Earnings season shows bourse’s pillars are solid

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 31 : 16-Feb-17

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 closed above 5,800 points on 15 February 2017, bolstered by strong earnings results by a number of blue-chip stocks. The local bourse is now underperforming the US market by less than two per cent, recovering from a disappointing performance in January. The S&P/ASX 200 could test the 6,000-point level if the reporting season continues to deliver good results, and Richard Copple­son of Bell Potter still expects it to reach 6,300 points by the end of 2017.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, BORAL LIMITED – ASX BLD, COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED – ASX CPU, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, CIMIC GROUP LIMITED – ASX CIM, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, PRIMARY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX PRY, SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM, BRAMBLES LIMITED – ASX BXB, COLES SUPERMARKETS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD

Mixed views on dollar’s chance of hitting US80c

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 15-Feb-17

The Australian dollar rallied on 14 February 2017, benefiting from factors such as an upbeat business survey and a strong rise in the Chinese producer price index. The currency has reached a two-year high on a trade-weighted index basis, while it is within sight of the 2016 high of $US0.7835. However, the spot price of iron ore may not be sustainable at the current elevated level, while the gap between official interest rates in Australia and the US is likely to narrow as the Federal Reserve gears up to tighten monetary policy.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Betting on US stimulus could come back to bite

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 32 : 14-Feb-17

Sharemarkets have rallied in response to indications from US President Donald Trump of a major announcement on tax policy in coming weeks. Diana Mousina of AMP Capital warns that any move by the Trump administration to back away from its proposed tax cuts for companies and individuals would hit shares and US economic growth. However, an overly aggressive fiscal stimulus package would risk a spike in the inflation rate, which would most likely prompt a rise in interest rates. This in turn could derail the sharemarket rally.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PERPETUAL INVESTMENTS, PACIFIC INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC

Apple Pay to take bite at big three banks

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 30 : 10-Feb-17

Macquarie Bank and ING Direct customers will have access to the Apple Pay service by the end of February 2017, but the ANZ Bank is the only "big four" bank that currently offers it. The head of Apple Pay, Jennifer Bailey, warns that the Commonwealth Bank, Westpac and National Australia Bank risk losing customers unless they embrace the global payments system. ANZ Bank has indicated that about 26 per cent of its customers use Apple Pay, while Bailey notes that Australians are now the biggest users of the service.

CORPORATES
APPLE PAY, APPLE INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, ING DIRECT, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION

US concerns spark global retreat

Original article by Chris Kohler
The Australian – Page: 28 : 1-Feb-17

The Australian sharemarket retreated on 31 January 2017, with the S&P/ASX 200 shedding 0.7 per cent to close at 5,620. BHP Billiton was 2.63 per cent lower at $A26.64, Westpac eased 0.94 per cent to finish at $A31.71 and Virtus Health was down 17.7 per cent at $A5.11. However, Fortescue Metals Group advanced 2.8 per cent to end the session at $A6.66.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, VIRTUS HEALTH LIMITED – ASX VRT, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NAVITAS LIMITED – ASX NVT, BEACH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX BPT, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, ILUKA RESOURCES LIMITED – ASX ILU, CMC MARKETS PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

Leaks on M&A deals on rise despite increased crackdown by regulators

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 14 : 19-Jan-17

A report from Intralinks shows that three per cent of Australian mergers and acquisition deals were leaked prior to an official announcement in 2015, compared with two per cent in 2014. Globally, the proportion of leaked deals rose from six per cent to 8.6 per cent in 2015. The report also notes that leaks resulted in a global median takeover premium of 53 per cent for target companies, compared with a premium of just 24 per cent for deals that were not leaked. Australia ranks among the three nations with the lowest level of M&A leaks, according to Intralinks.

CORPORATES
INTRALINKS INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION

Analysts suspect $65bn lift by big four banks has run its course

Original article by Daniel Palmer
The Australian – Page: 21 : 13-Jan-17

Australia’s four major banks have enjoyed double-digit rises in their share prices since Donald Trump won the US presidential election. Their combined market capitalisation has risen by $A65bn in the last two months, prompting analysts to question whether the rally will continue. Jarrod Martin of Credit Suisse notes that shares in the "big four" are now close to fair value, although the firm is upbeat about the outlook for the banks. It anticipates earnings growth of four per cent and has upgraded its share price targets.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED

Resurgent $A tipped to reach US78c mark

Original article by Timothy Moore
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 13-Jan-17

The Australian dollar peaked at $US0.7472 during the first press conference of US president-elect Donald Trump. Rodrigo Catril of National Australia Bank notes that the Australian dollar has performed better against its US counterpart than other key currencies so far in 2017. Westpac has identified the $US0.7525 level as the next target for the Australian dollar, while the ANZ Bank says it could potentially rise to $US0.78.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

For markets, the devil was in the lack of detail

Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 29 : 13-Jan-17

Ewa Turek of Morgan Stanley notes that the first press conference of US president-elect Donald Trump offered few details of the policies he will prioritise after taking office. US markets posted modest gains in response to the press conference, while the Australian market dipped slightly. Garry Laurence of Perpetual adds that investors are waiting for more details of Trump’s policies, as well as guidance regarding the outlook for US interest rates.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, WINGATE ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, MORGAN STANLEY WEALTH MANAGEMENT AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Mining states hit by sharp drop in home loan activity: AFG

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 15 : 12-Jan-17

Listed mortgage broker Australian Finance Group has reported 9.9 per cent growth in home loan lodgements nationwide in calendar 2016. However, there was a 16 per cent downturn in loan lodgements in Western Australia, while lodgements fell by 18 per cent in the Northern Territory. Meanwhile, AFG CEO Brett McKeon says the WA Government’s decision to temporarily increase the first-home owners’ grant by $A5,000 for new homes is unlikely to significantly boost construction activity in the residential property market.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN FINANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX AFG, REAL ESTATE INSTITUTE OF WESTERN AUSTRALIA, DIGITAL FINANCE ANALYTICS