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Shaky markets signal more share pain on way

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 27 : 8-Feb-18

Futures pricing suggests that the US sharemarket will experience further volatility, despite a rebound on 7 February. The bearish investor sentiment of recent days has prompted renewed support for "safe-haven" assets, including US government bonds and currencies such as the yen. Meanwhile, the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s Volatility Index briefly rose above 50 per cent on 7 February, compared with just 11.5 per cent a week earlier. However, Jeremy Lawson of Aberdeen Standard Investments does not expect global sharemarket volatility to be sustained.

CORPORATES
CHICAGO BOARD OPTIONS EXCHANGE VOLATILITY INDEX, ABERDEEN STANDARD INVESTMENTS, CREDIT SUISSE AG, BELL ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX BLM, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, FTSE 100 INDEX, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, HANG SENG INDEX

$30bn shares wipeout prompts fears bull run at an end

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 1 : 6-Feb-18

Richard Coppleson of Bell Potter says the global equities market sell-off will create excellent buying opportunities when it has run its course. Futures pricing suggests that Wall Street will shed a further 0.6 per cent when trading resumes, after the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 2.5 per cent on 2 February. The Australian bourse is likely to follow its lead, after shedding 1.6 per cent on 5 February.

CORPORATES
BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, CSI 300 INDEX, BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, TARGET AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, PENGANA CAPITAL GROUP LIMITED – ASX PCG, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Investors follow Future Fund to lift share exposure

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Original article by James Kirby
The Australian – Page: 32 : 2-Feb-18

A report from Investment Trends shows that in early 2017 the average investor expected a return of just 1-5 per cent from Australian equities for the calendar year, but the ASX achieved a full-year return of 11.8 per cent. Investment Trends’ King Loong Choi says the firm’s annual survey shows that the proportion of investors whose main goal is to maximise capital growth has risen from 18 per cent to 25 per cent in 2018. Choi adds that retail investors who increase their exposure to equities in 2018 may choose to do so via investment vehicles such as exchange-traded funds rather than directly buying shares.

CORPORATES
INVESTMENT TRENDS PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY

Smaller end of town to buoy ASX

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Original article by Glenda Korporaal
The Australian – Page: 25 : 31-Jan-18

A report by HLB Mann Judd notes that 37 companies have plans to list on the Australian sharemarket at present, compared with 23 at the same time in 2017. Third Party Technologies heads the list of prospective floats, with plans to raise $A123m from investors. HLB Mann Judd expects small and medium-sized companies to continue to dominate the IPO market in 2018. There were no IPOs worth more than $A1bn in 2017, and no IPOs of this size are currently in the works.

CORPORATES
HLB MANN JUDD, THIRD PARTY TECHNOLOGIES INCORPORATED – ASX 3PT, INDIA FUND LIMITED – ASX INF, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, COLONIAL FIRST STATE GROUP LIMITED, INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED – ASX ING, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, OFFICEWORKS SUPERSTORES PTY LTD, ARCHER CAPITAL PTY LTD, CRAVEABLE BRANDS LIMITED, OPORTO PTY LTD, RED ROOSTER FOODS, ZIP INDUSTRIES AUSTRALIA, QUADRANT PRIVATE EQUITY PTY LTD, CHAMP PRIVATE EQUITY PTY LTD, ACCOLADE WINES LIMITED

Meet the Bond who helped return 74 per cent in 2017

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 27 : 30-Jan-18

Terra Capital founder Jeremy Bond is upbeat about the outlook for equities in 2018, particularly the resources sector. The firm’s natural resources fund achieved a return of 74 per cent in 2017, benefiting from rising demand for raw materials used in electric car and storage batteries, such as lithium and cobalt. However, Bond notes that the rally in the resources sector is broad-based and encompasses most commodities.

CORPORATES
TERRA CAPITAL PTY LTD, TERRA CAPITAL NATURAL RESOURCE FUND PTY LTD, TAWANA RESOURCES NL – ASX TAW, FIRST COBALT CORPORATION – ASX FCC, ECOBALT SOLUTIONS INCORPORATED, OKLO RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX OKU, CHAMPION IRON LIMITED – ASX CIA, CLEVELAND-CLIFFS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, RIVERSDALE MINING LIMITED, MERCER INVESTMENTS PTY LTD, BENNELONG CONCENTRATED AUSTRALIAN EQUITIES FUND, TRIBECA GLOBAL NATURAL RESOURCES FUND

Firms sidestep AGM protest votes

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Original article by Andrew White
The Australian – Page: 19 : 30-Jan-18

The Australian Securities & Investments Commission has released the results of its review of the latest AGM season. ASIC found that there was a decline in the number of "first strikes" issued against company boards over their remuneration reports, although here was an increase in the number of votes against individual directors. Shareholder-generated resolutions relating to climate change and human rights were tabled at eight AGMs, but attracted an average of just six per cent of "for" votes.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA. ATTORNEY-GENERAL’S DEPT. AUSTRALIAN TRANSACTION REPORTS AND ANALYSIS CENTRE

Citi upbeat on stocks amid rising resources

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 30-Jan-18

The general consensus of analysts is for the S&P/ASX 200 to be trading at around 6,250 points at the end of 2018. However, Citigroup has upgraded its year-end forecast from 6,400 points to 6,600. Tony Brennan of Citigroup notes that there is the potential for further upside if the recent rise in commodity prices is sustained. The S&P/ASX 200 has gained 0.2 per cent so far in 2018, compared with a gain of 7.5 per cent for the S&P 500.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MSCI ALL COUNTRY WORLD INDEX, WOOLWORTHS GROUP LIMITED – ASX WOW, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC

Miners ride high into new profit season

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 29-Jan-18

Data from Deutsche Bank shows that Australian-listed companies are forecast to achieve earnings-per-share growth of seven per cent in 2017-18. Kogan, Noni B and Lovisa are among the companies that have upgraded their earnings forecasts ahead of the February 2018 reporting season. The outlook for resources stock in particular is good, with Macquarie Group recently upgrading its share price targets for BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and South32 on the strength of its bullish price forecasts for commodities such as iron ore and coking coal in 2018.

CORPORATES
DEUTSCHE BANK AG, KOGAN.COM LIMITED – ASX KGN, NONI B LIMITED – ASX NBL, LOVISA HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX LOV, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, PINNACLE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX PNI, RETAIL FOOD GROUP LIMITED – ASX RFG, AUSTRALIAN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES LIMITED – ASX API, McGRATH LIMITED – ASX MEA, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, PRICELINE PHARMACY, ORIGIN ASSET MANAGEMENT, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE. INSTITUTE OF APPLIED ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

AFIC left behind on rising resources

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 18 : 23-Jan-18

The Australian Foundation Investment Company has posted a 2017-18 interim profit of $A136.4m, which is 15.6 per higher than previously. Its investment portfolio achieved a return of 6.9 per cent for the half-year, while the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 gained 8.4 per cent. AFIC failed to benefit from a rally in small and mid-cap resources stocks, as its focus in the sector is on large-cap stocks. AFIC CEO Mark Freeman notes that elevated share price means it is hard to find stocks that are fairly valued at present.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, WESTFIELD CORPORATION – ASX WFD, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, INCITEC PIVOT LIMITED – ASX IPL, COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED – ASX CCL, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE

Cyclical stocks back in play as bulls charge on

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 22 : 19-Jan-18

Analysis by Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse shows that stocks with the lowest volatility have traded at an average price-earnings premium of nearly 10 per cent over the last decade. In contrast, stocks with the highest volatility have traded on an average PE discount of nearly 20 per cent. Tevfik says investors should rebalance their portfolios in favour of higher-volatility cyclical stocks rather than so-called bond proxies. Stocks he favours include BHP Billiton, Whitehaven Coal, Qantas and Harvey Norman.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED – ASX WHC, QANTAS AIRWAYS LIMITED – ASX QAN, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, STOCKLAND – ASX SGP, MAGELLAN FINANCIAL GROUP LIMITED – ASX MFG, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, CHICAGO BOARD OPTIONS EXCHANGE VOLATILITY INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX