K64 Auxiliary Finance and Insurance Services

Forget China, bigger risk for local shares on the horizon

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 35 : 17-Nov-15

Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse warns that a rise in the global inflation rate would have a bigger impact on Australian sharemarket investors that an interest rate rise in the US or an economic slowdown in China. Credit Suisse notes that global bond yields would most likely rise if there is a spike in the US inflation rate, while Stephen Walters of JP Morgan expects the global inflation rate to rise after falling to 1.4 per cent in September 2015.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED

Stocks set to tumble after French terror

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 16-Nov-15

Global sharemarkets are expected to be heavily sold down on 16 November 2015, as investors opt for lower-risk assets in the wake of the terrorist attacks in Paris. Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 closed at 5,051.25 on 13 November, and futures markets had already anticipated a fall below the 5,000-point level prior to the terrorist attacks. AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver does expect any downturn in the Australian market to be sustained, although he says resources stocks are likely to fall further.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, PEAK ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, HASSIUM ASSET MANAGEMENT, CAC 40 INDEX, EURO STOXX 50 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BLOOMBERG LP

Ausbil’s Xiradis sees value in bank stocks

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Original article by Philip Baker, Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 16-Nov-15

Ausbil Investment Management boasts some $A10bn worth of funds under management, and its Active Equity Fund has achieved an annual return of 11.1 per cent since inception. Ausbil co-founder Paul Xiradis is upbeat about Australia’s four major banks, as well as other blue-chip stocks such as Woolworths and BHP Billiton. He also likes QBE Insurance Group and BlueScope Steel, and believes that Woolworths should exit the Masters hardware business.

CORPORATES
AUSBIL INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, MASTERS HOME IMPROVEMENT AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, ALDI STORES SUPERMARKETS PTY LTD, COSTCO WHOLESALE AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, WESTPAC INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, BUNNINGS GROUP LIMITED

CEOs rapped for ‘lazy’ $20b rights splurge

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Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 13-Nov-15

Clime Asset Management’s John Abernethy says retail investors have questioned whether some recent capital raisings by large Australian companies were necessary. More than $A20bn has been raised by banks and other big companies in recent months, which Abernethy describes as "excessive and expensive". Santos shares were heavily sold down on 12 November 2015, in response to the oil and gas producer’s capital raising.

CORPORATES
CLIME ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Uncertainty clouds fate of blue-chip dividends

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 13-Nov-15

Data from Morningstar shows that the average gross dividend yield for S&P/ASX 20 stocks has risen to a seven year-high of seven per cent. Meanwhile, three of the top-20 stocks have a 12-month gross yield in excess of 10 per cent, according to Bloomberg. ST Wong of Prime Value Asset Management says the top-20 stocks should be able to maintain their dividend payouts during the next year. However, some analysts believe that banks and resources groups may need to reduce their dividends.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 20 INDEX, MORNINGSTAR PTY LTD, BLOOMBERG LP, PRIME VALUE ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Company insolvencies ‘may rise 10pc’

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Original article by Karen Maley
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 13-Nov-15

Ludovic Subran, the chief economist at credit insurance group Euler Hermes, has warned that the growing incidence of corporate insolvencies in emerging markets will have a flow-on effect globally in 2016. Euler Hermes forecasts that Australia will record five per cent growth in insolvencies during 2016, following an increase of around 10 per cent in 2015. Insolvencies in China are forecast to rise by 25 per cent in 2015 and 20 per cent in 2016.

CORPORATES
EULER HERMES, ALLIANZ AG HOLDING

Australian M&A fires up as global uncertainty weighs on executives

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 9-Nov-15

A global survey of senior executives by EY Oceania shows that more than 50 per cent of Australian companies intend to pursue acquisitions in the next 12 months, compared with 44 per cent in the previous six-monthly survey. Mergers and acquisitions activity in Australia is particularly strong in sectors such as food services, consumer retailing and life sciences. Meanwhile, 64 per cent of respondents in Australia and New Zealand, plus 74 per cent globally, expect equity valuations to remain stable.

CORPORATES
ERNST AND YOUNG, WOODSIDE PARK STUD PTY LTD, OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, ASCIANO LIMITED – ASX AIO, QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX QUB, BROOKFIELD INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS LP, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

Rate cut nerves push ASX lower for sixth day

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 3-Nov-15

The S&P/ASX 200 index declined 1.4 per cent to 5,165.8 on 2 November 2015. It was the sixth straight day of losses for the index. The banks were particularly weak, with National Australia Bank losing 1.7 per cent to $A29.62, the Commonwealth Bank declining 2.1 per cent to $A75.10 and ANZ shedding 2.3 per cent to $A26.85.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH, TATTS GROUP LIMITED – ASX TTS, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, QUADRANT ENERGY PTY LTD

Market flags as rate cuts lose potency

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 3-Nov-15

The Australian sharemarket had another bad day on 2 November 2015, with the S&P/ASX200 index falling to 5,165.8 points. The index was close to 6,000 points in April. The charts suggest that the index could decline to below 5,100. Risks include doubts about China’s manufacturing sector; a likely increase in the GST, and a possible drought in Queensland.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS

The winds of change will hit companies

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Age – Page: 27 : 30-Oct-15

Morgan Stanley forecasts that the El Nino weather phenomenon will benefit Australian-listed companies across a range of sectors during the 2015-16 summer. Coca-Cola Amatil, JB Hi-Fi, Harvey Norman, Origin Energy and AGL Energy are among the companies that are tipped to enjoy stronger revenue due to the warmer weather associated with El Nino. Mining companies and insurers are also expected to benefit, but wheat, grain and beef producers in particular are likely to be adversely affected.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED – ASX CCL, JB HI-FI LIMITED – ASX JBH, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, GRAINCORP LIMITED – ASX GNC