O75 Public Administration

Covid kickstart: states fire up

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Original article by David Penberthy, Paul Garvey, Simon Benson
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 4-May-20

The easing of coronavirus lockdown restrictions will be considered by the national cabinet earlier than expected, due to the rapid take-up of the CovidSafe app. However, the South Australian government will relax some restrictions, such as allowing children to visit playgrounds and skate parks, while travel within the state may be permitted within days. Premier Steven Marshall says the state is on track to eliminate the virus rather than simply suppressing it. Western Australia recently permitted residents to gather in groups of 10 and lifted restrictions on some recreational activities. Meanwhile, the eastern states are keeping lockdown restrictions in place for now.

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SOUTH AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PREMIER AND CABINET

Good news and bad debt

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Original article by Terry McCrann
Sunday Herald Sun – Page: 63 : 3-May-20

The advice from Australian Banking Association CEO Anna Bligh that "so far" more than 320,000 home loan borrowers and 170,000 businesses have had loan repayments deferred is a mix of ‘good’ news and ‘bad’ news. Clearly the numbers who need repayments deferred "will increase". Some "good news" for the government is Roy Morgan’s April estimate of Australia’s unemployed and under-employed, down 439,000 on the last 2 weeks in March – however, it only dropped because of the government’s JobKeeper scheme. If JobKeeper numbers were added to those who are unemployed and under-employed then "real joblessness" is probably around a third of the workforce, with not one person from the public sector ‘out-of-work’. Even with Australian banks proactively playing their part the post-virus reality is not going to be "a walk in the park" – assuming it is allowed!

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AUSTRALIAN BANKING ASSOCIATION, ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Business cashflow assistance tops $6bn

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Original article by Geoff Chambers, Patrick Commins
The Australian – Page: 4 : 1-May-20

Prime Minister Scott Morrison says the federal government’s tax-free cashflow payments have assisted employers to remain in business during the coronavirus pandemic. New figures show that some 343,211 small businesses and non-profit organisations had collectively received $6.09bn worth of cashflow payments by 28 April. Eligible businesses are entitled to receive payments of between $20,000 and $100,000; the average amount received to date is $17,700 per business. The government estimates that about 720,000 businesses will be eligible for the payments.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Aussie workers among highest taxed in OECD

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Original article by Tom McIlroy
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 10 : 1-May-20

New figures show that workers in OECD member nations had an average income tax rate of 15.8 per cent in 2019. However, Australian workers on the average wage paid an income tax rate of 23.6 per cent. Denmark, Iceland and Belgium were the only OECD nations that had a higher average income tax rate. Grant Wardell-Johnson of KPMG notes that personal income tax accounts for nearly half of Australia’s tax base.

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ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT, KPMG AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

All the way with ScoMo on China

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Original article by Ben Packham, Cameron Stewart
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 1-May-20

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is supporting Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s push for an independent review into the origins of COVID-19. Pompeo says all nations should back Australia’s call for such a review, while he attacked China for threatening economic retaliation against Australia over its review push. Billionaires Andrew Forrest and Kerry Stokes have been criticised by security experts and MPs over their comments that Morrison to back off on his call for a review, with Stokes and Forrest reminded that they should not confuse Australia’s national interest with their own commercial interests.

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UNITED STATES. DEPT OF STATE, SEVEN WEST MEDIA LIMITED – ASX SWM

Government payments outweigh wage slump

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Original article by Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 29-Apr-20

New figures from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia highlight the impact of the coronavirus on the labour market. Its analysis shows that there has been a 50 per cent increase in the number of CBA bank accounts that are receiving JobSeeker payments. Senior economist Gareth Aird says the increase in government benefits that have been paid since the onset of the pandemic has been greater than the fall in wages and salaries paid into CBA accounts to date. Meanwhile, CBA expects the savings rate to rise significantly in the June quarter.

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COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA

Economic hit outpaces Great Depression

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Original article by Matthew Cranston, Tom McIlroy
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 29-Apr-20

Treasury officials have told a parliamentary inquiry that Virgin Australia is not the only company that has sought government assistance due to the coronavirus pandemic. Treasury Secretary Steven Kennedy has warned that some businesses will not recover from the crisis. He also said the expected rapid rise in Australia’s unemployment rate will be unprecedented. The jobless rate is forecast to reach 10 per cent in June; Kennedy noted that while unemployment rose much higher during the Great Depression, it did so over several years.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, VIRGIN AUSTRALIA HOLDINGS LIMITED – ASX VAH

Budget impact may be lessened by quicker recovery

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 2 : 29-Apr-20

The federal government is hopeful that Australia’s success in containing the coronavirus will result in the JobKeeper wage subsidy scheme costing far less than the $130bn that has been budgeted. The government had expected about six million workers to access the payment; Treasury secretary Steven Kennedy has told a parliamentary inquiry that there have been 540,000 applications from employers to date, covering about 3.3 million workers. The cost of the JobSeeker package for the unemployed may also end up being less than forecast.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

L-NP support jumps as Australia responds well to COVID-19 pandemic

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-Apr-20

In the last month support for the L-NP has jumped 4.5% and recovered from a poor response to the summer bushfires, according to the latest Roy Morgan Poll. L-NP 51.5% now leads the ALP 48.5% on a two-party preferred basis following Government’s successful response to COVID-19 with now only a handful of new cases being announced. L-NP support is now significantly higher than their February low of only 45% when voters were not impressed by Prime Minister Scott Morrison and his Government’s handling of the bushfires.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence increases for fourth straight week, up 0.8pts to 85.0

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-Apr-20

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence rose 1% to 85.0 in the week to 26 April, although the gain was much smaller than over the prior three weeks. Now 19% (down 1ppt) of Australians say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year, while 40% (down 1ppt) say their families are ‘worse off’ financially. Meanwhile, 30% (down 6ppts) of Australians expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, and 22% (down 2ppts) expect to be ‘worse off’ financially. However, just 6% (up 1ppt) expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months, while 48% (down 6ppts) expect ‘bad times’. In addition, 25% (down 3ppts) of Australians say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 38% (down 9ppts) say now is a ‘bad time to buy’. The four-week moving average for ‘inflation expectations’ fell 0.1ppt to 3.7%. The weekly reading bumped to 3.6% from 3.1%.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ