K62 Finance

ANZ’s Whelan will divest Asian bank stakes next

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Original article by Lisa Murray
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 17 : 2-Nov-16

The ANZ Bank will further scale back its presence in Asia after securing a deal to offload some of its retail banking and wealth management assets in the region. Mark Whelan, the head of institutional banking, says ANZ is making progress on selling some of its minority stakes in four Asian banks. He says these stakes are deemed to be non-core assets, but he stresses that ANZ is "reshaping" its Asian operations rather than withdrawing from the region. ANZ CEO Shayne Elliott has signalled that institutional banking will be the focus of its Asian operations.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, SHANGHAI RURAL COMMERCIAL BANK, BANK OF TIANJIN COMPANY LIMITED, PT BANK PAN INDONESIA TBK, AMMB HOLDINGS BHD, DBS BANK LIMITED

Banks on S&P negative watch over hot property

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 11 & 15 : 1-Nov-16

Factors such as rising household debt and residential property prices have prompted Standard & Poor’s to downgrade Australia’s economic risk trends. The firm has also downgraded the credit rating outlook of 25 local lenders to "negative". S&P downgraded the major banks’ rating outlooks to "negative" in mid-2016, but it has not yet made any further changes. However, their "AA-" credit ratings could be reviewed, particularly if Australia implements new global regulations regarding bank bailouts.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

ANZ cuts back Asian footprint

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 21 & 24 : 1-Nov-16

CEO Shayne Elliot says the ANZ Bank will eventually offload more of its retail banking operations in Asia, after striking a deal to sell its retail and wealth assets in Hong Kong, Singapore, China, Taiwan and Indonesia. ANZ has not revealed the price of the transaction, although it says Singapore-based DBS Bank will pay $A110m more than the book value of the assets. ANZ will incur a $A265m net loss on the transaction, while it will also slightly affect its earnings per share and return on equity. ANZ expanded its presence in Asia under previous CEO Mike Smith.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, DBS BANK LIMITED, ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP PLC, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

Commodities up but $A stuck at US77c

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Original article by Jens Meyer
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 1-Nov-16

The rally in the price of coking and thermal coal since early August 2016 has bolstered Australia’s terms of trade. However, the Australian dollar has been largely range-bound over this period, and it has not been able to achieve a sustained rise above the $US0.77 level. The currency has not benefited from growing expectations that the Reserve Bank will leave official interest rates on hold in the near-term. Sean Callow of Westpac expects the currency to test the $US0.70 level by the December 2017 quarter.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND

Dividend cuts loom despite $23bn profits

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 17 & 21 : 24-Oct-16

National Australia Bank is tipped to post a 2015-16 cash profit of $A6.55bn on 27 October 2016. The ANZ Bank and Westpac are expected to post full-year profits of $A6.18bn and $A7.8bn respectively in coming weeks, while the Commonwealth Bank has booked a cash profit of $A9.45bn for the year to 30 June. Bank dividends are likely to come under pressure, while Jonathan Mott of UBS expects the banks to post negative growth in earnings per share for the first time since the global financial crisis.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CLYDESDALE BANK PLC, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 BANKS INDEX, DEUTSCHE BANK AG

Fewer home loans a good thing: APRA

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Original article by Joanna Mather
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 21-Oct-16

Australian Prudential Regulation Authority chairman Wayne Byres has told a Senate estimates committee that lending standards in the housing finance sector have improved over the last year. He added that APRA’s move to impose stricter lending standards on the industry has also resulted in slower growth in lending to property investors and to marginal borrowers. Treasury secretary John Fraser previously expressed concern about the cost of housing in Australia when he fronted the committee.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Mortgage price war ‘will hurt dividend’

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 23 : 20-Oct-16

Scott Manning of JP Morgan says stricter capital requirements and a rise in the customer churn rate contributed to a decline in the four major banks’ return on equity from mortgages between 2010 and 2015. He adds that the return from banks’ non-mortgage products fell to the same level as their cost of capital during this period. Manning warns that banks’ dividends will be vulnerable if the return on equity from mortgages falls any further, and he argues that banks should be offering tailored mortgage interest rates that reflect each borrower’s risk profile.

CORPORATES
JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, DIGITAL FINANCE ANALYTICS, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ

$A heading to heights of US90c

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Original article by Aaron Patrick
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 19-Oct-16

Jason Thomas of The Carlyle Group is bullish about the outlook for the Australian dollar. The director of research forecasts that the US dollar will fall by 8-15 per cent over the next five years, as US interest rates are unlikely to rise as quickly as anticipated. Thomas says this in turn will boost the value of the Australian dollar, which could rise to around $US0.85 over the next five years. He adds that the currency could potentially test the $US0.90 level.

CORPORATES
THE CARLYLE GROUP, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF CHICAGO, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX

Australia raises $7.6b in first 30-year bond

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 13-Oct-16

The inaugural issuance of 30-year Australian government bonds attracted more than $A13bn worth of bids from prospective investors. The offer was capped at $A7.6bn, and the yield on the long-dated bonds will be 3.27 per cent. This is significantly higher than equivalent bonds in the US, the UK and Japan, while financial market watchers had anticipated a yield of between 3.21 per cent and 3.28 per cent. Demand for the 30-year bonds and the limited supply is likely to result in strong activity in the aftermarket.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY. OFFICE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, QIC LIMITED, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BANK OF JAPAN, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

Livingstone named CBA chair as Turner departs

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 21 : 13-Oct-16

The Commonwealth Bank has advised that Catherine Livingstone will succeed David Turner as the bank’s chair in early 2017. Livingstone has praised Turner’s contribution as chairman, which he has held since 2010. Brian Johnson of CLSA notes that the bank has outperformed during Turner’s time in the role, but adds that it has underperformed in 2016. He also says Livingstone’s biggest challenge is likely to be finding an eventual successor to CEO Ian Narev.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB