K62 Finance

ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence slips to 118.2 in July (down 0.7pts)

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 18-Jul-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Index has fallen from 118.9 to 118.2 in July 2016. However, it is holding in at levels of elevation, and in line with its historical average. In seasonally adjusted terms confidence rose from 118 to 119, the second monthly rise in a row. The Current Conditions and Future Conditions indices were both down by a small amount, but they were up marginally in seasonally adjusted terms.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Only extreme event will trigger RBA QE

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 18-Jul-16

Perpetual Investment’s Matt Sherwood says geopolitical tensions would not be a sufficient reason for the Reserve Bank of Australia to implement quantitative easing. He argues that such measures would only be necessary if there were a major crisis such as the collapse of the Chinese economy. The RBA has developed a strategy for implementing quantitative easing, and Sherwood says this demonstrates that the central bank wants to be more prepared than it was at the onset of the global financial crisis in 2008.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, PERPETUAL INVESTMENTS, UNITED STATES-CHINA JOINT COMMISSION ON COMMERCE AND TRADE, BT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX BTT

Moody’s issues bleak outlook for banks

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 15-Jul-16

Australian banks are likely to experience pressure on their profit margins because of low interest rates. Frank Mirenzi of Moody’s states in a report released on 14 July 2016 that household debt has increased as a result of rising house prices and low income growth. At present, the big four banks have an "Aa2" rating from Moody’s and an "AA-" rating from Standard & Poor’s.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, HSBC BANK PLC, WELLS FARGO AND COMPANY, BNY MELLON ASSET MANAGEMENT AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Super-size me: NAB banks on giant new fund

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 23 : 14-Jul-16

National Australia Bank’s MLC Super Fund has become the nation’s second-largest superannuation fund and the biggest retail fund after five separate funds were amalgamated. The enlarged MLC Super boasts some $A70bn worth of funds under management, and NAB has indicated that rationalising its super funds is likely to result in lower fees for members. The consolidation of its super funds will also enable NAB to separate its super and investment businesses from its life insurance arm, in which a controlling stake has been sold to Nippon Life.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MLC LIMITED, NIPPON LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY LIMITED, AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence falls further – down 0.6pts to 115.2

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Jul-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence has fallen for the third week in a row, down 0.5 per cent to 115.2 in the week ending 10 July 2016. Uncertainty related to the election result and lingering concerns over the global outlook likely remain key factors behind the recent decline. Last week’s downgrade from Standard & Poor’s to the outlook for Australia’s credit rating – from stable to negative – could also have weighed on sentiment. Consumers’ views of their current finances edged 0.3 per cent higher, but households’ views of the economic outlook in the next 12 months fell by 4.1 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Election logjam won’t force RBA rate cut

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 5-Jul-16

Paul Dales of Capital Economics expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave the cash rate unchanged on 5 July 2016. The general consensus of economists, including Dales, is that the central bank will reduce official interest rates to 1.5 per cent in August, due to weak underlying inflation. The inflation data for the June 2016 quarter is likely to be a bigger influence on monetary policy than the political uncertainty in the wake of the federal election.

CORPORATES
CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence remains upbeat despite ‘Brexit’ jitters – now at 116.8

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 28-Jun-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence fell 1.9 per cent to 116.8 in the week ending 26 June 2016, only partially offsetting the rise the previous week. Despite the turmoil in global financial markets – driven by the surprise result in the UK referendum – households remain optimistic about their finances and the economic outlook. Last week’s easing in confidence was largely driven by a deterioration in consumers’ views towards the economic outlook. The indicator on "finances compared to a year ago" fell 2.3 per cent, and views towards "economic conditions in the next 12 months" fell nine per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Brexit may prompt RBA to lean towards cash-rate cut

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 29-Jun-16

Financial markets have priced in a 24 per cent chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will reduce the cash rate in July 2016, compared with just 12 per cent prior to the "Brexit" referendum. However, the odds of a rate cut in August have increased from 44 per cent to 76 per cent since the UK voted to leave the European Union. Some economists expect the RBA to leave rates on hold in July but adopt an easing bias in its monetary policy statement. The central bank has not had an easing bias since the last rate cut in May.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, ROYAL BANK OF CANADA, BLOOMBERG LP, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BANK OF ENGLAND, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, LEHMAN BROTHERS INCORPORATED

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence spikes to 118.8 – highest in 2 1/2 years

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 21-Jun-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rose 2.1 per cent to 118.8 in the week ending 19 June 2016, and it now stands at the highest level since November 2013. Good news released last week about the Australian labour market and the business sector is likely to have lifted sentiment. The increase in confidence was broad-based, with consumers’ views about their finances leading the gains. The indicator on "finances compared to a year ago" rose 3.1 per cent, and views towards "economic conditions in the next 12 months" increased by two per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rebounds

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 7-Jun-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rose 3.2 per cent in the week ending 5 June, more than offsetting the 2.2 per cent decline of the previous week. Consumer confidence now stands at 116.8, the highest level since January 2014. The improvement in consumer confidence was likely driven by the solid GDP report released last week. The increase in confidence was broad-based, with consumers’ views of the economic outlook leading the gains. Views towards "economic conditions in the next 12 months" bounced a sharp seven per cent, and views towards "the economy in the next five years" rose 3.5 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ