K: Financial and Insurance Services

‘Dangerous’ bank levy may have domino effect: Bligh

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Original article by David Crowe, Andrew White
The Australian – Page: 17 & 21 : 27-Jul-17

Australian Bankers’ Association CEO Anna Bligh has expressed concern that more state governments could implement their own version of the federal levy on banks. The levy is intended to boost government revenue by $A6.2bn, but Bligh has told the National Press Club that this impost could double if all states introduced their own levy. Bligh also supports Peter Costello’s call for banking industry executives to justify their high salaries, while she has questioned whether a royal commission into banks – as advocated by Labor – is appropriate and necessary.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BANKERS’ ASSOCIATION, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY, NATIONAL PRESS CLUB (AUSTRALIA), SOUTH AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FINANCE

Small caps ‘offer best opportunity’

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Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 27-Jul-17

Allan Gray Australia’s Simon Mawhinney is upbeat about the outlook for small-capitalisation stocks, forecasting that they are set to outperform their larger peers. Smaller Australian companies have tended to have lower returns over the last several decades, but Mawhinney expects non-S&P/ASX 100 companies to outperform over the next five years. Allan Gray particularly likes stocks such as Capral, Mineral Deposits and HT&E.

CORPORATES
ALLAN GRAY AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 100 INDEX, CAPRAL LIMITED – ASX CAA, MINERAL DEPOSITS LIMITED – ASX MDL, HT&E LIMITED – ASX HT1, ALUMINA LIMITED – ASX AWC, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, NEWCREST MINING LIMITED – ASX NCM, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, METCASH LIMITED – ASX MTS, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 300 ACCUMULATION INDEX

RBA dampens rate cut hopes

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 28 : 27-Jul-17

Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe has signalled that the central bank will maintain its inflation target of 2-3 per cent. Meanwhile, new data shows that CPI growth in the June quarter was below expectations at 1.9 per cent, although growth in core inflation was in line with forecasts at 1.8 per cent. Shane Oliver of AMP Capital expects the RBA to leave the cash rate at 1.5 per cent until at least the end of 2018.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, THE ANIKA FOUNDATION

Small miners, pot stocks dominate IPOs

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Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 26-Jul-17

The materials sector accounted for 15 of the 57 companies that debuted on the Australian sharemarket in the first half of 2017. They included five gold stocks and three lithium hopefuls. Marcus Ohm of HLB Mann Judd notes that IPOs raised $A1.9bn in total during the first half, compared with $A2.5bn in the first half of 2016 (from 34 IPOs). The majority of IPOs in the year to date have been worth less than $A100m. Meanwhile, the number of "back-door" listings fell from 69 to just 10.

CORPORATES
HLB MANN JUDD, OFFICEWORKS SUPERSTORES PTY LTD, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, THE GOOD GUYS, JB HI-FI LIMITED – ASX JBH

Surging dollar threatens post-boom momentum as it tests US80c

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 & 27 : 26-Jul-17

The Australian dollar has gained 3.5 per cent so far in July, and it remains close to a two-year high. The currency has risen by about 10 per cent in the year to date, and its trade-weighted index has risen by five per cent. The Australian dollar has benefited from factors such as a downturn in the value of its US counterpart and growing speculation that the Reserve Bank will increase interest rates in 2018. Greg Gibbs of Amplifying Global FX Capital says a further sharp fall in the value of the US dollar is possible given the US economic outlook.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AMPLIFYING GLOBAL FX CAPITAL PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, THE ANIKA FOUNDATION, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Looking to profits to solve economy’s jumbled puzzle

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 25-Jul-17

PM Capital’s Uday Cheruvu says the August 2017 earnings season will be more important than usual given that business confidence seems to be improving but consumer confidence remains subdued. Cheruvu adds that capital expenditure intentions will also be a key metric in the upcoming reporting season, suggesting that building materials group in particular may increase capex. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs says companies whose earnings could exceed expectations include BlueScope Steel, Crown Resorts, Telstra and South32.

CORPORATES
PM CAPITAL LIMITED, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, BRAVURA SOLUTIONS LIMITED.- ASX BVS, COSTA GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX CGC, SKYCITY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX SKC, COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED – ASX CCL, MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, THE STAR ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX SGR, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, ADAIRS LIMITED – ASX ADH, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, CYAN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, RESMED INCORPORATED – ASX RMD, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH

As good as it gets for the Australian dollar?

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Original article by Jens Meyer
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 25-Jul-17

A speech by Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe on 26 July is likely to be closely scrutinised after recent commentary on a neutral interest rate target prompted the Australian dollar to rally. The currency peaked at a two-year high in response, although it retreated after deputy governor Guy Debelle downplayed the discussions about neutral rates. Paul Dales of Capital Economics expects the dollar to come under downward pressure, citing factors such as the outlook for interest rates and the iron ore price.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, AXITRADER PTY LTD, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE, OANDA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Pressure mounts on hedge funds over fees

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Original article by James Thomson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 24-Jul-17

Investors in hedge funds are seeking a better deal on fees, as well as more flexible fee structures, according to a survey by Credit Suisse. The survey, which encompassed upwards of 200 corporate investors, also found that just under 90 per cent of investors who had withdrawn monies from poorly performing hedge funds intended to reinvest in the sector, and that 57 per cent of hedge funds envisage at least a "moderate" increase in their allotment to quantitative strategies.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE AG

NAB CFO hails APRA decision

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Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 24-Jul-17

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority has set a new capital target for the banking sector, with the four main banks expected to have a common equity tier-one capital ratio of 10.5 per cent or more by 1 January 2020. Gary Lennon, the National Australia Bank’s chief financial officer, says it is well placed to reach the target, as it had a CETI ratio of 10.1 per cent at the end of March 2017. Lennon is supportive of APRA’s target, saying it will help to boost investor confidence in the banking sector.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Bankers ‘all smiles’ as capital angst ends

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Original article by Andrew White
The Australian – Page: 22 : 21-Jul-17

Macquarie Wealth Management says the nation’s four major banks should have no difficulty meeting the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority’s revised capital targets, given that their capital increased by between 30 and 50 basis points during the first half of 2016-17. The new minimum requirements for common equity tier-one capital were less onerous than had been forecast, which prompted renewed investor support for bank stocks on 20 July.

CORPORATES
MACQUARIE WEALTH MANAGEMENT, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ