K64 Auxiliary Finance and Insurance Services

Fed rate hike roils global markets

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 15 & 21 : 21-Dec-18

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 has shed 9.2 per cent so far in 2018, and 11 per cent during the current quarter. The local market’s 1.3 per cent fall on 20 December was accompanied by large falls across Asia, while the Australian dollar reached a low of $US.7086 and the yield on 10-year Australian bonds fell to 2.3 per cent. Financial markets believe that the US Federal Reserve made a policy mistake in signalling further monetary policy tightening over the next few years and it may have to reduce interest rates within two years.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PEPPERSTONE FINANCIAL PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, BLOOMBERG LP, OANDA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MAGELLAN FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED – ASX MFG, WAM CAPITAL LIMITED – ASX WAM, MORNINGSTAR PTY LTD, PLATYPUS ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, ECP ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, HYPERION ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED

Major funds bracing for bear market

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 13 & 18 : 19-Dec-18

Sharemarkets in Australia and Asia fell sharply on 18 December, in response to bearish sentiment on Wall Street. The S&P/ASX 200 has shed more than 7.4 per cent so far in 2018, and it is on track to record its biggest fall for the December quarter since 2008. Magellan Financial Group and WAM Capital have maintain a high level of cash holdings, although Randal Jenneke of T. Rowe Price sees the market volatility as a selective buying opportunity.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MAGELLAN FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED – ASX MFG, WAM CAPITAL LIMITED – ASX WAM, T ROWE PRICE GROUP INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, RELIANCE WORLDWIDE CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX RWC, JAMES HARDIE INDUSTRIES PLC – ASX JHX, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

How to invest in the political maelstrom

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 15 & 22 : 18-Dec-18

Jason Steed of JP Morgan says a certain amount of sovereign risk has been priced into Australian sharemarket valuations ahead of the 2019 federal election. He notes that while there is some concern among investors about the prospecting of a Labor government, the Coalition has not very pro-business either. He adds that although the financial services sector in particular faces some headwinds in 2019, investors have already largely priced in the political and regulatory risks.

CORPORATES
JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, METCASH LIMITED – ASX MTS, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, ALUMINA LIMITED – ASX AWC, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL

Investors facing a year of risks

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 13 & 14 : 17-Dec-18

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 has shed 7.6 per cent so far in 2018, having peaked at a 10-year high of 6,373.5 points in August. However, market strategists are upbeat about the outlook for local shares in 2019, with a median forecast for the S&P/ASX 200 to gain 11 per cent in the next year. Domestic and global factors may weigh on market sentiment in 2019, including the economic outlook, falling Australian house prices, the prospect of interest rate rises in the US and Europe, and ongoing uncertainty surrounding Britain’s exit from the European Union.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MST MARQUEE, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

Early signs of tinsel raise ho-ho-hopes of a rally

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 13-Dec-18

Australia’s benchmark index posted its second-largest one-day gain for 2018 on 12 December, while some key Asian markets also rallied amid signs of a thawing of relations between the US and China. Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200’s forward price-earnings ratio fell below its long-term average of about 14 times on 10 December and the index’s estimated dividend yield reached a two-year high of 5.2 per cent. It should also be noted that over the last two decades, the S&P/ASX 200 has gained an average of two per cent during the last two weeks of a calendar year.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, KOSPI INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, HUAWEI TECHNOLOGIES COMPANY LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Year of shame puts floats on ice

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro, Sarah Thompson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 18 : 10-Dec-18

Hugh Dive of Atlas Funds Management says the financial market is approaching the end of its bull run, resulting in lower-quality IPOs. Sebastian Evans of NAOS says many companies have no good reason for listing on the Australian sharemarket, and he does not anticipate an improvement in the quality of IPOs in the near-term. Meanwhile, Andrew Stevens of UBS says investors are becoming more selective with regard to IPOs. Coronado Global Resources and Viva Energy are among the recent IPOs that have underperformed.

CORPORATES
ATLAS FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, NAOS ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CORONADO GLOBAL RESOURCES INCORPORATED – ASX CRN, VIVA ENERGY GROUP LIMITED – ASX VEA, REDCAPE HOTEL GROUP – ASX RDC, SMILES INCLUSIVE LIMITED – ASX SIL, EVANS DIXON LIMITED – ASX ED1, BLUE SKY ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS LIMITED – ASX BLA, PROSPA GROUP LIMITED, RAIZ INVEST LIMITED – ASX RZI, TRIMANTIUM GROWTHOPS LIMITED – ASX TGO, RCR TOMLINSON LIMITED – ASX RCR, LATITUDE FINANCIAL PARTNERS, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL

Volatility can’t stop deal-hungry companies

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 21 & 25 : 7-Dec-18

Herbert Smith Freehills partner Tony Damian believes that 2019 will be a stronger year than 2018 for mergers and acquisitions, and John Pickhaver of Macquarie Capital is similarly optimistic. Herbert Smith Freehills predicts that superannuation funds will show a continued willingness to be directly involved in M&A deals in 2019, while healthcare, property and infrastructure are tipped to be popular sectors for M&A activity in 2019. Announced 2018 Australian M&A deals totalled $US155.9 billion ($215.4 billion) as of 5 December, according to Refinitiv.

CORPORATES
HERBERT SMITH FREEHILLS PTY LTD, MACQUARIE CAPITAL PTY LTD, GRAINCORP LIMITED – ASX GNC, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO, COLES GROUP LIMITED – ASX COL, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, GREENCROSS LIMITED – ASX GXL, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, VODAFONE AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD, BGH CAPITAL PTY LTD, APA GROUP – ASX APA, CHEUNG KONG (HOLDINGS) LIMITED, BINGO INDUSTRIES LIMITED – ASX BIN, DIAL A DUMP INDUSTRIES PTY LTD, REFINITIV

Sharemarket in $30bn surge after thaw in US-China trade war

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 4-Dec-18

Materials and energy stocks posted the strongest gains on 3 December, with the Australian sharemarket rebounding from a big fall in the previous trading session. Investors responded positively to trade discussions between the US and China at the G20 meeting, as well as claims by President Donald Trump that China has agreed to remove tariffs on US cars. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar peaked at a four-month high of $US0.7384 in local trading.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, GROUP OF TWENTY (G-20), ROYAL BANK OF CANADA, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, OZ MINERALS LIMITED – ASX OZL, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, BORAL LIMITED – ASX BLD, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, BEACH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX BPT, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, KOSPI INDEX, FTSE 100 INDEX

AMP’s new CEO starts in the hot seat

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Original article by Misa Han
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 3-Dec-18

Francesco De Ferrari starts his first day as CEO of AMP on 3 December, having previously been head of Credit Suisse’s Asia-Pacific private banking business. De Ferrari says he is determined to make the most of the impetus provided by the banking royal commission to bring about change in the way that AMP does business. Hamish Carlisle from Merlon Capital says De Ferrari should give AMP shareholders the opportunity to vote on the proposed sale of the AMP Life division, as well as renegotiating the deal if possible.

CORPORATES
AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AMP LIFE LIMITED, CREDIT SUISSE AG, MERLON CAPITAL PARTNERS PTY LTD, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, ATLAS FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN SHAREHOLDERS’ ASSOCIATION

Reasons to be grateful amid rout: Citi strategist

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 22-Nov-18

The Australian sharemarket shed 6.1 per cent in October, while bearish sentiment in the US saw the S&P 500 fall seven per cent. However, Tobias Levkovich of Citigroup is upbeat about the outlook for US equities in the year ahead, noting that the "sentiment metric" indicates a high probability that the S&P 500 will be higher in 12 months’ time. David Kostin of Goldman Sachs also expects the S&P 500 to rise over the next year.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, CITIGROUP INCORPORATED, THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, GROUP OF TWENTY (G-20)