Lenders see sanity return to home loans

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 15 & 18 : 19-Dec-16

Bendigo & Adelaide Bank CEO Mike Hirst notes that Australia’s four major banks are offering smaller discounts on mortgage interest rates than in the first half of 2016. He adds that the banks would have struggled to achieve a good return on these loans given the size of some discounts. Credit Union Australia CEO Rob Goudswaard expects a rise in mortgage interest rates after a period of intense competition. He also does anticipate a rise in the cash rate in 2017.

CORPORATES
BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, CREDIT UNION AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, LIBERTY FINANCIAL PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, DIGITAL FINANCE ANALYTICS, DEUTSCHE BANK AG

IPO pipeline could start to run dry next year

Original article by Sally Patten, Joyce Moullakis, Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 17 : 19-Dec-16

Fund managers are bearish about the outlook for Australia’s IPO market in 2017. Data from Dealogic shows that a total of $US4.3bn was raised via IPOs in 2016, compared with $US5.6bn in 2015. Wilson Asset Management’s Chris Stott notes that many IPOs in the second half of 2016 have underperformed, which he says reflects a decline in the quality of companies that are listing. Kogan.com and Inghams are among the IPOs that have underperformed. In contrast, Afterpay has gained around 180 per cent since its sharemarket debut in May.

CORPORATES
DEALOGIC (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, WILSON ASSET MANAGEMENT, KOGAN.COM LIMITED – ASX KGN, INGHAMS GROUP LIMITED – ASX ING, PROPERTYLINK GROUP LIMITED – ASX PLG, REDBUBBLE LIMITED – ASX RBL, SILVER HERITAGE GROUP LIMITED – ASX SVH, AFTERPAY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX AFY, WELLARD LIMITED – ASX WLD, BAKER AND McKENZIE, TPG CAPITAL LP, CYAN INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, FORAGER FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD

M&A in 2017: All about break-ups, bear hugs and mining

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 21 : 16-Dec-16

Data from Dealogic shows that the total value of announced mergers and acquisitions in Australia has topped $US97bn ($A129bn) in 2016, compared with $US93.7bn in 2015. The total value of completed deals has fallen from $US92.7bn to $US82.9bn. Meanwhile, Simon Haddy and Tony Damian of law firm Herbert Smith Freehills expect more large-scale M&A deals in 2017 and strong takeover activity in the resources sector. They also forcast that North American suitors in particular will be active in the Australian market, and expect there to be more emphasis on consortium bids with a view to breaking up companies.

CORPORATES
DEALOGIC (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, HERBERT SMITH FREEHILLS PTY LTD, TATTS GROUP LIMITED – ASX TTS, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, KKR AND COMPANY LP, NORTH HAVEN INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS, JP MORGAN AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, FIRST STATE SUPER, APN OUTDOOR GROUP LIMITED – ASX APO, OOH!MEDIA LIMITED – ASX OML, BAIN CAPITAL LLC, CAMP AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSGRID PTY LTD, PORT OF MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA. FOREIGN INVESTMENT REVIEW BOARD, AUSTRALIA. TAKEOVERS PANEL

US hike won’t deter the RBA from following suit

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 14-Dec-16

The US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy statement is likely to attract more scrutiny than the outcome of its December 2016 meeting, as it is generally expected to lift the cash rate by 25 basis points. Meanwhile, the fall in National Australia Bank’s latest business conditions survey may strengthen the case for the Reserve Bank of Australia to further reduce official interest rates, particularly in the wake of the higher-than-expected decline in GDP growth for the September quarter.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF ST LOUIS, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Under-30s turning their backs on private health

Original article by Sarah-Jane Tasker
The Australian – Page: 4 : 13-Dec-16

Data from comparison website iSelect shows that a growing number of Australians under the age of 31 are questioning the need for private health insurance. CEO Scott Wilson notes that the lifetime health cover loading has ceased to be an incentive for younger people to take out private cover, as many are satisfied to use the public hospital system. Wilson expects private health insurance premiums to rise by 4.5 per cent to five per cent in 2017.

CORPORATES
ISELECT LIMITED – ASX ISU

Bullish Goldman likes resources

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 34 : 9-Dec-16

Investment bank Goldman Sachs is upbeat about the outlook for the Australian sharemarket in 2017, noting indications that the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 is experiencing an earnings upgrade cycle. Goldman Sachs expects market trends that have emerged toward the end of 2016 to continue in 2017, albeit at a slower pace. The firm has adopted an "overweight" position with regard to banking, resources and cyclical stocks, while it remains bearish about so-called bond proxy stocks.

CORPORATES
GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, ALUMINA LIMITED – ASX AWC, SOUTH32 LIMITED – ASX S32, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, SKYCITY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX SKC, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, APA GROUP – ASX APA, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, SCENTRE GROUP – ASX SCG, QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX QUB, HOTEL PROPERTIES INVESTMENTS – ASX HPI, CHARTER HALL GROUP – ASX CHC

Alarm as economic growth stalls

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 19 & 32 : 8-Dec-16

The Australian economy expanded by just 1.8 per cent in the year to September 2016. The Federal Government’s upcoming mid-year Budget update is likely to include a downgraded 2016 economic growth forecast, which was tipped to be 3.25 per cent in the Budget in May. However, Paul Bloxham of HSBC notes that GDP has not fallen for two consecutive quarters since 1991. Nevertheless, the national accounts for the September quarter may strengthen the case for further official interest rate cuts.

CORPORATES
HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, LEHMAN BROTHERS INCORPORATED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Westpac and NAB lift rates on investors

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 6-Dec-16

National Australia Bank (NAB) and Westpac have raised their interest rates on loans to property investors. NAB’s new and existing investors will now pay 5.55 per cent on loans with variable rates. A rise of 15 basis points will take effect on 12 December 2016. The rate for owners-occupiers remains unchanged at 5.25 per cent. Westpac has lifted interest-only rates for investors and owner-occupiers by eight basis points.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

ASIC to scrutinise Bellamy’s trading

Original article by Damon Kitney, Eli Greenblat
The Australian – Page: 22 : 6-Dec-16

The Australian Securities & Investments Commission will undertake an informal review of trading in the shares of Bellamy’s Australia prior to the release of an earnings update on 2 December 2016. The infant formula group’s shares fell by 43.52 per cent in response to the bearish guidance, and the stock shed another 4.23 per cent on 5 December. Bellamy’s had left its earnings guidance unchanged at the AGM in mid-October.

CORPORATES
BELLAMY’S AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX BAL, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, KATHMANDU HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX KMD, BLACK PRINCE PRIVATE FOUNDATIONRST, ELLERSTON CAPITAL PTY LTD

Top 20 stocks lead revival, but with caveat

Original article by Jens Meyer
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 5-Dec-16

Blue chip stocks have been in favour with Australian investors in recent weeks, amid a trend to offload growth stocks. The 20 largest stocks in particular have generally performed well since the start of October 2016, and Macquarie Group expects this trend to be sustained into 2017. However, Tony Brennan of Citigroup cautions that blue chip stocks in some sectors may not perform as well as others.

CORPORATES
MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, VOCUS COMMUNICATIONS LIMITED – ASX VOC, BELLAMY’S AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX BAL, APP SECURITIES, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, SCENTRE GROUP – ASX SCG, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS