K: Financial and Insurance Services

The winds of change will hit companies

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Age – Page: 27 : 30-Oct-15

Morgan Stanley forecasts that the El Nino weather phenomenon will benefit Australian-listed companies across a range of sectors during the 2015-16 summer. Coca-Cola Amatil, JB Hi-Fi, Harvey Norman, Origin Energy and AGL Energy are among the companies that are tipped to enjoy stronger revenue due to the warmer weather associated with El Nino. Mining companies and insurers are also expected to benefit, but wheat, grain and beef producers in particular are likely to be adversely affected.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, COCA-COLA AMATIL LIMITED – ASX CCL, JB HI-FI LIMITED – ASX JBH, HARVEY NORMAN HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX HVN, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, AGL ENERGY LIMITED – ASX AGL, INSURANCE AUSTRALIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX IAG, QBE INSURANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX QBE, GRAINCORP LIMITED – ASX GNC

Fed leaves rates on hold, preps for potential December lift

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Original article by
The Age – Page: Online : 29-Oct-15

The Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting in late October 2015 has resulted in US interest rates being left unchanged. The central bank’s monetary policy statement noted that the US economy is expanding at a "moderate pace", while jobs growth has slowed. The statement omitted the previous month’s reference to the potential impact of global risks on the US economy. BlackRock’s Russ Koesterich says a rate cut remains possible in December.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, BLACKROCK INCORPORATED, FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF RICHMOND, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, REUTERS HOLDINGS PLC

Aussie dives as third-quarter inflation figure surprises

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 29-Oct-15

The Australian dollar was buying $US0.7119 late in trading on 28 October 2015, after starting the session above $US0.72. The currency fell sharply in response to official data showing that the headline and core inflation rates were lower than forecast in the September quarter, which may strengthen the case for further monetary policy easing. Paul Dales of Capital Economics says an interest rate cut is possible in November.

CORPORATES
CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

Yield reputation lives, even as growth slows

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Original article by Vesna Poljak, James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 35 : 29-Oct-15

Australia’s top listed companies paid a total of $A79bn in dividends for the 2014-15 financial year. Brokers now expect the total payout for 2015-16 to be $A81bn, compared with a consensus forecast of $A85bn following the August 2015 reporting season. Dividend payouts in the banking sector remain strong, but a number of companies in the energy sector have reduced their dividends in the wake of the downturn in the crude oil price.

CORPORATES
WOODSIDE PARK STUD PTY LTD, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, ORIGIN ENERGY LIMITED – ASX ORG, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, BHP BILLITON LIMITED – ASX BHP, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, GOLDMAN SACHS AND PARTNERS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, BANK OF JAPAN

Link shares jump 11.5pc on ASX debut

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Original article by Sally Rose
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 & 22 : 28-Oct-15

Shares in superannuation administration services provider Link Group were issued at $A6.37 apiece in a $A946.5m IPO. The stock ended its first day of trading 11.5 per cent higher at $A7.05, after listing at $A7.10. Investors Mutual’s Anton Tagliaferro says Link was attractive to investors due to the limited growth opportunities in the domestic market at present. Meanwhile, Link CEO John McMurtrie has flagged offshore acquisitions to expand its footprint beyond Australia and New Zealand.

CORPORATES
LINK ADMINISTRATION HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX LNK, INVESTORS MUTUAL LIMITED, PACIFIC EQUITY PARTNERS PTY LTD, INTERMEDIATE CAPITAL GROUP PLC, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX, SUPERPARTNERS (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD, PILLAR ADMINISTRATION, COLLINS FOODS LIMITED – ASX CKF, KFC, SIZZLER RESTAURANTS AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AMP LIFE LIMITED, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BNP PARIBAS ASSET MANAGEMENT (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, HSBC AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CITICORP GROUP PTY LTD, MACQUARIE CAPITAL PTY LTD, DEUTSCHE BANK AG

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence virtually unchanged at 113.4

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 27-Oct-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose by 0.1 per cent to 113.4 in the week ended 25 October 2015, following a fall of two per cent in the previous week. This is somewhat surprising given further announcements of increases in variable mortgage interest rates. However, looking at the detail, consumers’ perceptions of their current finances deteriorated, suggesting that the prospect of higher mortgage repayments have hit households’ hip pocket nerve. The sub-index "finances compared to a year ago" was down 4.2 per cent, after a fall of 0.5 per cent in the previous week.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, PROPERTY COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

ASIC takes issue with NAB’s debt collection letters

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Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 27-Oct-15

Customers of National Australia Bank may have been misled by the bank. The Australian Securities & Investments Commission is concerned that the debt collection letters sent to borrowers contain references to Fairhalsen Collections and Brunswick Collections Services. Borrowers could be under the impression that they had received a warning from independent debt collectors, when in fact these two entities are part of the bank.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, FAIRHALSEN COLLECTIONS, BRUNSWICK COLLECTIONS SERVICES, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION

Global mergers and acquisitions on track for best year ever

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Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 27-Oct-15

Citigroup notes that some $US3.1trn worth of mergers and acquisitions have been announced globally so far in 2015. Citigroup believes there is potential for 2015 to eclipse 2007 as the biggest calendar year on record in terms of global M&A activity. The Citigroup reports notes that M&A activity is 38 per cent higher than at the same time in 2014, including year-on-year growth of 54 per cent in Asia, central Eastern Europe and the Middle East.

CORPORATES
CITIGROUP INCORPORATED, ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV, SABMILLER PLC, ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC, BG GROUP PLC, HJ HEINZ COMPANY, KRAFT FOODS INCORPORATED, BEACH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX BPT, DRILLSEARCH ENERGY LIMITED – ASX DLS, WOODSIDE PETROLEUM LIMITED – ASX WPL, OIL SEARCH LIMITED – ASX OSH, SANTOS LIMITED – ASX STO, SCEPTER PARTNERS, KING AND WOOD MALLESONS, BANK OF AMERICA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MERRILL LYNCH (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD

Some growth stocks overpriced, warns UBS

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 27-Oct-15

TPG Telecom and Domino’s Pizza Enterprises are among the companies that have been added to UBS Australia’s list of "quality growth" stocks. The stocks on this list delivered a total return of 21.5 per cent in the year to 14 October 2015, compared with a return of 10.2 per cent for the S&P/ASX 100 ex-resources index. David Cassidy of UBS notes that stocks on the firm’s list have a median price-earnings ratio of 20.5 times.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, TPG TELECOM LIMITED – ASX TPM, DOMINO’S PIZZA ENTERPRISES LIMITED – ASX DMP, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, SEEK LIMITED – ASX SEK, DULUXGROUP LIMITED – ASX DLX, CARSALES.COM LIMITED – ASX CAR, RESMED INCORPORATED – ASX RMD, RAMSAY HEALTH CARE LIMITED – ASX RHC, COCHLEAR LIMITED – ASX COH, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, ASX LIMITED – ASX ASX, TATTS GROUP LIMITED – ASX TTS, TABCORP HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX TAH, MACQUARIE WEALTH MANAGEMENT, HEALTHSCOPE LIMITED – ASX HSO, SONIC HEALTHCARE LIMITED – ASX SHL, COVER-MORE GROUP LIMITED – ASX CVO, BREVILLE GROUP LIMITED – ASX BRG, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 100 INDEX

Bank ‘power’ to protect $30b profits

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Original article by Shaun Drummond, Patrick Commins, Clancy Yeates, Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 26-Oct-15

Some fund managers believe that Australian bank customers rather than shareholders are likely to bear the brunt of complying with new capital requirements. Australian Prudential Regulation Authority chairman Wayne Byres recently suggested that shareholders should expect a slightly lower return as a result of the new requirements. However, all four major banks have now lifted their variable mortgage loan interest rates. Meanwhile, the major banks are poised to post a combined profit in excess of $A30bn for 2014-15.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, AURORA FUNDS MANAGEMENT LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, WATERMARK FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, CONTANGO ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, ARGO INVESTMENTS LIMITED – ASX ARG, CLYDESDALE BANK PLC, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, MARTIN CURRIE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED