K62 Finance

Fed can’t afford to delay rate hikes: Williams

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 21 : 27-Jun-17

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco president John Williams says there should be a third rise in US interest rates in 2017, given that the nation now has low inflation and full employment. He warns that failure to increase interest rates could risk overheating the economy, which could in turn result in higher inflation. Williams adds that the Federal Reserve should also begin reducing its balance sheet, which has risen to $US4.5trn.

CORPORATES
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY, SYDNEY

Views diverge on Macquarie Group earnings

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 26-Jun-17

Karl Siegling of Cadence Asset Management does not think the federal and South Australian bank levies will have too great an impact on Macquarie Group’s earnings. On the issue of taxes, Morgan Stanley predicts that Macquarie will benefit from President Donald Trump’s plans to reduce US corporate taxes, while Bloomberg notes that analysts expect Macquarie to record a 2018 profit of $A2.3 billion.

CORPORATES
MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, CADENCE ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, QUADRANT ENERGY PTY LTD, BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT INCORPORATED, BLOOMBERG AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, AMB HOLDINGS PTY LTD, NUIX PTY LTD, ENDEAVOUR ENERGY LIMITED

BIS sounds warning on our debt levels

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Myriam Robin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 26-Jun-17

Data from the Reserve Bank shows that Australia’s household debt-to-income ratio is currently at a record 189 per cent. Meanwhile, the Bank for International Settlements notes that the Australian economy is one of several that have high levels of household debt which would be vulnerable in the event of a sharp rise in interest rates. The BIS report also notes that the cost of servicing this debt is already having an impact on economic growth.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS

Rate hikes starting to take a toll on borrowers

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 19 & 23 : 21-Jun-17

The proportion of Australian home loan customers that are in arrears rose by five basis points to 1.21 per cent in April 2017. Erin Kitson of Standard & Poor’s says moves by lenders to raise mortgage interest rates independently of the Reserve Bank in recent months was a major contributor to this trend. The rate rises have been prompted by a regulatory crackdown on interest-only mortgage loans. Meanwhile, Australian Securities & Investments Commission chairman Greg Medcraft has stressed the need for responsible lending.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, CANSTAR PTY LTD, ST GEORGE BANK LIMITED, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, SOCIETE GENERALE SA

Stocks fall on banks’ failure to alter levy

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 23 : 21-Jun-17

Shares in Australia’s four major banks and Macquarie Group were sold down on 21 June, in response to the passage of the Federal Government’s bank levy through Parliament and credit ratings downgrades by Moody’s. The Senate economics legislation committee made a number of recommendations concerning the levy, based on the suggestions of the five banks that will pay it, but they were rejected by the Government. Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank does not expect banks’ funding costs to be affected by the ratings downgrades.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. SENATE ECONOMICS LEGISLATION COMMITEE, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION

Moody’s trims bank ratings on rising debt

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 21 : 20-Jun-17

Moody’s has lowered its credit ratings for Australia’s four major banks, along with eight other smaller banks. Among the smaller banks to have their ratings downgraded are Bendigo & Adelaide Bank, ME Bank, Heritage Bank and Credit Union Australia. Francesco Mirenzi of Moody’s said the downgrades were prompted by concerns over high household debt and the possibility of a correction in the housing market.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, MEMBERS EQUITY BANK PTY LTD, HERITAGE BANK LIMITED – ASX HBS, CREDIT UNION AUSTRALIA LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NEWCASTLE PERMANENT BUILDING SOCIETY LIMITED, TEACHERS MUTUAL BANK LIMITED, QT MUTUAL, TEACHERS MUTUAL VICTORIA

Levy a shock for foreign investors: NAB

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 16-Jun-17

The Senate Economics Legislation Committee is currently investigating the bill to implement the Federal Government’s proposed bank levy. National Australia Bank CFO Gary Lennon says foreign investors have expressed concern to him about the tax, including the rushed manner in which it has been adopted. Amongst other things, submissions to the committee have argued that the bill should include a "sunset clause" and that the tax should cover foreign banks.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA. SENATE ECONOMICS LEGISLATION COMMITEE, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION, ME BANK, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, CUSTOMER OWNED BANKING ASSOCIATION, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Mortgage rate hikes pressure income

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 24 : 14-Jun-17

Data from RateCity shows that Australian mortgage interest rates for investors and borrowers with interest-only loans have generally risen by about 56 basis points in the last two months. Lenders have increased home loan interest rates seven times in the last two years, with rates for interest-only loans rising more quickly than those for owner-occupiers as lenders seek to shift customers from interest-only loans to principal-and-interest products. Martin Crabb of Shaw & Partners notes that a rise in home loan repayments is having an adverse impact on the level of household savings.

CORPORATES
RATECITY PTY LTD, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

All eyes on Fed’s expected interest rate rise

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 13-Jun-17

Financial market pricing indicates that the US Federal Reserve is almost certain to increase official interest rates in June 2017. Data showing that the US unemployment rate fell to a 16-year low in May will strengthen the case for a rate rise. Meanwhile, market watchers will be seeking guidance from the central bank on its plans to reduce its balance sheet, which has risen to $US4.5trn as a result of quantitative easing measures.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED, CITIBANK LIMITED, NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX, FACEBOOK INCORPORATED, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, APPLE INCORPORATED, ALPHABET INCORPORATED, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, NETFLIX INCORPORATED, CME GROUP INCORPORATED, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS

Outlook ‘tough’ as economy slows

roymorgansocial Leave a comment

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 27 : 8-Jun-17

Data from Credit Suisse shows that financial markets expect the cash rate to remain on hold in the next 12 months, following the release of the latest GDP data. The economy expanded by just 0.3 per cent in the March 2017 quarter, and year-on-year growth fell to an eight-year low of 1.7 per cent. The data will cast doubt on the Reserve Bank’s forecast of calendar year economic growth of 2.5-3.5 per cent. The Commonwealth Bank notes that the central bank will be adverse to easing the cash rate, as doing so could further inflate house prices.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, ROYAL BANK OF CANADA, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, TOLL HOLDINGS LIMITED, GOODMAN GROUP – ASX GMG