L67 Property Operators and Real Estate Services

Negative equity feared as house prices plunge

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Original article by Michael Roddan, Luke Griffiths
The Australian – Page: 2 : 11-Apr-19

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s deputy governor Guy Debelle says the number of homeowners with negative equity has increased, although he notes that it remains largely confined to Western Australia and mining regions. He adds that it is unusual for house prices to fall sharply at a time when the economy is continuing to grow and the unemployment rate is low. Debelle says the outlook for the labour market is likely to determine whether there is a further increase in negative equity and mortgage arrears.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, S&P GLOBAL RATINGS, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Nation’s residential building boom well and truly over: BIS

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Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 11-Apr-19

BIS Oxford Economics is bearish about the near-term outlook for Australia’s housing construction market. The firm has forecast that the sector will be hit by a two-year correction, with the number of new dwelling starts tipped to fall to 161,000 a year. This compares with between 220,000 and 230,000 annually over the last four years. Meanwhile, official data shows that there was a 16.3 per cent decline in housing starts during the December quarter, which is the largest quarter-on-quarter fall since September 2000.

CORPORATES
BIS OXFORD ECONOMICS PTY LTD, COMMONWEALTH SECURITIES LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, BROOKFIELD MULTIPLEX LIMITED

House values expected to fall sharply

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Original article by Ingrid Fuary-Wagner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 10-Apr-19

Moody’s Analytics forecasts that house prices will fall by 9.3 per cent in Sydney during 2019, and apartment prices will decline by 5.9 per cent. The ratings agency expects the prices of houses and apartments in Melbourne to fall by 11.4 per cent and five per cent respectively. Moody’s economist Katrina Ell says factors such as stricter lending conditions in the wake of the Hayne royal commission and Labor’s proposed negative gearing reforms could weigh on the housing market. Moody’s expects the cash rate to remain on hold until mid-2021, although it says further housing market weakness could see a rate cut before the end of 2019.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S ANALYTICS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Top 10 housing stress seats all held by Labor

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Original article by Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 1-Apr-19

Labor is hoping to make housing more affordable if it wins the federal election by implementing changes to the negative gearing and capital gains tax regimes. Analysis conducted by the National Centre for Social & Economic Modelling indicates that the 10 electorates with the highest level of housing stress are all held by Labor, while Digital Finance Analytics estimates that the number of households facing mortgage stress now exceeds one million. The NATSEM analysis also indicates that Labor holds eight of the 10 seats with the highest level of poverty.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, UNIVERSITY OF CANBERRA. NATIONAL CENTRE FOR SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC MODELLING, DIGITAL FINANCE ANALYTICS, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

SQM urges phasing in of gearing reforms

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Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 35 & 38 : 21-Mar-19

SQM Research MD Louis Christopher says Labor should implement its proposed negative gearing and capital gains tax reforms gradually if it wins the federal election, to avoid a "shock" to the broader economy. Research by SQM suggests that Labor’s reforms could potentially result in a 12 per cent decline in residential property prices over three years, while rents could rise sharply as supply is reduced. SQM adds that two official interest rate cuts by January 2020 would see housing prices fall by just 4-8 over three years, as well as lower rent increases.

CORPORATES
SQM RESEARCH PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Financiers torpedo Crown tower project

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Original article by Nick Lenaghan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 33 : 5-Mar-19

Crown Resorts has not been able to secure an extension from the Victorian Government for a planning permit for a proposed hotel and apartment tower in Melbourne’s CBD. Crown had proposed to build the $1.75 billion tower opposite its casino under a joint venture with Schiavello Group. Under the terms of their planning permit, Crown and Schiavello had two years to commence development before the permit expired. However, they were unable to secure suitable financing arrangements for the tower, which would have been the tallest in Australia.

CORPORATES
CROWN RESORTS LIMITED – ASX CWN, SCHIAVELLO GROUP PTY LTD, VICTORIA. DEPT OF ENVIRONMENT, LAND, WATER AND PLANNING, WILKINSON EYRE ARCHITECTS

Manifestation of a system in trouble

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Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 34 : 25-Feb-19

Construction lawyer Bronwyn Weir says more building failures similar to the cracks that impacted Sydney’s Opal Tower are inevitable if serious reforms are not implemented by the states. Cracks in the apartment tower led to its residents being evacuated on Christmas Eve, with some still unable to return to their homes. Weir says developers and builders have no real interest in whether what they construct will perform over the long term, and they are not being held accountable for any actions that might negatively impact future owners.

CORPORATES

‘Time to pounce’: Investors rush to beat change

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Original article by Ingrid Fuary-Wagner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 9 : 18-Feb-19

Real estate investors are preparing to acquire established properties in the event that Labor wins the upcoming federal election. Labor intends to abolish negative gearing on established properties, although it will still allow it for newly-built homes. However, any such changes would be unlikely to take effect until 1 July 2020. Victor Kumar of Right Property Group says he would expect to see a big increase in sales of established properties in the period between the election and when any legislation takes effect.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, RIGHT PROPERTY GROUP

Reality bites for million-dollar club

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Original article by Mackenzie Scott, Remy Varga
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 15-Feb-19

New data shows that just 649 suburbs across Australia now boast a median house price of $1m, compared with 741 in January 2018. There are now 366 suburbs in New South Wales where the median price exceeds $1m, while there are 129 such suburbs in Victoria. Nerida Conisbee, the chief economist at realestate.com.au, says price rises in recent years were unsustainable and some suburbs simply did not belong in the million-dollar price bracket.

CORPORATES
REALESTATE.COM.AU, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

Reforms to help protect buyers

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Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 11-Feb-19

State and territory building ministers agreed to a ban on the use of unsafe aluminium composite panels in new apartment buildings at a Council of Australian Governments meeting on 8 February. However, the meeting did not define "unsafe". The meeting also agreed that builders have an ongoing duty of care to apartment owners to provide a building that meets required building code standards, and that builders will face extra liability if their buildings do not comply with such standards.

CORPORATES
COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENTS, HIGH COURT OF AUSTRALIA, OWNERS CORPORATION NETWORK OF AUSTRALIA INCORPORATED, MASTER BUILDERS ASSOCIATION OF NEW SOUTH WALES PTY LTD, UNIVERSITY OF WESTERN SYDNEY, NEW SOUTH WALES. DEPT OF PLANNING AND ENVIRONMENT, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF INDUSTRY, INNOVATION AND SCIENCE