K62 Finance

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence creeps higher – up 0.6pts to 115.7

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 24-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose 0.5 per cent to 115.7 in the week ended 22 May 2016. It has risen 3.6 per cent over the past four weeks. The latest increase likely reflects several factors, including last week’s jobs report (which confirmed healthy conditions in the labour market), strong auction clearance rates, the positive impact from the RBA rate cut three weeks ago and ongoing gains in equity markets since early April. Consumers’ views towards their finances in the next 12 months rose 3.4 per cent, but consumers’ views toward economic conditions in the next 12 months fell slightly.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Macquarie tips 1pc cash

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 20-May-16

James McIntyre of Macquarie Group says the Reserve Bank will have further ease monetary policy unless the Australian Government stimulates the economy with fiscal policy measures. He says this is unlikely, which will leave it to the central bank to put downward pressure on the dollar via rate cuts. McIntyre expects the cash rate to fall to at least one per cent.

CORPORATES
MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BLOOMBERG LP, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence falls to 116.2 in May (down 3.8pts)

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan New Zealand Consumer Confidence Index has fallen by four points to 116.2 in May 2016. In seasonally adjusted terms confidence eased from 117 to 115. The Current Conditions Index fell by four points to 119.3 and the Future Conditions Index fell by three points to 114.3.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence ticks up to 115.1 after Federal Election called for July 2

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose 1.1 per cent to 115.1 in the week ended 15 May 2016, remaining above its long run average for the third consecutive week. The RBA’s cut to the official cash rate two weeks ago likely had a (delayed) positive impact on consumer confidence. Consumers’ views towards their current finances fell 1.8 per cent, but consumers’ views toward economic conditions in the next 12 months rose by 6.1 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

$A jump dampens predictions of further rate cuts soon

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 18-May-16

The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s May 2016 board meeting show that the central bank considered leaving rates on hold. The cash rate was cut by 25 basis points, but opinion among market watchers is divided as to the timing and extent of further monetary policy easing. Royal Bank of Canada’s Su-Lin Ong says the RBA could cut the cash rate again in June, although Capital Economics and the Commonwealth Bank expect a rate cut in August. The latter also expects another cut in November.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, ROYAL BANK OF CANADA, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence unchanged at 113.9 after RBA rate cut and Federal Budget

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 10-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia remained unchanged at 113.9 in the week ended 8 May 2016. While the Reserve Bank’s cut to the official cash rate is likely to have been well received, any positive impact looks to have been somewhat offset by consumers’ reaction to the Commonwealth Budget. Consumers’ views towards their current personal finances fell 0.8 per cent, and consumers’ views toward the economic conditions in the next 12 months fell 1.2 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Volatile $A could hit US67c as further downside plays out

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 10-May-16

Some currency experts have suggested that the recent sharp downturn in the value of the Australian dollar could continue. Mark Walton of BNP Paribas says the currency could fall to around $US0.67 if the Reserve Bank pursues further monetary policy easing. However, Robert Rennie of Westpac says the currency’s sell-off has been "rapid and unexpected", and he adds that it may find support from investors at around the $US0.73 to $US0.735 level.

CORPORATES
BNP PARIBAS SA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION

ANZ dividend cut puts pressure on rivals to follow suit

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Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 18 : 4-May-16

The ANZ Bank reported a 2015-16 interim cash profit of $A2.8bn on 3 May 2016, which was slightly below market expectations. The banking major reduced its half-year dividend from $A0.86 per share to $A0.80, prompting speculation that National Australia Bank will do so as well when its interim results are released on 5 May. Omkar Joshi of Watermark Funds Management has welcomed ANZ’s decision to reduce its dividend payout ratio, while Katana Asset Management’s Romano Sala Tenna says the other major banks should follow its example.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, KATANA ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, INVESTORS MUTUAL LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS. BASEL COMMITTEE ON BANKING SUPERVISION

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence Ticks up 2.2pts to 113.9

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-May-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose 2.0 per cent to 113.9 in the week ended 1 May 2016, partly reversing the fall in the previous week and bringing confidence back above its long run average. Consumers’ views towards their current personal finances rose 2.9 per cent, although households’ views towards the financial outlook fell by 0.9 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

RBA delivers Turnbull a pre-election rate cut

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 4-May-16

The Australian sharemarket gained 2.1 per cent on 3 May 2016, after the Reserve Bank reduced the cash rate by 25 basis points to a record low of 1.75 per cent in the wake of a downturn in inflation. The ANZ Bank is the only "big four" bank that is yet to confirm that it will respond by reducing its mortgage interest rates. Meanwhile, Westpac and the Commonwealth Bank expect another official interest rate cut in August, although Goldman Sachs forecasts that rates will remain on hold until November.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY