K62 Finance

Split emerges on interest rates forecast

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Jessica Sier
The Age – Page: 20 : 22-Dec-16

Westpac and ANZ Bank economists expect Australia’s cash rate to remain unchanged in 2017, while National Australia Bank suggests that there is potential for two rate cuts. Financial markets have responded to the release of the minutes of Reserve Bank’s December 2016 board meeting by lifting the chances of a rate rise in 2017 from 40 per cent to 55 per cent. The minutes show that the central bank is concerned about the residential property market and the level of household debt.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Mortgage stress strikes bush, city amid fears of an interest rate hike

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 13 & 18 : 21-Dec-16

Standard & Poor’s has reported that the number of Australian mortgage borrowers in arrear rose in October 2016. Digital Finance Analytics has identified the 20 postcodes across Australia that boast the highest level of mortgage stress. Many of these are in regional areas, although the list includes a number of suburbs in major capital cities. Martin North of DFA says the outlook for interest rates will determine whether there is an increase in home loan arrears and defaults. He anticipates that the cash rate will rise by 50 basis points in 2017.

CORPORATES
DIGITAL FINANCE ANALYTICS, STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, ALLIANCEBERNSTEIN HOLDING LP, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Lenders see sanity return to home loans

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 15 & 18 : 19-Dec-16

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank CEO Mike Hirst notes that Australia’s four major banks are offering smaller discounts on mortgage interest rates than in the first half of 2016. He adds that the banks would have struggled to achieve a good return on these loans given the size of some discounts. Credit Union Australia CEO Rob Goudswaard expects a rise in mortgage interest rates after a period of intense competition. He also does anticipate a rise in the cash rate in 2017.

CORPORATES
BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, CREDIT UNION AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, LIBERTY FINANCIAL PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, DIGITAL FINANCE ANALYTICS, DEUTSCHE BANK AG

US hike won’t deter the RBA from following suit

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 14-Dec-16

The US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy statement is likely to attract more scrutiny than the outcome of its December 2016 meeting, as it is generally expected to lift the cash rate by 25 basis points. Meanwhile, the fall in National Australia Bank’s latest business conditions survey may strengthen the case for the Reserve Bank of Australia to further reduce official interest rates, particularly in the wake of the higher-than-expected decline in GDP growth for the September quarter.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST LOUIS, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Alarm as economic growth stalls

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 19 & 32 : 8-Dec-16

The Australian economy expanded by just 1.8 per cent in the year to September 2016. The Federal Government’s upcoming mid-year Budget update is likely to include a downgraded 2016 economic growth forecast, which was tipped to be 3.25 per cent in the Budget in May. However, Paul Bloxham of HSBC notes that GDP has not fallen for two consecutive quarters since 1991. Nevertheless, the national accounts for the September quarter may strengthen the case for further official interest rate cuts.

CORPORATES
HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, LEHMAN BROTHERS INCORPORATED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Westpac and NAB lift rates on investors

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 6-Dec-16

National Australia Bank (NAB) and Westpac have raised their interest rates on loans to property investors. NAB’s new and existing investors will now pay 5.55 per cent on loans with variable rates. A rise of 15 basis points will take effect on 12 December 2016. The rate for owners-occupiers remains unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Westpac has lifted interest-only rates for investors and owner-occupiers by eight basis points.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Roy Morgan Research – 75 Years collecting, analysing and interpreting accurate information!

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 5-Dec-16

Roy Morgan Research Ltd Directors are pleased to report the company has returned to profitability during 2016, both in Australia and overseas, and the start of 2017 is continuing in the same way. Shareholders have been advised that the consolidated profit for the financial year to June 30, 2016 was $3,045,000 compared with a loss for the year ended June 30, 2015 of $2,337,000 and a loss of $7,858,000 for 2014. EBITDA (Earnings before interest, income tax, depreciation, and amortisation) for the financial year to June 30, 2016 was $3,946,000 compared with a negative EBITDA of $1,784,000 for 2015 and a negative EBITDA of $6,644,000 for 2014. Directors expect Roy Morgan Research Ltd profit for the full year to June 30, 2017 to be near $5.5 million with EBITDA in excess of $6 million.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

Australia is a key market, says Bank of Tokyo

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 1-Dec-16

The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi intends to expand its presence in Australia. Randy Chafetz, the managing executive officer of the bank, says stagnant conditions in Japan will continue to result in pressure on Japanese companies to seek more promising markets in other countries, including Australia. Earlier in 2016, the bank appointed ex-ANZ executive Drew Riethmuller as head of corporate finance operations for Oceania.

CORPORATES
BANK OF TOKYO-MITSUBISHI (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, DAI-ICHI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP

Australia is a key market, says Bank of Tokyo

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 1-Dec-16

The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi intends to expand its presence in Australia. Randy Chafetz, the managing executive officer of the bank, says stagnant conditions in Japan will continue to result in pressure on Japanese companies to seek more promising markets in other countries, including Australia. Earlier in 2016, the bank appointed ex-ANZ executive Drew Riethmuller as head of corporate finance operations for Oceania.

CORPORATES
BANK OF TOKYO-MITSUBISHI (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, DAI-ICHI LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP

Foreign banks fill lending void

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Scott Murdoch
The Australian – Page: 23 : 30-Nov-16

Data from the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority shows that the average mortgage balance has risen from $A244,000 in 2015 to $A255,000. However, the value of new home loans grew by only 0.1 per cent year-on-year in the September 2016 quarter. A recent move by Australia’s major banks to reduce their lending to residential developers has also seen the value of offshore banks’ lending to local developers rise from $A1.49bn to $A2.65bn in the last year. Meanwhile, data from the Housing Industry Association shows that sales of new detached homes and apartments fell by 8.2 per cent and 9.2 per cent respectively in October.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, HOUSING INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION LIMITED, MORNINGSTAR PTY LTD