O75 Public Administration

Roy Morgan Poll: In November, support for One Nation increased to its highest since 1998; ALP maintains two-party preferred lead

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Nov-25

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that primary support for the ALP was down 2% to 33% in November, with support for the Coalition unchanged on 27% and the Greens down 0.5% to 12.5%. However, primary support for One Nation was up 2% to 14%, which is its highest level since July 1998. On a State-by-State basis, support for One Nation increased in the four largest States of New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland and Western Australia, but support was down in the smaller States of South Australia and Tasmania. This increasing support for One Nation should come as no surprise; Roy Morgan has been monitoring the rise of disaffected, disengaged Australians, who are 2.5 times more likely to support One Nation. On a two-party preferred basis the ALP has maintained its lead at 56.5% (down 0.5% from October), ahead of the Coalition on 43.5% (up 0.5%). If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be returned to Government with an increased majority. The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 5,248 electors over the four weeks from 20 October to 16 November 2025.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Shaky Liberals fears party split

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Original article by Phillip Coorey, Ryan Cropp
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 4 : 19-Nov-25

There is growing concern within the Liberal Party of Australia that its stance on net-zero emissions could potentially cause the party to split. Multiple sources have indicated that some members of the Liberals’ moderate faction have held discussions about splitting from the party. However, Liberal senator and moderate Andrew Bragg contends that the recent decision to abandon the commitment to net-zero is not a reason to walk away from the party, and he argues that the fragmentation of the centre-right of Australian politics would result in less coherent policy.

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LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Wilson’s policy blueprint to take down Allan

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Original article by Anthony Galloway, Lily McCaffrey
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 19-Nov-25

Victoria’s Opposition leader Jess Wilson has identified a range of policy priorities for the Coalition ahead of the state election next year. They include budget repair, the economy, healthcare, housing and the state’s crime crisis. Wilson has described herself as a "new generation" leader and says the appointment of a third Liberal leader in less than a year is a "line in the sand" moment for the party. Wilson was elected unopposed, with Brad Battin choosing not to contest the ballot after the party room voted 19-13 to spill the leadership. Sam Groth has been re-elected as deputy leader, while Beverley McArthur is the Opposition’s new leader in the upper house. The state government has already launched ‘attack’ ads targeting Wilson.

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LIBERAL PARTY OF VICTORIA

Victoria to set life terms for kids as young as 14

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Original article by Anthony Galloway
The Australian – Page: 3 : 12-Nov-25

The Victorian government has belatedly responded to the state’s youth crime crisis by announcing plans to implement ‘adult crime, adult time’ laws. Premier Jacinta Allan is set to announce that children aged 14+ who commit a range of offences will automatically have their case heard by the Country Court rather than the Children’s Court; these offences include aggravated home invasion and aggravated carjacking. The County Court can presently impose a maximum penalty of 25 years for aggravated home invasion and aggravated carjacking; however, the government will legislate to increase the maximum penalty to life imprisonment for offenders aged 14+.

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VICTORIA. DEPT OF PREMIER AND CABINET, COUNTY COURT OF VICTORIA, CHILDREN’S COURT

Victoria hits back at worst for business ranking

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Original article by Marcus de Blonk Smith
The Australian – Page: 4 : 12-Nov-25

The Victorian government has responded to the Business Council of Australia’s finding that the state is the nation’s worst place to do business for a second consecutive year. The government contends that investment in Victoria has been "the strongest among all states" over the last decade, growing by 53 per cent over this period. A government spokesman also contends that Victoria continues to rank first in terms of home approvals and home completions, adding that the government has also reduced or scrapped taxes 65 times. The BCA has again ranked South Australia as the best place to do business.

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BUSINESS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA

Roy Morgan Business Confidence virtually unchanged at 101.7 after the RBA leaves interest rates at 3.6%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Nov-25

In October 2025, Roy Morgan Business Confidence was virtually unchanged at 101.7. The result followed the Reserve Bank’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged in late September at 3.6%. Business Confidence is now 8.2pts below the long-term average of 109.9, and down 5pts from October 2024. Now 30.6% (down 2.8ppts) of businesses says their business is ‘better off’ financially than this time a year ago, while 34.1% (down 0.5ppts) say the business is ‘worse off’. Meanwhile, 42.2% (up 2.6ppts) of respondents expect the business will be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, while 22.3% (up 2.3ppts) expect the business will be ‘worse off’. Some 37.4% (down 1.9ppts) respondents say the next 12 months will be a ‘good time to invest’ in growing the business, while 34.9% (up 5.4ppts) say it will be a ‘bad time to invest’.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

States attack federal Labor’s tobacco policy

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Original article by Mohammad Alfares, Lachlan Leeming
The Australian – Page: 6 : 12-Nov-25

The federal government is attracting growing criticism over its tobacco policy, including its refusal to reduce excise tax in order to combat the burgeoning black market. Tasmania’s Police Minister Felix Ellis says the federal government’s response to the illegal tobacco trade has been one of the "worst public policy disasters" in the world at present. He adds that Tasmania intends to crack down on the illicit trade, but warns that the issue needs to be addressed at federal level. NSW Health Minister Ryan Park says federal counterpart Mark Butler has ignored his call to reduce the excise tax.

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TASMANIA. DEPT OF JUSTICE, NEW SOUTH WALES. MINISTRY OF HEALTH, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HEALTH, DISABILITY AND AGEING

BHP Christmas work order penalty

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Original article by Ewin Hannan
The Australian – Page: 7 : 12-Nov-25

The Federal Court has ordered BHP’s Operation Services labour firm to compensate 85 miners who were directed to work at the Daunia coal mine in Queensland on Christmas Day and Boxing Day in 2019. Operation Services will be required to pay a total of $83,700 in compensation, plus a penalty of $15,000. The Mining and Energy Union’s Queensland president Mitch Hughes says the workers had been directed to work on the public holidays with no consultation or agreement. The workers will be each be paid between $800 and $2,400 each. BHP sold the Daunia mine to Whitehaven Coal in 2024.

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BHP GROUP LIMITED – ASX BHP, OPERATION SERVICES, FEDERAL COURT OF AUSTRALIA, WHITEHAVEN COAL LIMITED – ASX WHC

Dire defence warning to PM, at eleventh hour

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Original article by Jamie Walker
The Australian – Page: 1 & 5 : 12-Nov-25

Retired army major-general Greg Melick has used a Remembrance Day speech at the Australian War Memorial to criticise the federal government’s spending on defence. Melick contended that Australia needs a "grand strategy" to be prepared for war amid the deteriorating security situation in the Indo-Pacific region; he warned of the risk that defence spending may become a "matter of what we can afford and not what we need". The nation’s defence budget is slated to rise from about two per cent of GDP at present to 2.33 per cent over the next decade. Melick is also the outgoing national president of the RSL.

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AUSTRALIAN WAR MEMORIAL, THE RETURNED AND SERVICES LEAGUE OF AUSTRALIA LIMITED

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence drops 1pt to 83.5 after higher-than-expected ABS CPI for September quarter and in the week the RBA left interest rates unchanged

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 12-Nov-25

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence fell 1pt to 83.5 in the week to 9 November; it is now 3.2pts lower than a year ago (86.7), and 3pts below the 2025 weekly average of 86.5. Analysis by State shows mixed results, with Consumer Confidence down in New South Wales, Queensland and South Australia, but up in Victoria and Western Australia. Now 21% of Australians (down 1ppt) say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year, while 44% (up 2ppts) say their families are ‘worse off’. Looking forward, 28% (up 2ppts) of respondents expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, while 31% (down 2ppts) expect to be ‘worse off’. Meanwhile, 8% (down 2ppts) of respondents expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months, while 30% (down 2ppts) expect ‘bad times’. Only 20% (down 1ppt) of Australians say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 37% (up 2ppts) say now is a ‘bad time to buy’.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ