Local banks have world-beating profits

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 21 : 7-Feb-19

Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe has noted that at around 13 per cent, Australian banks have a much higher return on equity than many of their international peers. He was unable to provide an explanation for this, but questioned whether local banks’ higher return on equity is sustainable. Meanwhile, ratings agency Moody’s says the Hayne royal commission’s failure to recommend breaking up the four major banks supports the "strong and stable profitability" of the banking sector.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, AUSTRALIA. PRODUCTIVITY COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION

Dollar dives as RBA keeps door open on rate cut

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 17 & 27 : 7-Feb-19

Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe adopted a more dovish tone on monetary policy on 6 February. He used a National Press Club speech in Sydney to indicate that the RBA has the flexibility to reduce the cash rate if the outlook for unemployment and inflation makes such a move appropriate. The RBA had signalled in December that interest rates are more likely to rise than to fall. Lowe also said that the downturn in house prices is unlikely to affect economic growth.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

NAB bosses dig in: we’ll fix culture

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 1 & 5 : 6-Feb-19

Brett Le Mesurier of Shaw & Partners expects National Australia Bank CEO Andrew Thorburn to resign by the end of February, followed by chairman Ken Hendy later in the year. However, Thorburn has indicated that he will remain in his role despite attracting criticism in the final report of the financial services royal commission. He also says NAB will review and revise its strategy to improve its culture and governance.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, SHAW AND PARTNERS LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIAN FOUNDATION INVESTMENT COMPANY LIMITED – ASX AFI

Banks surge after royal pardon

Original article by David Rogers, Richard Gluyas
The Australian – Page: 19 & 23 : 6-Feb-19

Jon Mott of UBS has described the final report of the financial services royal commission as a "clear win" for Australia’s banks, saying its recommendations did not meet market expectations. Investors agreed, with shares in the banks and wealth managers AMP and IOOF Holdings rallying on 5 February. Brian Johnson of CLSA says bank stocks could rise further, as the market had priced in more onerous recommendations by commissioner Kenneth Hayne.

CORPORATES
UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, CLSA AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, IOOF HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX IFL, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, AUSTRALIAN FINANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX AFG, MORTGAGE CHOICE LIMITED – ASX MOC, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, MOODY’S INVESTORS SERVICE INCORPORATED, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS

Next rates move still up, RBA insists

Original article by David Rogers, James Glynn
The Australian – Page: 19 & 28 : 6-Feb-19

The Reserve Bank of Australia has downgraded its forecast for economic growth in 2019 from 3.25 per cent to around three per cent, after leaving the cash rate unchanged at 1.5 per cent. The central bank has also advised that it now expects the unemployment rate to fall to around 4.75 per cent over the next several years, while it forecasts an underlying inflation rate of two per cent in 2019. Analysts expect official interest rates to remain on hold for some time.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

NAB singled out for most Hayne pain

Original article by James Thomson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: W1 & W4 : 5-Feb-19

Key executives of National Australia Bank have been criticised in the financial services royal commission’s final report, including CEO Andrew Thorburn and chairman Ken Hendry. Commissioner Kenneth Hayne says the appearances of Thorburn and Henry before the inquiry raised questions as whether NAB had learnt from its past mistakes with regard to the fee-for-no-service scandal. However, Hayne noted that the evidence of Commonwealth Bank CEO Matt Comyn and ANZ counterpart Shayne Elliott showed that they understand the challenges that their banks face.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, FEDERAL COURT OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Less bad outcome a relief for banks

Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 21 : 5-Feb-19

There is general consensus among equity analysts and portfolio managers that the final report of the financial services royal commission has not been as harsh on the banking sector as it could have been. Shares in the major banks and AMP are expected to rise when trading resumes on 5 February, although listed mortgage brokers are likely to face a sell-off after the inquiry recommended that brokers’ commissions paid by lenders be phased out in favour of ones paid by borrowers.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, NOMURA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BELL DIRECT, TRIBECA INVESTMENT PARTNERS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, MORTGAGE CHOICE LIMITED – ASX MOC, AUSTRALIAN FINANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX AFG

Forecasters tipping RBA will cling to its tightening bias

Original article by Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 4-Feb-19

Andrew Ticehurst of Nomura expects the Reserve Bank of Australia’s board to retain its bias toward tightening monetary policy when it meets on 4 February. Ticehurst also forecasts that the central bank will scale back its economic growth and inflation forecasts. The general consensus of economists is that the RBA will leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.5 per cent throughout 2019, although financial markets have priced in the chance of a rate cut late in the year.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NOMURA AUSTRALIA LIMITED, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, MARKET ECONOMICS PTY LTD, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, INDUSTRY SUPER AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

AMP reaps $100m in zombie fees

Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 6 : 1-Feb-19

The federal government’s legislative agenda for February will include a bill to enable the Australian Taxation Office to transfer monies from inactive superannuation accounts with low balances to the fund member. There are about 7.3 million inactive super accounts in Australia, and it is estimated that AMP alone generates at least $100m in fees each year from more than one million such accounts. Australians also pay some $2.6bn a year in fees for multiple super accounts.

CORPORATES
AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, AUSTRALIAN TAXATION OFFICE, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIANSUPER PTY LTD, MOTOR TRADES ASSOCIATION OF AUSTRALIA SUPERANNUATION FUND PTY LTD, REST SUPER PTY LTD, FIRST SUPER PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. PRODUCTIVITY COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY

ASIC to clarify lending rules post Hayne

Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 17 : 1-Feb-19

The Australian Securities & Investments Commission is expected to issue revised guidelines covering banks and their responsible lending obligations in coming weeks. The new guidelines are expected to be one of the first regulatory responses to the banking royal commission’s final report, which is due to be released on 4 February. The guidelines are likely to state that it is permissible for banks to use technology to help them to make more speedy decisions on loan applications.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN SECURITIES AND INVESTMENTS COMMISSION, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, FEDERAL COURT OF AUSTRALIA, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED