Original article by Mackenzie Scott
The Australian – Page: 21 : 12-Oct-18

Investment bank Morgan Stanley has warned that residential property prices in Australia could potentially decline by 10-15 per cent. It had previously forecast a fall of just 5-10 per cent in house prices. Morgan Stanley says a pullback of the magnitude it now forecasts would have a flow-on effect across the economy, including a rise in the official unemployment rate to eight per cent. The firm also says the earnings of companies with exposure to the residential property sector would be hit.

CORPORATES
MORGAN STANLEY AUSTRALIA LIMITED, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB

Original article by Ingrid Fuary-Wagner
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 31 : 2-Oct-18

CoreLogic’s latest data indicate that there is greater resilience in the more affordable segments of Australia’s residential property market. House prices in the bottom quarter of the Melbourne market rose by 4.1 per cent year-on-year, while they fell by just 3.3 per cent in Sydney’s bottom quartile. However, prices in Sydney and Melbourne’s top quartiles fell by 8.4 per cent and 6.7 per cent respectively. Tim Lawless of Corelogic says demand is becoming focused on the more affordable housing segments as banks become more cautious about borrowers taking on too much debt.

CORPORATES
CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, RAY WHITE REAL ESTATE

Original article by Larry Schlesinger
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 37 : 18-Sep-18

Moody’s Analytics has forecast a 1.6 per cent fall in housing prices across Australia in 2018. The firm expects house prices in Sydney to decline by 5.1 per cent overall, although some suburbs will record larger declines while others will record growth. House prices in Melbourne are forecast to rise by 0.3 per cent in 2018, with Brisbane tipped to record growth of 1.5 per cent and prices in Perth to fall by 1.9 per cent. The forecasts are based on historical data from CoreLogic’s Hedonic Home Value Index.

CORPORATES
MOODY’S ANALYTICS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, MORRELL AND KOREN BUYERS’ ADVOCATES

Original article by Michael Bleby
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 30 : 17-Sep-18

Stockland CEO Mark Steinert has forecast that house prices in Sydney and Melbourne will fall by around five per cent over the next 12 months. However, the expected decline is likely to be primarily restricted to the higher end of the detached housing market, a view shared by Mirvac CEO Susan Lloyd-Hurwitz. Data from CoreLogic shows that the prices of detached houses in Sydney fell by 7.1 per cent in the year to August, compared with a 2.7 per cent decline in Melbourne.

CORPORATES
STOCKLAND – ASX SGP, MIRVAC GROUP – ASX MGR, CORELOGIC AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, GPT GROUP – ASX GPT, CBUS PROPERTY PTY LTD, VICINITY CENTRES – ASX VCX, PROPERTY COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA LIMITED, BIS OXFORD ECONOMICS PTY LTD