Market divided over rate cut

Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 3-Feb-15

Opinion is divided on the likely outcome of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s board meeting on 3 February 2015. The majority of analysts polled by Bloomberg News expect the cash rate to be left at 2.5 per cent, although the futures market has priced in a 66 per cent chance of a rate cut. Former Reserve Bank governor Bernie Fraser says a rate cut should be implemented sooner rather than later. A number of the Reserve Bank’s peers have eased monetary policy in recent months

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BLOOMBERG LP, AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY

Bank boss stole $500,000

Original article by Tim Clarke
The West Australian – Page: 24 : 30-Jan-15

A former bank manager at Westpac in Western Australia has pleaded guilty to defrauding a customer. He stole $A500,000 through a number of fraudulent transactions between the end of 2013 and 31 March 2014. The man used the stolen money for sports betting

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, MAGISTRATES COURT OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA, DISTRICT COURT OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA, TOTALIZATOR AGENCY BOARD (WESTERN AUSTRALIA)

Dollar to stay below US80c at year end

Original article by Su-Lin Tan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 30-Jan-15

The Australian dollar was fetching $US0.7858 late in trading on 29 January 2015, after peaking at $US0.8022 on the previous day. Gavin Friend of National Australia Bank expects the currency to be trading at the $US0.78 level at the end of 2015, while Richard Grace of the Commonwealth Bank has a more bearish year-end forecast of $US0.76. There is growing expectation that the Reserve Bank will reduce the cash rate on 3 February

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, SWISS NATIONAL BANK, FOREX.COM, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, CENTREBET INTERNATIONAL LIMITED, WESTERN UNITED LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH SECURITIES LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Low inflation corners RBA

Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 : 29-Jan-15

Australia’s underlying inflation rate increased by 0.7 per cent in the December 2014 quarter, which was higher than expected. There was an 0.2 per cent increase in the CPI during the quarter, and 1.7 per cent year-on-year. The benign inflation data may strengthen the case for a reduction in the cash rate when the Reserve Bank board meets on 3 February 2015. The central bank may also be swayed by recent monetary policy easing in other countries, which may prompt renewed support for the Australian dollar

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

Don’t cut rates, says ANZ chief

Original article by Jacob Greber, James Chessell
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 28-Jan-15

ANZ Bank CEO Mike Smith says the Reserve Bank should delay any easing of monetary policy. He remains upbeat about the outlook for the Australian economy, noting that the downturn in the value of the dollar has helped to offset the economic impact of lower commodity prices. The recent interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank’s quantitative easing have heightened speculation of further rate cuts in Australia

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK OF CANADA, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM, AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY

Last chance to join NAB action

Original article by Georgia Wilkins
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 14 : 27-Jan-15

Some 40,000 people so far have agreed to participate in a class action against National Australia (NAB) over exception fees. The deadline for taking part in the class action is 27 January 2015, and NAB indicated in late 2014 that it will seek to negotiate a settlement. Nine other banks are involved in a broader class action lawsuit over their fees. It is estimated that the banks could face a total payout of up to $A240m if they lose the case

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, FEDERAL COURT OF AUSTRALIA, FINANCIAL REDRESS PTY LTD, IMF BENTHAM LIMITED – ASX IMF, MAURICE BLACKBURN PTY LTD

Aussie’s tumble may slow RBA cuts

Original article by Jacob Greber, Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 27-Jan-15

The Australian dollar reached a low of $US0.7855 on 26 January 2015, and it has lost more than four per cent of its value in just over a week. The currency’s recent decline could prompt the Reserve Bank to leave the cash rate on hold in the near-term. Central bank governor Glenn Stevens recently suggested that a fall to around the $US0.75 level would be desirable. The upcoming release of inflation data is likely to influence monetary policy

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, TD SECURITIES, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Murray report to lead to more M&A activity

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 20 : 22-Jan-15

Data from Thomson Reuters shows that the value of mergers and acquisitions in Australia’s financial services sector topped $US54bn in 2014, which is 52 per cent higher than previously. Meanwhile, the value of equity capital market deals rose by 14 per cent to $US5bn. Market watchers anticipate further deal-making activity in 2015, with some citing the upcoming release of the final report of the financial system inquiry as a key factor

CORPORATES
THOMSON REUTERS PLC, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ESANDA FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, LLOYDS BANKING GROUP PLC, INVESTEC BANK (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, GE CAPITAL AUSTRALIA, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, ST GEORGE BANK LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BANK OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AXA ASIA PACIFIC HOLDINGS LIMITED, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CLYDESDALE BANK PLC, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, IOOF HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX IFL, SFG AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Rate cut likely as spending slows

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 19 : 22-Jan-15

There was a 2.4 per cent increase in the Westpac-Melbourne Institute index of consumer sentiment in January 2015. The index rose from 91.1 in December to 93.2 per cent in seasonally adjusted terms. Meanwhile, the ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index has increased by 1.4 per cent to 113.6, although the data is not seasonally adjusted. Westpac’s chief economist Bill Evans expects the cash rate to be reduced in both February and March

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE. INSTITUTE OF APPLIED ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, WORLD BANK, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

CBA, CSL and Macquarie Group on track for $100 shares

Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 22-Jan-15

Shares in CSL and the Commonwealth Bank are currently trading at about $A84. While they have recently retreated from 12-months peaks, both stocks could potentially rise to $A100. CSL previously undertook a share split after its stock rose to $A100 in late 2007. Arnhem Investment Management’s George Clapham suggests that in many cases a demerger rather than a share split may generate more value for shareholders. Macquarie Group’s shares are currently trading above $A60, and the stock is also a potential candidate to breach $A100

CORPORATES
CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, ARNHEM INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, AMCOR LIMITED – ASX AMC, ORORA LIMITED – ASX ORA, BRAMBLES LIMITED – ASX BXB, RECALL HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX REC, IRON MOUNTAIN INCORPORATED, ELDERS LIMITED – ASX ELD, BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INCORPORATED