K: Financial and Insurance Services

Baird defends NAB interest rate hike

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 15 & 16 : 25-Jan-19

Sally Tindall of RateCity expects other major banks to increase their mortgage interest rates after National Australia Bank announced a rise in its rates for owner-occupiers and investors. NAB has indicated that a rise in wholesale funding costs was the main driver of the rate hike, but chief customer officer Mike Baird notes that it is the first increase in its standard variable interest rate since March 2017. NAB chose to leave its mortgage rates on hold when other banks lifted theirs in September.

CORPORATES
NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RATECITY PTY LTD, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, VIRGIN MONEY (AUSTRALIA) PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY

RBA will ignore gloom and stay a growth hawk

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Original article by James Glynn
The Australian – Page: 23 : 25-Jan-19

The Reserve Bank of Australia is tipped to scale back its economic growth forecasts for 2019 and 2020, after GDP growth was just 2.8 per cent year-on-year in the December 2018 quarter. The RBA had previously forecast growth of 3.5 per cent for 2018. However, the central bank is expected to maintain its hawkish stance, given that the unemployment rate eased in December. The strong labour market also means an increase in the cash rate is more likely than a cut.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Aussie tipped to dive 15pc this year

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Original article by Timothy Moore
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 25-Jan-19

Capital Economics has downgraded its forecast for the Australian dollar in 2019. The firm has warned that the currency could test $US0.60 and remain at around this level in 2020. It had previously expected the currency to trade at about $US0.65 in 2019 and $US0.70 in the following year. Capital Economics is also bearish about the outlook for Australia’s key export commodities, iron ore and coal, while it expects official interest rate cuts in 2019.

CORPORATES
CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Hacking risks higher under open banking

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Original article by James Eyers
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 19 : 24-Jan-19

The Australian Banking Association has expressed concern that theft of personal data and email scams will become rife under the federal government’s open banking regime. Open banking is slated to begin on 1 February 2020, with a pilot program to commence in July 2019. The ABA’s submission to the Treasury’s draft report on open banking has called for the terms of reference for the pilot program to include an assessment of the potential privacy risks.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN BANKING ASSOCIATION, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, AUSTRALIAN COMPETITION AND CONSUMER COMMISSION

Murray in the crosshairs as battered AMP faces shareholder revolt

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis, Ben Butler
The Australian – Page: 15 & 18 : 23-Jan-19

AMP could face a board spill at its 2019 annual meeting under the ‘two strikes’ regime, after more than 61 per cent of votes cast at the 2018 meeting rejected its remuneration report. The election of chairman David Murray is also uncertain, with at least two institutional investors said to be planning to vote against the resolution. They include Hamish Carlisle of Merlon Capital Partners, who opposes the election of Murray and non-executive director John O’Sullivan.

CORPORATES
AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, MERLON CAPITAL PARTNERS PTY LTD, AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, RESOLUTION LIFE GROUP LIMITED, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN COUNCIL OF SUPERANNUATION INVESTORS INCORPORATED, ABERDEEN ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED, IOOF HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX IFL, AUSTRALIAN ETHICAL INVESTMENT LIMITED – ASX AEF, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, FEDERAL COURT OF AUSTRALIA

Industry funds the likely beneficiaries of proposed superannuation changes

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 23-Jan-19

New findings from Roy Morgan show that the level of satisfaction with the financial performance of industry superannuation funds was 61.8% in the six months to November 2018, compared with 57.2% for retail super funds. Satisfaction with industry funds has increased by 2.6% over the last year, while satisfaction with retail funds has declined by 0.3%. Eight of the top 10 performing funds, based on satisfaction with financial performance, were industry funds over the six months to November. The highest rating was for Catholic Super with 70.5%, followed by Unisuper on 69.7%. The only retail funds to make it into the top 10 were ASGARD with 65.1% and Macquarie with 63.7% satisfaction, but both were below the average of 65.5% for the top 10. These are the latest findings from Roy Morgan’s ‘Satisfaction with Financial Performance of Superannuation in Australia Report’ November 2018, which is based on in-depth interviews conducted face-to-face with over 50,000 consumers per annum in their homes, including over 30,000 with superannuation.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, CATHOLIC SUPER, UNISUPER LIMITED, ASGARD SUPER, MACQUARIE SUPER

CBA dividend cut on the cards as sell-offs create an earnings hole

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Original article by Misa Han
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 22-Jan-19

Richard Wiles of Morgan Stanley suggests that the Commonwealth Bank of Australia may have to reduce its dividend payout ratio following a series of asset sales. CBA exited the life insurance sector in 2018 and secured a deal to sell Colonial First State Global Asset Management. It also proposed to spin-off its wealth management and mortgage broking operations. CBA paid a fully franked full-year dividend of $4.31 per share in fiscal 2018, an increase of $0.02.

CORPORATES
COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, COLONIAL FIRST STATE GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT, COLONIAL FIRST STATE GROUP LIMITED, COUNT FINANCIAL LIMITED, FINANCIAL WISDOM LIMITED, AUSSIE HOME LOANS LIMITED, COUNTPLUS LIMITED – ASX CUP, MORTGAGE CHOICE LIMITED – ASX MOC, SOCIETYONE AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Funds end in the red after a horror year

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 15 & 22 : 18-Jan-19

Data from Mercer shows that long-only Australian share funds posted a median loss of 4.2 per cent in 2018, compared with a loss of 2.7 per cent for the S&P/ASX200 Accumulation Index. The December quarter was particularly challenging, with the median active Australian share fund losing 9.6 per cent before fees and the ASX200 Accumulation Index falling 8.1 per cent. Panther Trust Australian Shares, a boutique long-only fund, was the top performer in 2018 with a return of 5.6 per cent.

CORPORATES
MERCER INVESTMENTS PTY LTD, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 ACCUMULATION INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, PANTHER TRUST AUSTRALIAN SHARES FUND, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, BENNELONG FUNDS MANAGEMENT PTY LTD, CSL LIMITED – ASX CSL, BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, IDP EDUCATION LIMITED – ASX IEL, TELSTRA CORPORATION LIMITED – ASX TLS, AFTERPAY TOUCH GROUP LIMITED – ASX APT, RESOLUTE MINING LIMITED – ASX RSG, NEWS CORPORATION – ASX NWS, BANK OF QUEENSLAND LIMITED – ASX BOQ, ASALEO CARE LIMITED – ASX AHY, CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX CTX, FLIGHT CENTRE TRAVEL GROUP LIMITED – ASX FLT, BELL ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX BLM, APPLE INCORPORATED, MASTERCARD INTERNATIONAL INCORPORATED, MICROSOFT CORPORATION, ALPHABET INCORPORATED

Hayne’s grenade about to explode

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Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 15 & 23 : 18-Jan-19

The banking royal commission is due to present its final report to the federal government on 1 February, although it may be a day or two before the report is made public. There are a number of companies within the financial services sector whose share price could be impacted by the report’s content and recommendations, including AMP, IOOF and Mortgage Choice. Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has hinted that the report will be released outside of stock exchange trading hours, while he says the commission’s initial report and hearings have shown that certain financial institutions have not done a good job when it comes to treating Australians honestly and fairly.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. ROYAL COMMISSION INTO MISCONDUCT IN THE BANKING, SUPERANNUATION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, IOOF HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX IFL, MORTGAGE CHOICE LIMITED – ASX MOC, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AUSTRALIAN FINANCE GROUP LIMITED – ASX AFG, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, DEUTSCHE BANK AG, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, GREAT BRITAIN. FINANCIAL CONDUCT AUTHORITY

Looming federal election puts a dampener on dealmaking

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Original article by Scott Murdoch
The Australian – Page: 13 & 18 : 17-Jan-19

Data from Acuris shows that mergers and acquisitions activity in Australia totalled $US88.5bn ($123bn) in 2018, compared with $US85.6bn previously. Joe Fayyad from Bank of America Merrill Lynch notes that the upcoming federal election will affect inbound M&A activity in 2019, which will boost local companies’ ability to transact deals. Meanwhile, Aidan Allen of UBS expects M&A activity in 2019 to be dominated by private equity firms and Australian companies making offshore acquisitions.

CORPORATES
ACURIS, BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD, MACQUARIE CAPITAL PTY LTD, JP MORGAN AUSTRALIA LIMITED, AMCOR LIMITED – ASX AMC, BEMIS MANUFACTURING COMPANY, REECE AUSTRALIA LIMITED – ASX REH, MORSCO, WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED – ASX WOR, JACOBS ENGINEERING GROUP INCORPORATED, GOLDMAN SACHS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CREDIT SUISSE (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED