035 that are electric has been increased from a minimum of 10 per cent to 16 per cent, while it now expects at least seven per cent of light vehicles sold in 2035 will be electric. BHP’s Huw McKay says the take-up rate of electric cars will depend on factors such as investment in recharging infrastructure. BHP has exposure to the electric car battery market via its copper and nickel mines.

CORPORATES
BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, KIDMAN RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX KDR, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO