K62 Finance

Low rates may trigger shock

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 3 : 6-Jul-18

Keeping official interest rates low for too long could have dire consequences, according to the Bank for International Settlements’ Committee on the Global Financial System. The committee warns that it could lead to a rise in inflation, which in turn would force central banks to hike up interest rates, resulting in a global recession. Under one scenario put forward by the committee, inflation could rise by two per cent, forcing central banks to lift short-term interest rates by 300 basis points. In Australia, this would result in economic growth falling to 0.5 per cent.

CORPORATES
BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

ANZ bracing for fallout over AmBank stake as $4.5bn 1MDB scandal erupts

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Original article by Ben Butler
The Australian – Page: 17 & 21 : 5-Jul-18

The ANZ Bank has a 24 per cent stake in Malaysia’s AmBank, which has become embroiled in the scandal over the siphoning of funds from the nation’s 1MDB sovereign wealth fund. Malaysia’s former prime minister Najib Razak is alleged to have channelled 1MDB’s funds into his AmBank account. Brian Johnson of CLSA says ANZ or its executives could potentially be drawn into the corruption scandal. CEO Shayne Elliott is among the ANZ executives who have previously served on AmBank’s board.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AMBANK BERHAD, 1MDB, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, BERNAMA, SARAWAK REPORT, SRC INTERNATIONAL, KUMPULAN WANG PERSARAAN (DIPERBADANKAN), UNITED STATES. DEPT OF JUSTICE, THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED

No more low-doc lending, CBA says

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Original article by Anthony Klan
The Australian – Page: 6 : 5-Jul-18

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia has advised that it will cease issuing low-documentation mortgage loans. These products have come under scrutiny amid revelations that mortgage brokers have falsified clients’ income in order to write loans. Low-documentation loans now account for 1.8 per cent of mortgage loans, compared with 7.6 per cent in 2010. CBA also intends to shift from a volume-based remuneration system for mortgage brokers rather than one based on the value of loans written.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

Macquarie exits trailing commissions

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Original article by James Kirby
The Australian – Page: 22 : 4-Jul-18

Macquarie Group’s decision to scrap trailing commissions for financial advisers has been welcomed by Bernie Ripoli, who played a key role in the Future of Financial Advice reforms. However, so-called grandfathered commissions are still widely used in the financial services sector four years after the FoFA reforms. There is speculation that the banking royal commission will recommend the abolition of trailing commissions. Ripoli says other banks could potentially opt to voluntarily scrap them.

CORPORATES
MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, BT FINANCIAL GROUP PTY LTD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, SAS GROUP CONSULTING

ASIC calls for crackdown on card sharks

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 19 & 22 : 4-Jul-18

A review of the credit card industry by the Australian Securities & Investment Commission has found that many consumers are finding it hard to repay their debt. ASIC deputy chair Peter Kell says relatively few card issuers actively take action to address such problems. In addition to being in arrears, many consumers have been issued with credit cards that are inappropriate for their needs. ASIC has proposed new rules whereby a consumer’s credit card debt would be restricted to their capacity to repay it within three years.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, LATITUDE GROUP, AMERICAN EXERGEN CORPORATION, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

RBA holds rates firm, defying global trend

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Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 19 & 27 : 4-Jul-18

Financial markets have priced in little chance of monetary policy tightening by April 2019 after the Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate unchanged at 1.5 per cent on 3 July. Economists note that the wording of the statement issued by governor Philip Lowe was largely similar to the previous month. Lowe reiterated that progress in reducing the unemployment rate and lifting inflation to the RBA’s target range of 2-3 per cent is likely to be gradual. He also noted the potential for a trade war to impact on global economic growth

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Law firm hits CBA with class action suit

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Original article by Cliona O’Dowd
The Australian – Page: 20 : 3-Jul-18

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia faces another class action over its money-laundering scandal. Law firm Phi Finney McDonald has filed a lawsuit on behalf of investors who bought CBA shares between 16 June 2014 and 3August 2017. The firm alleges that CBA’s failure to inform the market about the scandal constituted a breach of its disclosure requirements. The class action will allege that investors incurred loss and damage due to the bank’s inaction.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, PHI FINNEY McDONALD PTY LTD, THERIUM PTY LTD, CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS’ RETIREMENT SYSTEM, TEACHERS’ RETIREMENT SYSTEM OF TEXAS, MASSACHUSETTS PENSION RESERVES INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT BOARD, COLORADO PUBLIC EMPLOYEES’ RETIREMENT ASSOCIATION, MAURICE BLACKBURN PTY LTD, IMF BENTHAM LIMITED – ASX IMF

Property fall tipped to soften RBA

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 3-Jul-18

The Reserve Bank of Australia is widely tipped to leave official interest rates unchanged at 1.5 per cent on 3 July. However, the central bank’s so-called "shadow board" believes that there is a strong case for the cash rate to be increased immediately, given factors such as low wages growth, low unemployment and an inflation rate that is within the RBA’s target range. Meanwhile, new data shows that there was an 0.3 per cent decline in house prices in major cities during June.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, NOMURA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN NATIONAL UNIVERSITY, MONASH UNIVERSITY, UNIVERSITY OF SYDNEY, MACQUARIE UNIVERSITY

No RBA rate hikes for a year

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Original article by Vesna Poljak, Sarah Turner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 20 : 2-Jul-18

A quarterly survey of economists shows that the general consensus is that the Reserve Bank of Australia will leave interest rates on hold at 1.5 per cent until June 2019. The cash rate is now expected to reach two per cent by the end of 2019. However, former ANZ Bank chief economist Warren Hogan expects one rate increase by mid-2019, arguing that the RBA needs to begin the process of normalising monetary policy. Matthew Peter of QIC also expects one rate rise in the next 12 months.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, QIC LIMITED, UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY, SYDNEY, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, IFM INVESTORS PTY LTD, MARKET ECONOMICS PTY LTD, LAMINAR CAPITAL, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

RBA sidelined as cost of money rises

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 28-Jun-18

Futures market pricing suggests that investors expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to keep official interest rates on hold until late 2019. However, the gap between the cash rate and the bank bill swap rate has increased to 61 basis points, compared with an average of 18 basis points for much of the last decade. The rise in the BBSW may eventually prompt Australia’s major banks to increase their mortgage interest rates independently of the RBA, with several of the nation’s smaller lenders having already done so.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, ME BANK, AMP BANK LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, IFM INVESTORS PTY LTD