Fed can’t afford to delay rate hikes: Williams

Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 21 : 27-Jun-17

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco president John Williams says there should be a third rise in US interest rates in 2017, given that the nation now has low inflation and full employment. He warns that failure to increase interest rates could risk overheating the economy, which could in turn result in higher inflation. Williams adds that the Federal Reserve should also begin reducing its balance sheet, which has risen to $US4.5trn.

CORPORATES
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY, SYDNEY

Views diverge on Macquarie Group earnings

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 26-Jun-17

Karl Siegling of Cadence Asset Management does not think the federal and South Australian bank levies will have too great an impact on Macquarie Group’s earnings. On the issue of taxes, Morgan Stanley predicts that Macquarie will benefit from President Donald Trump’s plans to reduce US corporate taxes, while Bloomberg notes that analysts expect Macquarie to record a 2018 profit of $A2.3 billion.

CORPORATES
MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, CADENCE ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, QUADRANT ENERGY PTY LTD, BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT INCORPORATED, BLOOMBERG AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, AMB HOLDINGS PTY LTD, NUIX PTY LTD, ENDEAVOUR ENERGY LIMITED

BIS sounds warning on our debt levels

Original article by Myriam Robin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 26-Jun-17

Data from the Reserve Bank shows that Australia’s household debt-to-income ratio is currently at a record 189 per cent. Meanwhile, the Bank for International Settlements notes that the Australian economy is one of several that have high levels of household debt which would be vulnerable in the event of a sharp rise in interest rates. The BIS report also notes that the cost of servicing this debt is already having an impact on economic growth.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS

Global investors moving ASX funds elsewhere

Original article by Myriam Robin
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 23-Jun-17

Some fund managers suggest that the Australian sharemarket’s 1.6 per cent downturn on 21 June was prompted by foreign investors shifting out of local equities. Meanwhile, Tony Brennan and Mark Tomlins of Citigroup say Asian sharemarkets may be more attractive to international investors at present, given their better prospects for earnings upgrades. Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse adds that passive fund managers are likely to reduce their exposure to Australian shares in coming years as the MSCI Asia-Pacific ex-Japan’s weighting toward Chinese and Hong Kong-listed shares increases.

CORPORATES
CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, MSCI ASIA-PACIFIC EX-JAPAN INDEX, MSCI EMERGING MARKETS INDEX, MSCI INCORPORATED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED – ASX CPU, MSCI AUSTRALIA INDEX

Investors wary of copycat state bank levies

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 31 : 23-Jun-17

Shares in Australian banks rose on 22 June, although they failed to retain early gains after the South Australian Government moved to impose a levy on banks’ state liabilities. Bank stocks are likely to be sold down in the near-term amid concern that other states could seek to balance their budgets via a levy on the sector. However, the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 has shed just 3.7 per cent during May and June 2017 – well below the five-year average loss of 4.4 per cent – and the local bourse traditionally performs well in July.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MSCI INCORPORATED, MSCI ASIA-PACIFIC EX-JAPAN INDEX, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED

Market jitters set off $27bn plunge

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 1 : 22-Jun-17

The Australian sharemarket shed 1.6 per cent on 21 June, extending its losses since early May to nearly five per cent. The S&P/ASX 200 typically falls in May and June, in the lead-up to the end of the financial year, and it has shed 4.4 per cent over the last two months. A move to add China’s A shares to the MSCI Emerging Markets Index weighed on sharemarkets across the Asia-Pacific region, although China’s CSI 300 Index rose 1.2 per cent.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CSI 300 INDEX, MSCI EMERGING MARKETS INDEX, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

Rate hikes starting to take a toll on borrowers

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 19 & 23 : 21-Jun-17

The proportion of Australian home loan customers that are in arrears rose by five basis points to 1.21 per cent in April 2017. Erin Kitson of Standard & Poor’s says moves by lenders to raise mortgage interest rates independently of the Reserve Bank in recent months was a major contributor to this trend. The rate rises have been prompted by a regulatory crackdown on interest-only mortgage loans. Meanwhile, Australian Securities & Investments Commission chairman Greg Medcraft has stressed the need for responsible lending.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, CANSTAR PTY LTD, ST GEORGE BANK LIMITED, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, SOCIETE GENERALE SA

Stocks fall on banks’ failure to alter levy

Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 23 : 21-Jun-17

Shares in Australia’s four major banks and Macquarie Group were sold down on 21 June, in response to the passage of the Federal Government’s bank levy through Parliament and credit ratings downgrades by Moody’s. The Senate economics legislation committee made a number of recommendations concerning the levy, based on the suggestions of the five banks that will pay it, but they were rejected by the Government. Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank does not expect banks’ funding costs to be affected by the ratings downgrades.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIA. SENATE ECONOMICS LEGISLATION COMMITEE, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION

Moody’s trims bank ratings on rising debt

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 21 : 20-Jun-17

Moody’s has lowered its credit ratings for Australia’s four major banks, along with eight other smaller banks. Among the smaller banks to have their ratings downgraded are Bendigo & Adelaide Bank, ME Bank, Heritage Bank and Credit Union Australia. Francesco Mirenzi of Moody’s said the downgrades were prompted by concerns over high household debt and the possibility of a correction in the housing market.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, MEMBERS EQUITY BANK PTY LTD, HERITAGE BANK LIMITED – ASX HBS, CREDIT UNION AUSTRALIA LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NEWCASTLE PERMANENT BUILDING SOCIETY LIMITED, TEACHERS MUTUAL BANK LIMITED, QT MUTUAL, TEACHERS MUTUAL VICTORIA

PE, capital flows bolster local M&A prospects

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 17 : 20-Jun-17

Data from Dealogic shows that $US44.1bn ($A57.9bn) worth of Australian mergers and acquisitions have been announced so far in 2017. This is 52 per cent higher than at the same time in 2016, and market watchers anticipate that M&A activity will remain strong in the second half of the year. Kate Towey of law firm Allens says overseas investors regard the Australian market as stable and attractive, while Alex Cartel of Deutsche Bank expects shareholder activism to have an increasing influence on the local market.

CORPORATES
DEALOGIC (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, ALLENS, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, TATTS GROUP LIMITED – ASX TTS, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH, ENDEAVOUR ENERGY LIMITED, ALINTA ENERGY (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, KKR AND COMPANY LP, VOCUS GROUP LIMITED – ASX VOC, PLATINUM EQUITY HOLDINGS, STAPLES AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, OFFICEMAX INCORPORATED, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, ELLIOTT MANAGEMENT CORPORATION, JOHNSON AND JOHNSON, ACTELION, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, WHOLE FOODS MARKET INCORPORATED, MINTER ELLISON, AUSTRALIA. FOREIGN INVESTMENT REVIEW BOARD