K: Financial and Insurance Services

$A heading to heights of US90c

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Original article by Aaron Patrick
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 19-Oct-16

Jason Thomas of The Carlyle Group is bullish about the outlook for the Australian dollar. The director of research forecasts that the US dollar will fall by 8-15 per cent over the next five years, as US interest rates are unlikely to rise as quickly as anticipated. Thomas says this in turn will boost the value of the Australian dollar, which could rise to around $US0.85 over the next five years. He adds that the currency could potentially test the $US0.90 level.

CORPORATES
THE CARLYLE GROUP, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF CHICAGO, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX

Funds shun ASX in favour of cash, property

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 19-Oct-16

Tim Baker of Deutsche Bank forecasts that Australian superannuation funds will receive some $A65bn worth of mandatory contributions in 2016-17. Discretionary contributions are expected to be around $A15bn, compared with the annual average of $A20bn. Meanwhile, Baker notes that super funds are scaling back their equity holdings and increasing their exposure to investment options such as cash, infrastructure assets and commercial property.

CORPORATES
DEUTSCHE BANK AG, AUSTRALIAN UNITY INVESTMENTS, UNISUPER LIMITED, AUSGRID PTY LTD, PORT OF MELBOURNE

Red flags to watch for in M&A season

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 18-Oct-16

Data from Mergermarket shows that the value of mergers and acquisitions fell by 20 per cent globally in the first nine months of 2016, to $US2.2trn ($A2.9trn). M&A activity in Australia is rising as the end of the calendar year approaches. Anthony Aboud of Perpetual has identified a number of factors which may indicate that a company is making acquisitions for the wrong reasons. These include pursuing deals solely in the interests of diversification, paying too much for goodwill and making acquisitions that are motivated by financial incentives.

CORPORATES
PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, MERGERMARKET LIMITED, CIMIC GROUP LIMITED – ASX CIM, UGL LIMITED – ASX UGL, JB HI-FI LIMITED – ASX JBH, THE GOOD GUYS, FANTASTIC HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX FAN, STEINHOFF INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED, FREEDOM FURNITURE, SNOOZE SLEEP WELL PTY LTD, THE GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INCORPORATED, SLATER AND GORDON LIMITED – ASX SGH, QUINDELL PLC, PERPETUAL’S SHARE-PLUS LONG SHORT FUND

AFIC warns on bank dividends

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Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 25 : 18-Oct-16

Australian Foundation Investment Company MD Ross Barker expects the S&P/ASX 200 to be trading at around its current level in 12 months’ time. However, he expects the 50 largest stocks to outperform small- and medium-capitalisation stocks over the next year. Barker does not anticipate any further easing of monetary policy and says there is potential for a rise in the cash rate before the end of 2017. He adds that the major banks may not be able to sustain their dividend payouts, while large miners could potentially increase their dividends in the next few years.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, SYDNEY AIRPORT – ASX SYD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW

ASX to hit 6000 in ’17, says Credit Suisse

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 18-Oct-16

Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse believes that the Australian sharemarket’s "profits recession" of the last several years has ended, which will be reflected in the market’s outlook. Credit Suisse expects the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 to reach the 6,000-point level by the end of 2017, buoyed by single-digit growth in earnings per share over the next year. Meanwhile, Matthew Sherwood of Perpetual is upbeat about the outlook for the economy, forecasting a rise in GDP growth over the next 12 months.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, ANSELL LIMITED – ASX ANN, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED – ASX CPU, FORTESCUE METALS GROUP LIMITED – ASX FMG, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC, MAQUILADORA PARTNERSHIP, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR

Australia raises $7.6b in first 30-year bond

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Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 13-Oct-16

The inaugural issuance of 30-year Australian government bonds attracted more than $A13bn worth of bids from prospective investors. The offer was capped at $A7.6bn, and the yield on the long-dated bonds will be 3.27 per cent. This is significantly higher than equivalent bonds in the US, the UK and Japan, while financial market watchers had anticipated a yield of between 3.21 per cent and 3.28 per cent. Demand for the 30-year bonds and the limited supply is likely to result in strong activity in the aftermarket.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY. OFFICE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, QIC LIMITED, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BANK OF JAPAN, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

Livingstone named CBA chair as Turner departs

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 21 : 13-Oct-16

The Commonwealth Bank has advised that Catherine Livingstone will succeed David Turner as the bank’s chair in early 2017. Livingstone has praised Turner’s contribution as chairman, which he has held since 2010. Brian Johnson of CLSA notes that the bank has outperformed during Turner’s time in the role, but adds that it has underperformed in 2016. He also says Livingstone’s biggest challenge is likely to be finding an eventual successor to CEO Ian Narev.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

ASX to face fresh competition

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Original article by Andrew White
The Australian – Page: 19 & 23 : 12-Oct-16

Stock exchange operator ASX Limited could potentially lose its monopoly on clearing and settlement services. Competition in the clearing of securities in particular is being scrutinised by the Australian Government as part of its broader competition law reforms. Several international players have already been granted licences to provide clearing services for over-the-counter derivatives, while share trades were opened to competition in 2011.

CORPORATES
ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX, CHI-X AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, COUNCIL OF FINANCIAL REGULATORS, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, DIGITAL ASSET HOLDINGS, CME, LCH.CLEARNET SA

Investors embrace maiden 30-year government bond

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 12-Oct-16

There has been strong demand among international investors for the inaugural issuance of 30-year Australian government bonds. The bonds will mature in March 2047 and investors will receive a rate of 3.25 per cent. The yield on 10-year bonds is currently around 2.25 per cent. The volume and pricing of the 30-year bonds will be determined on 12 October 2016, but the issuance is believed to have attracted around $A7.5bn worth of bids from prospective investors.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY. OFFICE OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, JAMIESONCOOTEBONDS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Investors circle ailing companies in the valley of debt

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Original article by Vera Sprothen
The Australian – Page: 19 & 23 : 12-Oct-16

Preqin estimates that private debt fund managers had access to a record $US199bn ($A262bn) at the end of June 2016. Such companies are believed to be seeking to acquire distressed assets in Australia, including sectors such as resources, mining services, agricultural and housing. Distressed debt funds are said to be looking to buy debt-burdened companies or the debts of businesses than cannot meet their repayments. Oaktree Capital Management and Lone Star Funds are among the global debt fund managers that have established a presence in Australia.

CORPORATES
PREQIN LIMITED, OAKTREE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC, LONE STAR FUNDS, BAIN CAPITAL CREDIT, SC LOWY FINANCIAL (HK) LIMITED, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, ARRIUM LIMITED – ASX ARI, PEABODY ENERGY CORPORATION, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WELLS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, ALLENS, McALEESE LIMITED – ASX MCS, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC