K: Financial and Insurance Services

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence virtually unchanged at 115.9

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 17-Nov-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell by 0.6 per cent to 115.9 in the week ended 15 November 2015. This follows confidence reaching the highest level in almost two years in the previous week, while the four-week moving average continues to trend higher. The fall in confidence was mainly attributed to consumers’ views towards the economic outlook. The sub-index "economic conditions in the next 12 months" was down 3.7 per cent, and "economic conditions in the next five years" was down 2.4 per cent. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says consumer confidence remains virtually unchanged, and all indicators of general confidence in Australia – including ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence, Roy Morgan Business Confidence and the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating – have improved substantially over the past two months.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

History proves markets resilient to global terror

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Original article by Philip Baker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 17-Nov-15

The Australian sharemarket lost ground early in trading on 16 November 2015, in the aftermath of the Islamic terrorist attacks in Paris. However, investors returned to the market to take advantage of lower share prices, allowing the S&P/ASX 200 to close slightly above the 5,000-point level. Analysis of trading patterns following significant terrorist attacks since 2001 shows that equity markets have generally rebounded strongly after falling in the immediate aftermath of the attacks.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL

Forget China, bigger risk for local shares on the horizon

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 35 : 17-Nov-15

Hasan Tevfik of Credit Suisse warns that a rise in the global inflation rate would have a bigger impact on Australian sharemarket investors that an interest rate rise in the US or an economic slowdown in China. Credit Suisse notes that global bond yields would most likely rise if there is a spike in the US inflation rate, while Stephen Walters of JP Morgan expects the global inflation rate to rise after falling to 1.4 per cent in September 2015.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED

Stocks set to tumble after French terror

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 16-Nov-15

Global sharemarkets are expected to be heavily sold down on 16 November 2015, as investors opt for lower-risk assets in the wake of the terrorist attacks in Paris. Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 closed at 5,051.25 on 13 November, and futures markets had already anticipated a fall below the 5,000-point level prior to the terrorist attacks. AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver does expect any downturn in the Australian market to be sustained, although he says resources stocks are likely to fall further.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, PEAK ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, HASSIUM ASSET MANAGEMENT, CAC 40 INDEX, EURO STOXX 50 INDEX, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, BLOOMBERG LP

Ausbil’s Xiradis sees value in bank stocks

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Original article by Philip Baker, Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 16-Nov-15

Ausbil Investment Management boasts some $A10bn worth of funds under management, and its Active Equity Fund has achieved an annual return of 11.1 per cent since inception. Ausbil co-founder Paul Xiradis is upbeat about Australia’s four major banks, as well as other blue-chip stocks such as Woolworths and BHP Billiton. He also likes QBE Insurance Group and BlueScope Steel, and believes that Woolworths should exit the Masters hardware business.

CORPORATES
AUSBIL INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, MASTERS HOME IMPROVEMENT AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, ALDI STORES SUPERMARKETS PTY LTD, COSTCO WHOLESALE AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, WESTPAC INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, BUNNINGS GROUP LIMITED

CEOs rapped for ‘lazy’ $20b rights splurge

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Original article by Simon Evans
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 13-Nov-15

Clime Asset Management’s John Abernethy says retail investors have questioned whether some recent capital raisings by large Australian companies were necessary. More than $A20bn has been raised by banks and other big companies in recent months, which Abernethy describes as "excessive and expensive". Santos shares were heavily sold down on 12 November 2015, in response to the oil and gas producer’s capital raising.

CORPORATES
CLIME ASSET MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, TREASURY WINE ESTATES LIMITED – ASX TWE, PERPETUAL LIMITED – ASX PPT, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Company insolvencies ‘may rise 10pc’

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Original article by Karen Maley
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 13-Nov-15

Ludovic Subran, the chief economist at credit insurance group Euler Hermes, has warned that the growing incidence of corporate insolvencies in emerging markets will have a flow-on effect globally in 2016. Euler Hermes forecasts that Australia will record five per cent growth in insolvencies during 2016, following an increase of around 10 per cent in 2015. Insolvencies in China are forecast to rise by 25 per cent in 2015 and 20 per cent in 2016.

CORPORATES
EULER HERMES, ALLIANZ AG HOLDING

Uncertainty clouds fate of blue-chip dividends

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 13-Nov-15

Data from Morningstar shows that the average gross dividend yield for S&P/ASX 20 stocks has risen to a seven year-high of seven per cent. Meanwhile, three of the top-20 stocks have a 12-month gross yield in excess of 10 per cent, according to Bloomberg. ST Wong of Prime Value Asset Management says the top-20 stocks should be able to maintain their dividend payouts during the next year. However, some analysts believe that banks and resources groups may need to reduce their dividends.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 20 INDEX, MORNINGSTAR PTY LTD, BLOOMBERG LP, PRIME VALUE ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, RIO TINTO LIMITED – ASX RIO, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

$A likely to dip into the 50c range, says Macro Currency

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 13-Nov-15

Mark Farrington of Macro Currency Group says the Australian dollar remains overvalued, despite its fall in recent months. He estimates that the currency needs to fall by another 10 per cent to the $US0.50 range as the economy rebalances. Meanwhile, Farrington expects the Reserve Bank to reduce the cash rate another two times in the current monetary policy easing cycle, adding that the first cut could be in the June 2016 quarter.

CORPORATES
MACRO CURRENCY GROUP, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Westpac’s Gail Kelly gets $11m in final year

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Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 12-Nov-15

Westpac’s 2015 annual report shows that former CEO Gail Kelly received $A11.76 million for her last four months at the helm of the bank. This figure comprises $A2.25 million in cash in the year to September 2015 and $A9.51 million in performance share options awarded in prior years. Kelly retired in February 2015.

CORPORATES
WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB