Investors to shrug off events in Turkey

Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 18-Jul-16

Futures traders expect the Australian sharemarket to shed about 11 points when trading resumes on 18 July 2016, in response to growing geopolitical tensions worldwide. With a dearth of upcoming local economic data, investors will be awaiting the release of the minutes from the Reserve Bank’s monthly board meeting. Meanwhile,, the latest US economic data may provide some guidance on the timing of any change in US monetary policy.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MORGAN STANLEY CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL EMERGING MARKETS INDEX, BT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX BTT, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF PHILADELPHIA

Only extreme event will trigger RBA QE

Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 18-Jul-16

Perpetual Investment’s Matt Sherwood says geopolitical tensions would not be a sufficient reason for the Reserve Bank of Australia to implement quantitative easing. He argues that such measures would only be necessary if there were a major crisis such as the collapse of the Chinese economy. The RBA has developed a strategy for implementing quantitative easing, and Sherwood says this demonstrates that the central bank wants to be more prepared than it was at the onset of the global financial crisis in 2008.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, PERPETUAL INVESTMENTS, UNITED STATES-CHINA JOINT COMMISSION ON COMMERCE AND TRADE, BT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX BTT

Moody’s issues bleak outlook for banks

Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 15-Jul-16

Australian banks are likely to experience pressure on their profit margins because of low interest rates. Frank Mirenzi of Moody’s states in a report released on 14 July 2016 that household debt has increased as a result of rising house prices and low income growth. At present, the big four banks have an "Aa2" rating from Moody’s and an "AA-" rating from Standard & Poor’s.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, HSBC BANK PLC, WELLS FARGO AND COMPANY, BNY MELLON ASSET MANAGEMENT AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Super-size me: NAB banks on giant new fund

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 23 : 14-Jul-16

National Australia Bank’s MLC Super Fund has become the nation’s second-largest superannuation fund and the biggest retail fund after five separate funds were amalgamated. The enlarged MLC Super boasts some $A70bn worth of funds under management, and NAB has indicated that rationalising its super funds is likely to result in lower fees for members. The consolidation of its super funds will also enable NAB to separate its super and investment businesses from its life insurance arm, in which a controlling stake has been sold to Nippon Life.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MLC LIMITED, NIPPON LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY LIMITED, AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence falls further – down 0.6pts to 115.2

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Jul-16

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence has fallen for the third week in a row, down 0.5 per cent to 115.2 in the week ending 10 July 2016. Uncertainty related to the election result and lingering concerns over the global outlook likely remain key factors behind the recent decline. Last week’s downgrade from Standard & Poor’s to the outlook for Australia’s credit rating – from stable to negative – could also have weighed on sentiment. Consumers’ views of their current finances edged 0.3 per cent higher, but households’ views of the economic outlook in the next 12 months fell by 4.1 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Retirees urged to tap into home equity

Original article by Sally Rose
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 13-Jul-16

AustralianSuper CEO Ian Silk says the superannuation fund may seek to offer a broader range of retirement income products in coming years. This could include home equity release products, which allow homeowners to capitalise on the value of their home without the risks associated with reverse mortgages. Silk concedes that there are significant problems with some retirement income products that are currently available, and says the industry must work hard to address the issue.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

There’s still value on Wall Street, fund managers say

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 13-Jul-16

Perpetual’s Garry Laurence says the US sharemarket may have peaked, after the S&P 500 reached a new high in mid-July 2016. He anticipates further market volatility, and identifies Merck, Sanofi, Oracle, EMC and Zhaopin as the best buying opportunities among US-listed stocks. Wingate Asset Management’s Chad Padowitz notes that some sectors of the US sharemarket offer better value than others at present, and he favours stocks such as Citigroup, Bank of America, Allergan and Sanofi.

CORPORATES
PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, WINGATE ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MERCK AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, SANOFI PHARMACEUTICALS, ORACLE CORPORATION, EMC CORPORATION, ZHAOPIN LIMITED, CITIGROUP INCORPORATED, BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, ALLERGAN INCORPORATED, COLONIAL FIRST STATE GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, BANK OF ENGLAND, BANK OF JAPAN, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, JAPAN. OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER

‘Something’s gotta give’: rising stocks, bonds and gold sound alert

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 19 & 27 : 13-Jul-16

The Australian sharemarket has gained six per cent since reaching its recent low in the wake of Great Britain’s vote to leave the European Union. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has risen by 16 per cent since February 2016, and it reached a record high in mid-July. Traditional safe haven investment classes are also in strong demand, with the yield on 10-year Australian government bonds remaining close to a record low and the gold price testing its highest level in more than two years.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, PLATINUM ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX PTM, BAKER STEEL CAPITAL MANAGERS LLP, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, JAPAN. OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER, NIKKEI 225 INDEX

Expensive defensives ‘threatened’

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 11 : 12-Jul-16

Paul Ashworth of Cameron Harrison is among the financial market experts who question whether the rally in defensive stocks can be sustained. Defensive sectors such as healthcare, utilities and industrials have posted double-digit gains over the last year, while the broader Australian sharemarket has shed three per cent. Prime Value Asset Management’s ST Wong notes that some stocks such as infrastructure and utilities are now trading at high forward price-earnings ratios, but he says they could post further gains if the bond rally continues.

CORPORATES
CAMERON HARRISON PTY LTD, PRIME VALUE ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, ALTIUM LIMITED – ASX ALU, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, INFIGEN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX IFN, INVESTORS MUTUAL LIMITED, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, INTEGRAL DIAGNOSTICS LIMITED – ASX IDX, VIRTUS HEALTH LIMITED – ASX VRT, ORORA LIMITED – ASX ORA, VITA GROUP LIMITED – ASX VTG

ASX tipped to hit 5500 by end of 2016

Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 11-Jul-16

Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse says Australian shares are relatively cheap at present, in comparison to alternative investments such as cash and bonds. Tevfik adds that the prospect of further official interest rate cuts should also prompt investors to switch to equities. Meanwhile, UBS notes that the market’s price-to-book value is now 13 per cent below the long-term average, and about 50 per cent lower in the case of resources stocks. UBS’s David Cassidy expects the market to be trading at around 5,500 points by the end of 2016.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, BRAMBLES LIMITED – ASX BXB, AMCOR LIMITED – ASX AMC