K: Financial and Insurance Services

Bankers, lawyers to get busy as merger deals poised to pick up

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 12-Aug-16

Data from Dealogic shows that the value of announced mergers and acquisitions deals in Australia in the year-to-date has fallen to an 11-year low of $US36.3bn. However, the Real Flow Predictor report from Intralinks suggests that there will be an upturn in announced M&As in the final quarter of 2016. Karen Evans-Cullen of law firm Clayton Utz is also upbeat about the outlook for M&A activity.

CORPORATES
DEALOGIC (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, INTRALINKS PTY LTD, CLAYTON UTZ, AUSGRID PTY LTD, ASCIANO LIMITED – ASX AIO, BROOKFIELD INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS LP, QUBE PROPERTY GROUP PTY LTD, THE GOOD GUYS, NATURE’S CARE, PORT OF MELBOURNE, STATE GRID CORPORATION OF CHINA, CHEUNG KONG INFRASTRUCTURE HOLDINGS LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

SMSFs head for managed funds in volatile times

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Original article by Sally Patten
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 12-Aug-16

A survey by Investment Trends and Vanguard shows that 17 per cent of Australia’s self-managed superannuation funds expect to increase their exposure to managed funds in the next 12 months, compared with about 14 per cent in 2015. Meanwhile, the proportion of SMSF trustees who intend to invest in blue-chip stocks has fallen from 65 per cent to 55 per cent. There has also been a decline in investment expectations regarding exchanged traded funds and high-yield shares.

CORPORATES
INVESTMENT TRENDS PTY LTD, VANGUARD INVESTMENTS AUSTRALIA LIMITED

CBA to drive returns as results soften

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 21 & 25 : 11-Aug-16

The Commonwealth Bank of Australia has posted a 2015-16 cash profit of $A9.45bn. Despite being a record result, it was just three per cent higher than previously, due to a disappointing performance across the group’s key businesses in the second half. CBA’s return on equity fell to 16.5 per cent and its net interest margin fell to 2.07 per cent. CEO Ian Narev says banks must take into account the needs of borrowers, savers and shareholders with regard to setting interest rates. Shareholders will receive a full-year dividend of $A4.20 per share.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WAVESTONE CAPITAL PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED

Elliott steadies the ship at ANZ

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 21 & 25 : 10-Aug-16

The ANZ Bank has posted a cash profit of $A5.2bn for the nine months to 30 June 2016, which is three per cent lower than previously. ANZ’s earnings for the June 2016 quarter were below expectations at around $A1.7bn, while bad debt charges rose to $A482m during the quarter. Meanwhile, CEO Shayne Elliott has defended the banks’ decision to pass on only part of the 25 basis point reduction in the cash rate to home loan customers and increase the interest rates on some term deposits.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG

Cutting rates to get the $A lower brings risks to the economy

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 10-Aug-16

The Australian dollar has risen above $US0.76 since the Reserve Bank reduced the cash rate to a record low of 1.5 per cent on 2 August 2016. The currency has benefited from the fact that the local cash rate is still quite high relative to many countries, so further money policy easing may be necessary in order to put sustained downward pressure on the dollar. However, this strategy has economic risks, such as the potential to undermine consumer confidence. Indeed, the ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating fell by 2.8 per cent to 114.7 in the first week of August.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, TD SECURITIES, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BANK OF JAPAN, ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT

That high P/E for a stock may not be that high a P/E after all

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 9-Aug-16

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index currently boasts a forward price/earnings ratio of 16 times, while its long-term average is around 14.5 times. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 boast forward P/E ratios of about 18 and 20 times. Meanwhile, many individual stocks in the ASX/200 boast P/E ratios of more than 20 times. Clime Investment Management argues that the elevated P/E ratios of some top-20 stocks may not be justified.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, CLIME ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, BLOOMBERG LP

Strategists see little to fire the ASX 200 past 5500 by end of year

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 11 : 9-Aug-16

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index closed at 5,537.8 points on 8 August 2016, but opinion is divided on the level at which it will be trading by the end of the year. Morgan Stanley still expects the ASX 200 to fall to 4,800 by years’ end, although Citigroup, UBS and Credit Suisse forecast that it will be trading at around 5,500. Meanwhile, Tony Brennan of Citigroup expects it to be trading at 5,750 in mid-2017.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW

CBA to hand down bumper $9.5bn profit

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Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 21 & 24 : 8-Aug-16

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank is tipped to post a 2015-16 cash profit of $A434m on 8 August 2016, while the Commonwealth Bank of Australia is expected to report a full-year profit of $A9.5bn on 10 August. Scott Manning of JP Morgan says margins are likely to remain a significant focus for the banking major. However, the Reserve Bank does not expect banks’ margins to be adversely affected by recent moves to lift some term deposit interest rates while failing to pass on the full reduction in the cash rate to home loan and business customers.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, MERLON CAPITAL PARTNERS PTY LTD, MORGANS FINANCIAL LIMITED, PEABODY ENERGY CORPORATION, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, FIRST OIL PLC

Reporting season may test resilience of ASX

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 8-Aug-16

Futures traders expect the Australian sharemarket to gain 31 points when trading resumes on 8 August 2016, following a positive lead from Wall Street. The reporting season will continue to be a focus for investors in the coming week, with the Commonwealth Bank, REA Group, Telstra and Cochlear among the companies that are slated to release their latest financial result. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s monthly board meeting and Chinese economic data will also attract investors’ attention.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, AGL PETROLEUM, TRANSURBAN GROUP LIMITED – ASX TCL, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE. INSTITUTE OF APPLIED ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL RESEARCH, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, PERPETUAL INVESTMENTS, TD SECURITIES

Cash still good option for savers, say advisers

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Original article by Sally Patten
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 5-Aug-16

Australian savers who may need to access their money at short notice are advised to opt for cash deposits. According to comparison website Canstar, the average interest rate on the major banks’ six-month deposits has declined to 2.11 per cent, from 5.44 per cent in 2010. Those seeking higher returns should consider investing in corporate bonds and hybrid securities. Scott Farmer, of Bravium Financial Planning, says the rates of return in these two asset classes range from four per cent to 6.5 per cent.

CORPORATES
CANSTAR PTY LTD, AFFINITY PRIVATE PTY LTD, BRAVIUM FINANCIALPLANNING, HEWISON PRIVATE WEALTH