ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence up 2% to 116.3 – highest in 18 months

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 30-Jun-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia rose by two per cent to 116.3 in the week ended 28 June 2015, reaching its highest level in 18 months. This builds on the positive reaction by consumers from the Federal Budget, and puts confidence firmly on an upward trajectory. The sub-index for economic conditions in the next year rose by 5.7 per cent, while the sub-index for a "good time to buy a household item" rose by 2.1 per cent, to its highest level in two years.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Banks among those at risk of downgrade

Original article by Stephen Cauchi
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 30-Jun-15

Citigroup has identified a number of Australian companies that could potentially issue earnings downgrades during the upcoming reporting season. They include Myer Holdings, BlueScope Steel, Fairfax Media, Bank of Queensland and Boart Longyear. Several companies have already issued earnings downgrades, including Flight Centre, Woolworths and SEEK. However, Citigroup believes that Caltex Australia and Wesfarmers could upgrade their earnings expectations.

CORPORATES
CITIGROUP PTY LTD, MYER HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX MYR, BLUESCOPE STEEL LIMITED – ASX BSL, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, BOART LONGYEAR LIMITED – ASX BLY, FLIGHT CENTRE TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED – ASX FLT, WOOLWORTHS LIMITED – ASX WOW, SEEK LIMITED – ASX SEK, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, WESFARMERS LIMITED – ASX WES, PACIFIC BRANDS LIMITED – ASX PBG, MONADELPHOUS GROUP LIMITED – ASX MND, NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS, APN NEWS AND MEDIA LIMITED – ASX APN, SOUTHERN CROSS MEDIA GROUP LIMITED – ASX SXL, REECE AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX REH, McMILLAN SHAKESPEARE LIMITED – ASX MMS, TRADE ME GROUP LIMITED – ASX TME, REA GROUP LIMITED – ASX REA, SPARK NEW ZEALAND LIMITED – ASX SPK, ECHO ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED – ASX EGP, GWA GROUP LIMITED – ASX GWA, NEXTDC LIMITED – ASX NXT, METCASH LIMITED – ASX MTS, NINE ENTERTAINMENT COMPANY HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX NEC

Grexit fears wipe $38b from ASX

Original article by Vesna Poljak, Lisa Murray
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 8 : 30-Jun-15

The Australian dollar and the domestic sharemarket were sold down on 29 June 2015, as Greece’s debt crisis deepened and Chinese shares fell. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 was down 123 points or 2.2 per cent at 5,422.5, while the dollar fell to $US0.7643. Kapstream Capital’s Kumar Palghat says investors can expect more volatility in financial markets, while federal Treasurer Joe Hockey says there will be minimal impact on Australia if Greece leaves the eurozone.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, KAPSTREAM CAPITAL PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, GREECE. OFFICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, ASIAN INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT BANK, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA, SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX, CHINEXT COMPOSITE INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, PM CAPITAL LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, UNITED STATES. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, AQUASIA PTY LTD

Australian deal activity tipped to reach next peak in 2018

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 18 : 30-Jun-15

The value of completed mergers and acquisitions in Australia is expected to total $US74.1bn ($A96.1bn) in 2015, according to a report by Oxford Economics. This compares with $US73.7bn in 2014. The report, which was produced on behalf of law firm Baker & McKenzie, also forecasts that the value of local M&A deals will top $US126.3bn in 2018, followed by a fall in the next two years. Meanwhile, some $US2.4bn ($A3.1bn) worth of IPOs are expected to be undertaken in Australia in 2015, with IPO activity rising to $US6.6bn in 2018.

CORPORATES
OXFORD ECONOMICS LIMITED, BAKER AND McKENZIE, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MACQUARIE CAPITAL PTY LTD, GRANT SAMUEL AND ASSOCIATES PTY LTD

Big four rank high for profitability: BIS

Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 29-Jun-15

The Bank for International Settlements’ annual report shows that Australia’s four major banks outperformed their peers in developed countries in terms of profitability in 2014. The banks’ pre-tax profits were 1.28 per cent of their assets during the calendar year, ahead of the US and Canada. TS Lim of Bell Potter notes that Australia’s comparatively high interest rates contributed to the profitability of local banks.

CORPORATES
BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL SETTLEMENTS, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

Westpac buys stake in payments start-up

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 25-Jun-15

PromisePay has raised $US2m ($A2.6m) in seed funding from several venture capital funds, including the Westpac-owned Reinventure Group. PromisePay was founded in 2014 and offers a payment platform for online marketplaces such as Jobstream and Flippa. PromisePay forecasts strong growth in revenue in 2015-16. Reinventure has previously invested in SocietyOne, Nabo and Zetaris.

CORPORATES
PROMISEPAY, REINVENTURE GROUP PTY LTD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, JOBSTREAM, FLIPPA.COM PTY LTD, SOCIETYONE AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, NABO COMMUNITY, ZETARIS PTY LTD, RAMPERSAND HOLDINGS PTY LTD, CULTIVATION CAPITAL, 99DESIGNS PTY LTD, SQUARE, SIXTHIRTY, KIMA VENTURES, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, ERICSSON AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, NEC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, FUJITSU AUSTRALIA LIMITED, STANDARD CHARTERED BANK PLC, BRAINTREE LABORATORIES INCORPORATED, UBER TECHNOLOGIES INCORPORATED, AIRBNB INCORPORATED, EBAY INCORPORATED, CRAIGSLIST, GUMTREE.COM AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CARSALES.COM LIMITED – ASX CAR

Credit card rates up despite cash rate drop

Original article by Clancy Yeates
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 16 : 24-Jun-15

Data from the Reserve Bank of Australia shows that the average credit card interest rate has risen to 19.75 per cent since the currency monetary policy easing cycle began in 2011. The cash rate has fallen to just two per cent over the same period. MWE Consulting’s Mike Ebstein attributes this to the fact that the proportion of credit card debt that is accruing interest has fallen from 73.7 per cent to just 65.6 per cent, with more consumers opting to pay their entire credit card debt each month.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, MWE CONSULTING PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, CONSUMER ACTION LAW CENTRE

Australia languishes in bottom five

Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 24-Jun-15

Global asset managers are bearish about the outlook for returns from Australian shares over the next three years, according to a report commissioned by Principal Global Investors. The report’s author, Amin Rajan, says the survey shows that markets in Russia, Australia, Latin America, Canada and Eastern Europe will deliver the worst returns over this period, while the best returns will be achieved by the US, India, Japan, so-called frontier markets and Asia.

CORPORATES
PRINCIPAL GLOBAL INVESTORS, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence Edges Down

Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Jun-15

The ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rating for Australia fell by 0.4 per cent to 114.0 in the week ended 21 June 2015. However, the four-week moving average is now at 113.5, the highest level since November 2014, reflecting the more positive reaction to the Federal Budget. The sub-index for households’ finances in the next year fell by 1.1 per cent, while the sub-index for households’ finances compared with a year ago rose by 5.3 per cent.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

The year that ‘defied the doomsayers’

Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 29 : 23-Jun-15

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index has gained 3.7 per cent so far in 2014-15, with one week left of the financial year. The broader All Ordinaries Index has risen by 3.9 per cent, while the total return for stocks in the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index has risen by 8.2 per cent. CommSec’s Craig James says the fiscal year has been "good" but not "great" for investors.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX ALL ORDINARIES ACCUMULATION INDEX, COMMONWEALTH SECURITIES LIMITED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD