K: Financial and Insurance Services

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence down for the third week in a row to 112.2

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 27-Jan-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell by 0.9 per cent to 112.2 in the week ended 24 January 2016, and is now down 3.6 per cent over the past three weeks. Consumer confidence is now below its long-run average for the first time in almost four months. The recent falls are largely a reflection of ongoing global concerns and financial market volatility. The sub-index on "economic conditions in the next 12 months" has fallen by 13.5 per cent since early December, while the sub-index on "time to buy a major household item" has fallen by 7.9 per cent over the past three weeks.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

NAB shareholders back Clydesdale spin-off

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Original article by Sally Rose, Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 18 : 28-Jan-16

National Australia Bank (NAB) will proceed with plans to demerge its Clydesdale Bank subsidiary in the UK, after 98 per cent of shareholders voted in favour of the deal. NAB shareholders will receive 75 per cent of Clydesdale’s shares, with the balance to be offered to institutional investors. However, the latter component of the transaction may be delayed if NAB fails to obtain a satisfactory price for the stock. NAB chairman Ken Henry says the bank’s dividend will not be affected by the sale of Clydesdale.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, CLYDESDALE BANK PLC, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX

Retailers hit with 10pc hike in insurance cover

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Original article by Ruth Liew
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 28-Jan-16

Figures from commercial insurance comparison website BizCover show that small-to-medium businesses continue to benefit from strong competition in Australia’s insurance market. The retail sector is an exception. An insurance policy for a retail business may cost around $A1,700. A non-retail company would pay $A1,000 for a comparable cover. BizCover’s Small Business Insurance Index rose by five points in the fourth quarter of 2015.

CORPORATES
BIZCOVER PTY LTD, ALLIANZ AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AIG AUSTRALIA, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE

Future Fund shifts to 20pc cash weighting as global risks grow

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 18 : 28-Jan-16

The Australian Government’s Future Fund reduced its investment portfolio’s equities holdings from 39 per cent to 31 per cent in 2015. The fund has in turn lifted its exposure to cash holdings to around 20 per cent, or $A24.4bn. CEO David Neal says the fund has taken into account the high-risk global environment and the low yields that currently prevail. The fund posted a return of 8.4 per cent for calendar 2015, although its return for the second half was one per cent.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. FUTURE FUND MANAGEMENT AGENCY, CHANT WEST FINANCIAL SERVICES PTY LTD

Rate cut in near future seen as unlikely

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires, Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 22-Jan-16

The general consensus of Australian economists is that the Reserve Bank will leave the cash rate unchanged in February 2016. Shane Oliver of AMP is the only economist out of 14 who believes that recent financial market volatility could result in an interest rate cut. He adds that the upcoming release of inflation data for the December 2015 quarter is likely to be the deciding factor. Meanwhile, the ANZ Bank’s chief economist Warren Hogan expects the cash rate to be cut in May and August.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, BLOOMBERG LP, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, BETASHARES CAPITAL LIMITED, BANK OF CANADA, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, CITIGROUP PTY LTD

AFIC hunts for quality mid-cap investments

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Original article by Ruth Liew
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 21-Jan-16

The Australian Foundation Investment Company has posted a 2015-16 interim profit of $A145.5m, which is 10.3 per cent higher than previously. The listed investment company’s revenue was 7.2 per cent higher at $A156.6m, although its investment portfolio generated a loss of 1.3 per cent for the half-year. The group has reduced its exposure to large banks and retailers, and increased its holdings of stocks such as Qube Holdings, Suncorp Group and Treasury Wine Estates.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI, QUBE HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX QUB, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, CHALLENGER LIMITED – ASX CGF, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MAINFREIGHT LIMITED, INTEGRAL DIAGNOSTICS LIMITED – ASX IDX, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 ACCUMULATION INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence down again to 113.2 (down 0.9pts)

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Jan-16

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell by 0.8 per cent to 113.2 in the week ended 17 January 2016, following a 1.9 per cent fall in the previous week. Further losses on the sharemarket amid ongoing concerns about China’s economic growth prospects are likely to have weighed on consumer confidence. The sub-index on the "economic outlook in the next 12 months" fell by 7.5 per cent, and it is now is now at its lowest level since Malcolm Turnbull became Prime Minister. Meanwhile, the sub-index on "finances compared to a year ago" rose by 8.6 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Ratings agency predicts weaker bank profit growth in 2016

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Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 20-Jan-16

Fitch Ratings warns that Australian banks are likely to face lower growth in earnings in 2016, citing factors such as a rise in bad loans, an increase in the cost of funding and stronger competition in the sector. However, the ratings agency notes that capital raisings in 2015 mean the four major banks are well-placed to handle any increase in bad loans.

CORPORATES
FITCH RATINGS LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS AUSTRALIA (INTERNATIONAL) PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

RBA tipped to make cuts around mid-year

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Original article by Jessica Sier
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 20-Jan-16

Data from Citigroup shows that financial markets believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia is now almost certain to reduce the cash rate by 25 basis points in June 2016. There is a 20 per cent chance of a rate cut in February, and a 40 per cent chance of a rate cut in March. Factors such as the downturn in the crude oil price and the uncertain outlook for the Chinese economy are like to influence the central bank’s monetary policy deliberations. The cash rate has remained on hold since May.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, CITIBANK PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Property proves winner for fundies

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Original article by Duncan Hughes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 19-Jan-16

Australian real estate investment trusts (A-REITs) generated 14 per cent in total return in 2015, according to investment bank JP Morgan. Wholesale property funds and direct property returned about 12 per cent. Tim Mackay, an adviser with Quantum Financial, expects the A-REIT sector to perform well in 2016. Investors are likely to be attracted to the sector by its dividend yield of around five per cent.

CORPORATES
JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, QUANTUM FINANCIAL SERVICES, LEND LEASE GROUP LIMITED – ASX LLC, AVEO GROUP – ASX AOG, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 A-REIT INDEX