K62 Finance

Treasury experts $290bn wide of the mark on budget forecasts

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Original article by David Uren
The Australian – Page: 1 : 18-Dec-14

Every single one of the Australian Treasury Department’s four-year forecasts in Budget estimates since 2010 has had to be downgraded later on. The total amount involved is $A290bn, and the poor track record casts doubt as well on the latest prediction, made in the December 2014 Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook, that a surplus will be restored in 2019-20. In the agency’s defence, Deloitte Access Economics’ Chris Richardson notes that reliable forecasts have become very hard to achieve due to the nation’s exposure to commodity export markets for coal, iron ore and LNG

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, DELOITTE ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. PARLIAMENTARY BUDGET OFFICE

Rouble rout sends Aussie on the slide

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 10 : 18-Dec-14

The Australian dollar reached an intra-day low of $US0.8166 on 17 December 2014. The bearish sentiment toward the commodity currency was prompted by the continued selldown of Russia’s rouble, which has shed about 15 per cent in recent days. The Australian dollar’s continued weakness may be welcomed by the Reserve Bank, which have been talking down the currency for some time. However, Stephen Halmarick of Colonial First State Global Asset Management says this could mean that interest rate cuts in 2015 may not be necessary

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, COLONIAL FIRST STATE GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, OOH!MEDIA LIMITED – ASX OML, LATAM AUTOS LIMITED – ASX LAA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE

oOh!Media IPO more of an oh-oh than a go-go

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Original article by Jared Lynch, Sally Rose
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 18-Dec-14

Shares in oOh!Media closed 1.6 per cent below the issue price of $A1.93 when the stock debuted on the Australian sharemarket on 17 December 2014. Shares in the outdoor advertising group listed at $A1.80, following a $A168.8m IPO by CHAMP Private Equity. The firm has retained a 32.2 per cent stake in oOh!Media, while WPP has an 8.6 per cent stake

CORPORATES
OOH!MEDIA LIMITED – ASX OML, CHAMP PRIVATE EQUITY PTY LTD, CASTLE HARLAN AUSTRALIAN MEZZANINE PARTNERS PTY LTD, WPP GROUP PLC, EYE CORP LIMITED, TEN NETWORK HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TEN

Consumer satisfaction with banks in November the highest in nearly two decades

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Dec-14

A Roy Morgan Single Source survey has found that the satisfaction level of the personal customers of Australian banks rose by 0.2 per cent to a record 82.8 per cent in November 2014. The Commonwealth Bank had the highest personal customer satisfaction rating of the four major banks in the six months to November, at 81.8 per cent. However, ING Direct (89.4 per cent) and Bendigo Bank (89 per cent) boasted the highest customer satisfaction rating of the nation’s 10 largest banks, while Bankwest had the highest level of customer satisfaction for internet banking services

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ING DIRECT, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, BANK OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, SUNCORP BANK, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, ST GEORGE BANK LIMITED

Stevens calls for US75c dollar

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Original article by Jacob Greber, Michael Stutchbury
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 10 : 12-Dec-14

The Australian dollar is currently trading at around $US0.83, but Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens believes that it needs to fall further. He argues that a more appropriate level for the currency would be about $US0.75, arguing that the decline in Australia’s terms of trade means the dollar needs to be lower. Stevens also says that the need for stability is a major reason why interest rates were kept on hold during 2014, and stresses that any further easing of monetary policy would need to has a positive effect on business and consumer confidence

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Property curbs pave way for RBA rate cuts

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 11-Dec-14

Martin Whetton of the ANZ Bank says the decision to implement measures aimed at curbing growth in loans for investment properties could lead a reduction in the cash rate. The bond market had anticipated such action by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, with the 10-year bond rate falling below three per cent and the three-year bond rate easing to 2.27 per cent

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, COUNCIL OF FINANCIAL REGULATORS, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, TRIPLE T CONSULTING LIMITED

Nation needs strong banks, Murray says

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 22 : 9-Dec-14

Among the recommendations made in the financial system review report by David Murray for the Australian Government is lifting the capital requirements for the main banks. Murray says the sector needs to be strong enough to withstand another financial crisis, and at the same time cannot rely on being saved by the Government. Estimates of the additional funds likely to be needed if the measures are adopted range from $A8bn to $A32bn. Investors on 8 December 2014 were unconcerned, with the share prices of the four major banks all rising

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, ARGO INVESTMENTS LIMITED – ASX ARG, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION

Majors facing $20bn squeeze

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 17 : 8-Dec-14

Among the recommendations made in the financial system review report by David Murray for the Australian Government is that the four main banks should significantly increase their reserve capital holdings. They are also urged to lift the risk weighting on home mortgage loans to a range of 25% to 30%. Analysts calculate that if adopted the new requirements will create an additional cost burden of $A20bn per annum for the sector. Australian Bankers’ Association CEO Steven Munchenberg has vowed to persist with its lobbying effort against the proposals and those of the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS. BASEL COMMITTEE ON BANKING SUPERVISION, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, THE BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP PTY LTD

Refinancing allows Boart boss to focus on long term

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Original article by Paul Garvey
The Australian – Page: 18 : 8-Dec-14

Investors in Australian-listed mining services group Boart Longyear are set to vote on a refinancing deal worth as much as $US342m ($A410m) with US-based private equity firm Centerbridge in mid-December 2014. It will come as a relief to CEO Richard O’Brien, who has had to face a series of crises since being appointed on 1 April 2013. He still believes that a turnaround in the resources sector may not occur until possibly 2016, and urges shareholders to support the package deemed "not fair but reasonable" by consultant KPMG

CORPORATES
BOART LONGYEAR LIMITED – ASX BLY, CENTERBRIDGE PARTNERS LP, KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CGI GLASS LEWIS PTY LTD, ISS PROXY AUSTRALIA

US80c to the dollar is ‘fair value’ for RBA

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 5-Dec-14

The Australian dollar reached a new 4.5-year low of $US0.8389 on 4 December 2014. Economists are divided regarding what constitutes fair value for the currency. Michael Workman of the Commonwealth Bank believes that a range of $US0.80 to $US0.85 is appropriate for the dollar at present. However, Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Saul Eslake suggests that fair value would be below $US0.80

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ST GEORGE BANK LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, TD SECURITIES, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD