K: Financial and Insurance Services

What crisis? Bull market rages on as beaten-down banks lead value charge

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 13 & 19 : 5-Jun-20

The S&P/ASX 200 has gained more than 30 per cent since reaching a seven-year low of 4,402.5 points on 23 March. Morgan Stanley estimates that the benchmark index is currently trading on a record 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 19.55 times. While there has been strong support for some defensive growth stocks, value stocks continue to outperform; Chris Nicol of Morgan Stanley says there will be further upside for value stocks if there is a V-shaped economic recovery.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

RBA tips fewer ATMs and an end to cheques

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 17 : 4-Jun-20

The Reserve Bank of Australia could introduce a ‘least-cost routing’ regime for credit card transactions unless merchants take the initiative themselves, according to assistant governor Michele Bullock. This is among the options that will be considered in the RBA’s review of the payments system. Bullock also notes that the coronavirus pandemic has seen a sharp downturn in ATM usage, which may prompt the nation’s ATM network to be scaled back. She adds that cheques could soon be phased out, given that this payment option has been in steady decline for the last two decades.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Surging dollar harming export earnings

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 20 : 4-Jun-20

The Australian dollar peaked at a five-month high of $US0.6983 in local trading on 3 June, having fallen to an 18-year low of $US0.551 earlier in 2020. The currency has averaged $US0.648 so far in the first half of the calendar year, compared with an average of around $US0.68 in the second half of 2019. The dollar’s recent rebound has boosted offshore interest in Australian equities, although it will weigh on the nation’s export earnings.

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Savings rates are drying up as banks race to the bottom on mortgages

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Original article by Matt Johnson
The New Daily – Page: Online : 3-Jun-20

Data from Canstar shows that Australian banks reduced the interest rates on a range of savings accounts and term deposits by up to 75 basis points in May. However, the interest rates on mortgage loans were reduced much less aggressively, averaging just 0.08 per cent for variable home loans and 0.36 per cent for fixed-rate loans. Steve Mickenbecker of Canstar attributes this to factors such as growing competition from non-bank mortgage lenders. However, he does not expect rates to fall much further.

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CANSTAR PTY LTD

ANZ urges stricken firms: wind up now

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Original article by James Frost
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 13 & 17 : 1-Jun-20

The ANZ’s head of retail and business banking, Mark Hand, suggests that 2021 will be a very difficult year for small businesses. He suggests that many small and medium enterprises will not recover from the COVID-19 crisis, even with loan deferrals from banks and wage subsidies from the federal government. He says the best move for some SME owners would be to wind up their business and walk away with some equity. The ANZ is worried that the recent spark of optimism resulting from a fall in new COVID-19 cases and the easing of some restrictions will result in some of its business borrowers becoming complacent.

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AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Brace for negative super returns: Silk

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Original article by Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 13 & 20 : 29-May-20

AustralianSuper’s balanced investment option has posted a return of minus 3.3 per cent for the year to April, following a coronavirus-induced rout in financial markets in the March quarter. CEO Ian Silk has warned that the balanced option is likely to post its first negative return for a financial year since the global financial crisis. However, he notes that the balanced option has delivered an average return of eight per cent over the last decade. Silk adds that some 200,000 AustralianSuper members have utilised the federal government’s early access scheme.

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AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD

Watchdog backs delay of Hayne banking reforms

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Original article by Eli Greenblat
The Australian – Page: 16 : 29-May-20

Some of the recommendations arising from the Hayne royal commission were slated to be implemented in July. Australian Securities & Investments Commission chairman James Shipton has expressed support for the federal government’s decision to delay these reforms until the end of 2020, given the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on banks and the domestic economy. Shipton has also told a Senate committee that ASIC is watching out for fraudulent activity such as phoenix companies and attempts to scam people out of their superannuation savings via the early access scheme.

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AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY

Super sector should shrink 80pc: report

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Original article by James Thomson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 25-May-20

Management consulting firm Right Lane contends that a major rationalisation of Australia’s superannuation sector is necessary. Associate principal Abhishek Chhikara suggests that there is scope for 3-5 large "generalist" funds and 7-10 niche funds that are focused on specific industries or types of super products. Right Lane estimates that a super fund needs a minimum of 500,000 active members in order to operate efficiently, and ideally they should have between one and two million active members. The firm expects the pandemic to increase the pressure on smaller funds.

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RIGHT LANE CONSULTING

Lowe urges banks to lend again

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 13 & 17 : 22-May-20

Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe has praised the resilience of Australia’s financial system and said that it is well-placed to ride out the coronavirus pandemic. Lowe has also told a Financial Services Institute webcast that banks should utilise the capital and liquidity buffers that they have built up over the last decade and continue to lend during the pandemic. Lowe also repeated his view that the prospect of negative interest rates in Australia is unlikely.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, FINANCIAL SERVICES INSTITUTE OF AUSTRALASIA

Powell’s equities lift: we’re not out of ammo

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 20 : 19-May-20

The Australian sharemarket has been bolstered by encouraging comments from US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell. He indicated that there is "almost no limit" to the central bank’s monetary stimulus in response to the coronavirus pandemic; Powell has also forecast that the US economy will steadily recover during the second half of 2020, in the absence of a second wave of virus infections. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has increased by 67 per cent to $US6.93trn since February, although the central bank has been winding back its quantitative easing program since mid-March.

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UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX