SMEs squirrel away cash in crisis: ANZ

Original article by Jared Lynch
The Australian – Page: 13 & 16 : 19-Jul-21

ANZ Bank’s CEO Shayne Elliott says the amount of cash held in bank deposits has surged during the last year, with small businesses and consumers opting to save during the COVID-19 pandemic. He notes that small businesses in particular are opting to save at an "unprecedented rate", adding that this trend could have a slight negative impact on the national economy. However, Elliott says increased savings means that small businesses are in a much stronger position during the current lockdowns compared with 2020.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

NAB eyes Citi’s retail in $2b deal

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 18 : 14-Jul-21

National Australia Bank has emerged as a potential buyer of Citigroup’s local consumer banking business. NAB has advised that it is holding talks with Citigroup but stresses that a deal may not eventuate. Citigroup has an 11 per cent share of Australia’s credit card market, making it the fifth-biggest player in the sector, while it holds $5.5bn worth of household deposits and some $6.6bn worth of home loans. Australian Competition & Consumer Commission chairman Rod Sims recently indicated that it would closely scrutinise any bid for the Citigroup assets by one of the nation’s major banks.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, CITIGROUP PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION

Banks brace for lockdown losses

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 13 & 17 : 14-Jul-21

Richard Wiles of Morgan Stanley expects Australia’s major banks to announce combined coronavirus-related loan impairment charges of $700m for the June quarter. Wiles adds that the COVID-19 lockdown in Greater Sydney is likely to prompt the banks to adopt a more conservative approach to making provisions for loan losses. Morgan Stanley also expects loss rates to increase in the second half of 2021 and the first six months of 2022.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Resources set to drive ASX to 8000 at year’s end

Original article by William McInnes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 28 : 9-Jul-21

Mike Aked of global investment manager Research Affiliates says Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index could rise above 8,000 points by the end of 2021. He expects the resources sector to drive the local market higher, on the back of the continued strength of commodity prices. Financial stocks have been the main driver of the local bourse’s recent rally, although the materials sector has surged in the last several weeks amid a rebound in the prices of commodities such as iron ore and copper.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, RESEARCH AFFILIATES LLC

Reserve Bank cools expectations of rise in interest rates

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 13 & 20 : 9-Jul-21

Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe has downplayed speculation that it could begin tightening monetary policy in 2022. Lowe has told the Economics Society of Queensland that inflation must be "sustainably" within the RBA’s target range of 2-3 per cent before it will consider a rise in the official interest rate; he added that wage growth of at least three per cent is likely to be needed for inflation to reach the central bank’s target range, while wages growth is "materially" less than three per cent at present. George Tharenou of UBS expects the RBA to abandon its bond yield target in the second half of 2022, which would enable it to increase the cash rate in 2023.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

Investors bring forward rate rise expectations

Original article by William McInnes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 7-Jul-21

Marcel Thieliant of Capital Economics now expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to begin tightening monetary policy in early 2023, and he has flagged a cash rate of 0.75 per cent by the end of that year. RBA governor Philip Lowe has previously reiterated that interest rates are likely to remain at 0.1 per cent until at least 2024, but he indicated in a statement on 6 July that this is now merely its "central scenario" and the conditions that could justify a rate rise could be met earlier than this. Interest rate futures pricing also suggests that the cash rate could begin rising earlier than expected.

CORPORATES
CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

AustralianSuper targets $500bn after stellar 20pc return

Original article by Glenda Korporaal
The Australian – Page: 13 & 20 : 6-Jul-21

AustralianSuper’s balanced option has posted a return of 20.43 per cent for 2020-21, compared with just 0.52 per cent in the previous financial year. The industry superannuation fund now boasts assets of $225m, and CEO Mark Delaney says it expects this to top $470bn by 2026. He adds that while equities are likely to perform well in 2021-22, he does not expect super funds to match their returns for 2020-21. Meanwhile, AustralianSuper has secured a deal to acquire a 40 per cent stake in the Moorebank intermodal logistics facility in Sydney.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD

Credit cards, home loans lead bank disputes lodged with ombudsman

Original article by David Ross
The Australian – Page: Online : 5-Jul-21

Preliminary data from the Australian Financial Complaints Authority shows that it handled fewer disputes with financial services providers in 2020-21. The AFCA received more than 70,000 complaints during the financial year, compared with 80,500 in 2019-20. Credit cards accounted for 14 per cent of disputes in the last financial year, ahead of home loans (nine per cent) and personal transaction accounts (eight per cent). The AFCA also received 8,303 coronavirus-related complaints in 2020-21, compared with 5,013 in the last four months of 2019-20.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL COMPLAINTS AUTHORITY

Forrest joins Gates’ climate venture fund

Original article by Brad Thompson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 : 5-Jul-21

Andrew Forrest has joined a number of well-known billionaires in investing in Breakthrough Energy Venture, a venture capital fund chaired by Microsoft’s co-founder Bill Gates. BEV will focus on emerging greenhouse gas-reducing technologies, and it has made initial investments in 46 companies across sectors such as electricity, transport and construction. The billionaires who have initially invested in BEV all made a minimum investment of at least US50 million ($66 million).

CORPORATES
MICROSOFT CORPORATION, BREAKTHROUGH ENERGY VENTURES

Global equities the big winner

Original article by Alex Gluyas
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 2-Jul-21

Data from BetaShares shows that Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 gained 27.8 per cent on a total returns basis in 2020-21, including dividends. This compares with a return of 37.4 per cent for the MSCI All Country World Index, which was boosted by technology and financial stocks. The Australian market was in turn bolstered by strong gains from consumer discretionary stocks (up 46.1 per cent), financials (40.6 per cent), technology (39.8 per cent) and resources (29.2 per cent). The S&P 500 gained 40.8 per cent in 2020-21, and it reached another new record high on 1 July.

CORPORATES
BETASHARES CAPITAL LIMITED, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MSCI ALL COUNTRY WORLD INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX