K64 Auxiliary Finance and Insurance Services

Small caps tipped to lift tough reporting season

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 22 : 1-Feb-16

The consensus of analysts is that the Australian sharemarket’s earnings per share will decline by six per cent in the February 2016 reporting season. However, a 45.5 per cent fall in earnings per share is forecast for the resources sector. Donald Williams of Platypus Asset Management is bearish about the outlook for the sector, warning that commodity prices are unlikely to rebound for several years. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley expects stocks outside the top 20 to perform the best.

CORPORATES
PLATYPUS ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, BENNELONG AUSTRALIAN EQUITY PARTNERS PTY LTD, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED – ASX WOR, AMCOR LIMITED – ASX AMC, ANSELL LIMITED – ASX ANN, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED – ASX CCL, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, MANTRA GROUP LIMITED – ASX MTR, AVEO GROUP – ASX AOG, BURSON GROUP LIMITED – ASX BAP, CSG LIMITED – ASX CSV, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, GENWORTH MORTGAGE INSURANCE AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX GMA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Resources sector delivers top stock picks for the bold

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Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 29-Jan-16

Credit Suisse has identified Kula Gold as the Australian-listed stock that it expects to perform the best in 2016, forecasting a return of 362 per cent. This based on an analysis of 180 stocks. The other five stocks that Credit Suisse expects to achieve the highest returns for the calendar year are Altona Mining, WorleyParsons, Whitehaven Coal, Bradken and Senex Energy. Meanwhile, Brambles and Evolution Mining are among the stocks that are tipped to underperform.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, KULA GOLD LIMITED – ASX KGD, ALTONA MINING LIMITED – ASX AOH, WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED – ASX WOR, WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED – ASX WHC, BRADKEN LIMITED – ASX BKN, SENEX ENERGY LIMITED – ASX SXY, BRAMBLES LIMITED – ASX BXB, EVOLUTION MINING LIMITED – ASX EVN, PACIFIC ROAD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, FRANKLIN TEMPLETON ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, OZ MINERALS LIMITED – ASX OZL, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, PACIFIC EQUITY PARTNERS PTY LTD, BAIN CAPITAL LLC

Future Fund shifts to 20pc cash weighting as global risks grow

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 18 : 28-Jan-16

The Australian Government’s Future Fund reduced its investment portfolio’s equities holdings from 39 per cent to 31 per cent in 2015. The fund has in turn lifted its exposure to cash holdings to around 20 per cent, or $A24.4bn. CEO David Neal says the fund has taken into account the high-risk global environment and the low yields that currently prevail. The fund posted a return of 8.4 per cent for calendar 2015, although its return for the second half was one per cent.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY, CHANT WEST FINANCIAL SERVICES PTY LTD

AFIC hunts for quality mid-cap investments

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Original article by Ruth Liew
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 21-Jan-16

The Australian Foundation Investment Company has posted a 2015-16 interim profit of $A145.5m, which is 10.3 per cent higher than previously. The listed investment company’s revenue was 7.2 per cent higher at $A156.6m, although its investment portfolio generated a loss of 1.3 per cent for the half-year. The group has reduced its exposure to large banks and retailers, and increased its holdings of stocks such as Qube Holdings, Suncorp Group and Treasury Wine Estates.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI, QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX QUB, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, CHALLENGER LIMITED – ASX CGF, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MAINFREIGHT LIMITED, INTEGRAL DIAGNOSTICS LIMITED – ASX IDX, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 ACCUMULATION INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

APN raises guidance 56pc as funds forge ahead

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Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 19-Jan-16

APN Property Group has revised its full-year earnings guidance. The Australian-listed real estate investment fund stated on 18 January 2016 that its operating earnings for the year would be between $A0.032 and $A0.035 per share, compared with a prediction of earnings of $A0.02 and $A0.023 per share, made at the AGM in November 2015.

CORPORATES
APN PROPERTY GROUP LIMITED – ASX APD, INDUSTRIA REIT FUND – ASX IDR, GENERATION HEALTHCARE REIT – ASX GHC, GROCON PTY LTD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, HIGH COURT OF AUSTRALIA

ASX drops, bounces back from early low

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 19-Jan-16

The S&P/ ASX 200 index fell 0.7 per cent on 18 January 2016, closing at 4,858.7 points. The energy sector performed poorly, declining 3.4 per cent, but gains were made in sectors such as consumer, industrial and telecommunications. Woolworths rose 4.4 per cent to $A23.65 after announcing it would exit its home improvement business Masters.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, MASTERS HOME IMPROVEMENT AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AURORA FUNDS MANAGEMENT LIMITED, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, LOWE’S COMPANIES INCORPORATED, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, HOME RETAIL GROUP PLC, HOMEBASE, BUNNINGS GROUP LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Property proves winner for fundies

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Original article by Duncan Hughes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 19-Jan-16

Australian real estate investment trusts (A-REITs) generated 14 per cent in total return in 2015, according to investment bank JP Morgan. Wholesale property funds and direct property returned about 12 per cent. Tim Mackay, an adviser with Quantum Financial, expects the A-REIT sector to perform well in 2016. Investors are likely to be attracted to the sector by its dividend yield of around five per cent.

CORPORATES
JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, QUANTUM FINANCIAL SERVICES, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC, AVEO GROUP – ASX AOG, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 A-REIT INDEX

Brokers say shares will come back

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi, Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 18-Jan-16

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 has shed 7.9 per cent so far in 2016, closing at 4,892 points on 15 January. However, opinion is divided about the outlook for the local bourse in 2016. Morgan Stanley expects the benchmark index to end the year at 4,800 points, while Macquarie Group has a year-end forecast of 5,900 points. Meanwhile, Shane Oliver of AMP Capital expects the index to end the year at 5,500 points.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH SECURITIES LIMITED, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, MORPHIC ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, DELTEC, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX

Morgan Stanley tips index at 4800

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 15-Jan-16

Morgan Stanley is bearish about the outlook for the Australian sharemarket in 2016, forecasting that the S&P/ASX 200 Index will end the year at 4,800 points. The investment bank expects capital returns to be minus nine per cent in 2016, while it says factors such as the prospect of further interest rate cuts and the economic outlook will weigh on earning per share growth. Meanwhile, Societe Generale’s Albert Edwards expects the S&P 500 to shed 75 per cent in 2016, to 550 points.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED,{SPAC}STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX,{SPAC}CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED,{SPAC}RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA,{SPAC}SOCIETE GENERALE SA,{SPAC}STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX,{SPAC}CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED,{SPAC}UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD,{SPAC}ISELECT LIMITED – ASX ISU,{SPAC}GODFREYS GROUP LIMITED – ASX GFY

RBS tells investors to ‘sell everything’

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Original article by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 13-Jan-16

Royal Bank of Scotland is extremely bearish about the outlook for global financial markets in 2016, advising investors to offload all holdings except for "quality bonds". The bank has forecast that sharemarkets in the US and Europe could fall by 10-20 per cent, while global bond yields will also decline sharply and the US Federal Reserve may be forced to cut interest rates. Meanwhile, RBS says the price of Brent crude oil could potentially test $US16 per barrel. Originally published in "The Telegraph".

CORPORATES
ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP PLC, FTSE 100 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BANK OF ENGLAND, ORGANISATION OF PETROLEUM EXPORTING COUNTRIES, MORGAN STANLEY AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, UBS AG