Resources uncertainty keeps ASX below 5000

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 33 : 25-Feb-16

Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index has failed to remain above the 5,000-point level so far in February 2016. The local market has been weighed down by continued weakness in the resources sector, while Julian Beaumont of Bennelong Australian Equity Partners adds that the market is likely to remain range-bound until concerns about the banking sector are alleviated. Meanwhile, Marcus Padley says any market rebound will be driven by an upturn in commodity prices.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, BENNELONG AUSTRALIAN EQUITY PARTNERS PTY LTD, PENGANA GLOBAL RESOURCES FUND, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence tracking up – now at 114.3

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Feb-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose by 0.6 per cent to 114.3 in the week ended 21 February 2016. The 2.8 per cent increase over the past three weeks partially retraces the declines recorded through January. With the negative impact from the financial market volatility in early January appearing to be short-lived, confidence is now tracking higher with most sub-indexes showing an improvement. Consumer confidence in the past few weeks shows that consumers’ views towards their current personal finances and the near term economic outlook were most sensitive towards the financial market rout, falling between 6-8 per cent in the last four weeks of January. They have, however, recovered in the past three weeks, with both rising a cumulative 4.2 per cent. Overall though, households’ confidence in the economic outlook remains much weaker than their view of their own finances.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Private equity floats lag for second year

Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 23-Feb-16

New figures show that Australian IPOs in 2015 that were backed by private equity firms delivered an average return of 13.1 per cent. In contrast, the average return of IPOs that had no private equity involvement was 19.3 per cent. Private equity-backed IPOs have not outperformed since 2013, when they achieved an average return of 19.6 per cent. However, they have comfortably exceeded the performance of non-private equity IPOs over a three-year period.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRIVATE EQUITY AND VENTURE CAPITAL ASSOCIATION LIMITED, NM ROTHSCHILD AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, GATEWAY LIFESTYLE – ASX GTY, CBL CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX CBL, BESTON GLOBAL FOOD COMPANY LIMITED – ASX BFC, PEPPER GROUP LIMITED – ASX PEP, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, DICK SMITH HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX DSH, ECLIPX GROUP LIMITED – ASX ECX, ANCHORAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS PTY LTD, McALEESE LIMITED – ASX MCS

ASX cracks 5000 to hit three-week high

Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 32 : 23-Feb-16

The Australian sharemarket posted solid gains on 22 February 2016, with the S&P/ASX 200 adding one per cent to close at 5,001.2. The Commonwealth Bank advanced 1.1 per cent to end the session at $A74.24 and BHP Billiton was 3.4 per cent higher at $A17.18. Brambles rose by 8.5 per cent to finish at $A12 and NIB Holdings was up 7.3 per cent at $A3.52.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, BRAMBLES LIMITED – ASX BXB, NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NHF, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, NEWCREST MINING LIMITED – ASX NCM, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, APN OUTDOOR GROUP LIMITED – ASX APO, ARRIUM LIMITED – ASX ARI, MORGANS FINANCIAL LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX

Large rivals may spur nib M&A

Original article by Tim Binsted
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 23-Feb-16

Australian-listed private health insurer NIB Holdings has posted a 2015-16 interim profit of $A43.4m, which is five per cent higher than previously. The group’s net premium revenue was up 10.5 per cent at $A781.3m, and gross margins rose from 13.4 per cent to 15.1 per cent. MD Mark Fitzgibbon says NIB would be open to acquisitions, particularly as Medibank Private and Bupa are becoming increasingly competitive.

CORPORATES
NIB HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NHF, MEDIBANK PRIVATE LIMITED – ASX MPL, BUPA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, ONEPATH AUSTRALIA LIMITED, SOUTHERN CROSS HEALTH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HEALTH

Brokers confident of smooth shift to two-day settlements

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 22-Feb-16

Australia’s equities and debt markets are set to adopt a two-day settlement cycle on 7 March 2016. The ASX says that more than 100 market participants have indicated that they are prepared for the so-called T+2 system, which has been in test mode since August 2015. The New Zealand Exchange is also slated to make the transition on 7 March, while key Asian markets have either adopted T+2 or are planning to do so.

CORPORATES
ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX, CHI-X AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, NEW ZEALAND EXCHANGE LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH SECURITIES LIMITED, BNP PARIBAS EQUITIES (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED

M&A set to throw off the shackles

Original article by Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 17 : 22-Feb-16

Data from Thomson Reuters shows that $US5.4bn ($A7.5bn) worth of mergers and acquisitions have been announced in Australia so far in 2016, compared with $US20.3bn at the same time in 2015. However, Herbert Smith Freehills partner Tony Damian expects M&A activity to improve, noting that a number of deals are in the pipeline. Freehills expects an increase in takeover activity in sectors such as financial services and resources. It also forecasts that private equity firms will be more active.

CORPORATES
THOMSON REUTERS PLC, HERBERT SMITH FREEHILLS PTY LTD, ASCIANO LIMITED – ASX AIO, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, CLYDESDALE BANK PLC, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, OZFOREX GROUP LIMITED – ASX OFX, GREENCROSS LIMITED – ASX GXL, WESTERN UNITED LIMITED, TPG CAPITAL LP, THE CARLYLE GROUP, JAPAN POST, TOLL HOLDINGS LIMITED

Negative gearing cap tipped to push up rents

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 19-Feb-16

Mortgage Choice has posted a 2015-16 interim net profit of $A10.1m, which is 12.4 per cent higher than previously. The mortgage broker’s revenue rose by 5.4 per cent to $A102.3m, and its loan book increased by 4.7 per cent to a record $A50.7bn. CEO John Flavell has warned that the Federal Government’s proposed changes to the negative gearing regime would result in rent increases, as it would reduce the pool of rental housing.

CORPORATES
MORTGAGE CHOICE LIMITED – ASX MOC, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS. BASEL COMMITTEE ON BANKING SUPERVISION, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

Australia at risk from hard landing in China

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 35 : 18-Feb-16

The Chinese economy expanded by just 6.9 per cent in 2015, and Oxford Economics forecasts a gradual slowing of economic growth over the next five years. However, Sian Fenner of Oxford Economics warns that Australia could face a recession in 2016 if the Chinese economy experiences a "hard landing". Fenner adds that in the event of a recession the Reserve Bank could reduce the cash rate to just 0.25 per cent, which would limit the extent of the economic downturn.

CORPORATES
OXFORD ECONOMICS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AVIVA PLC, PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence increases to 113.6

Original article by Gary Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Feb-16

The rise in Consumer Confidence to 113.6 in the week ended 14 February 2016 comes after Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull appeared to rule out any prospect of a GST increase to 15 per cent being taken to the Australian electorate as part of the Government’s taxation reform package. The decision to look for other means to improve the Australian taxation system has given a boost to the confidence of Australian consumers who now don’t face the prospect of higher costs for goods and services that a higher GST would bring. As school leavers return from Summer holidays the next few months will determine whether they are able to find meaningful employment in a tough economic environment and this impact on Australia’s real unemployment – now at 10.3 per cent – 1.346 million in January – will also flow through as a forward indicator to the ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET