O75 Public Administration

‘Reckless’: Penny Wong condemns Peter Dutton’s threats to cut ties with International Criminal Court

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Original article by Daniel Hurst
The Guardian Australia – Page: Online : 4-Jun-24

Foreign Minister Penny Wong has used a Senate estimates hearing to attack Opposition leader Peter Dutton over what she claims is his "reckless" threat to sever Australia’s ties with the International Criminal Court, claiming it would make it harder for Australia to insist that China follow international law. Wong also used the hearing to attack the Greens for "participating in protests which have become violent and aggressive"; the Greens later issued a statement in which it stated that the party supported "peaceful protests", and that Wong’s assertions were incorrect.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS AND TRADE, INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT

Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine explains what has driven the ALP’s resurgence over the past week to take the two-party preferred lead once more

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Jun-24

The Albanese Government has regained the advantage on a two-party preferred basis with the ALP on 52% ahead of the Coalition on 48% – a return to the Roy Morgan Poll results for the four-week stretch from April 15 – May 12. Primary support for the ALP increased 2.5% to 31% and helped power the Government back into the two-party preferred lead. The rise in support came after the Government issued a new directive to prioritise community safety and dump the former policy known as ‘Directive 99’ when dealing with foreign-born criminals released from Australian prisons. On a gender basis the two-party preferred swing was larger among men than women – with both genders now preferring the ALP over the Coalition. Analysis of results on a State-by-State basis shows the swing to the ALP was most significant in the three largest States of New South Wales (+7%), Victoria (+6%) and Queensland (+4.5%). In addition to the ‘national issues’, it is worth noting the Miles ALP Government in Queensland reduced all public transport fares to 50 cent for the next six months – a significant saving amounting to thousands of dollars for many commuters in Brisbane. In New South Wales, the Minns ALP Government announced that Australia’s largest coal-fired power station, Eraring, would have its operating life extended for two years until 2027. This will secure lower energy prices over the next two years for residents of New South Wales.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

ALP Government regains the initiative after vowing to dump Directive 99 and the tragedy in Papua New Guinea grabbed the headlines: ALP 52% cf. ALP 48%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Jun-24

The Albanese Government has regained the lead on a two-party preferred basis: ALP 52% (up 3.5%) ahead of the Coalition 48% (down 3.5%). If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would be re-elected with a slim majority as they have now, the latest Roy Morgan survey shows. Support for the Government improved after dumping the controversial ‘Directive 99’ and issuing a new directive to ensure community safety outweighs any other consideration when assessing the visa conditions of foreign-born criminals released from Australian prisons. In addition, the terrible landslide in Papua New Guinea, which buried as many as 2,000 people, dominated news headlines; while there finally appears to be progress towards peace in the Middle East with Israel and Hamas considering a three-phase peace deal to end the conflict. Primary support for the ALP increased 2.5% to 31% and support for the Coalition was down 1% to 36%. This is the closest the two parties have been since before the Federal Budget in early May. Support for the Greens was down 1% to 14%, support for One Nation decreased 1.5% to 4.5%, support for Other Parties was up 1% to 5.5% and support for Independents was unchanged at 9%.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, ONE NATION PARTY

Number of days since Giles’ last blunder: 0

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Original article by Simon Benson, Rhiannon Down
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 4-Jun-24

The future of Immigration Minister Andrew Giles is under renewed scrutiny after he admitted that drones are not being used to monitor foreign-born criminals who were released into the community due to the High Court’s NZYQ ruling. However, Giles claimed that he had relied on advice from Department of Home Affairs officials when he initially claimed that 28 violent offenders were being monitored via drones. Meanwhile, it has been revealed that the controversial Ministerial Directive 99 was introduced in response to pressure from the New Zealand government over the deportation of NZ-born criminals. A government spokeswoman has indicated that Giles will announce a replacement for Directive 99 by the end of this week.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HOME AFFAIRS, HIGH COURT OF AUSTRALIA

Prime Minister Luxon’s honeymoon is over as National support crashes to lowest since the NZ Election after sacking two ministers in late April

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-May-24

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for May 2024 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) has fallen by 4.5% points to 48.5%; it now has a narrow lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition (up 4% points to 47%. support for National was down 3% points to 33.5% – the lowest support for National since last year’s election; support for ACT decreased 1.5% points to 9.5% while support for NZ First was unchanged at 5.5%. Support for Labour jumped 5.5% points to 30%, to its highest level since June 2023; support for the Greens was up 1% point to 14% and support for the Maori Party was down 2.5% points to 3%. A further 4.5% (up 0.5% points) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for May would lead to 61 seats (down seven seats from the election) being won by the current National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition compared to 59 seats (up four seats) for the Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party Opposition. This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 925 electors from April 22 to May 19. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating increased by 10.5pts to 96 in May.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence decreased 1.8pts to 80.2 as views about the next year deteriorate

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-May-24

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence fell 1.8pts to 80.2 in the week to 26 May; it has now spent a record 69 straight weeks below the mark of 85. Consumer Confidence is now 4 points above the same week a year ago (76.2), but 2.1 points below the 2024 weekly average of 82.3. Consumer Confidence was down in NSW, Queensland, WA and SA but up slightly in Victoria – reversing the trends of a week ago. Now 22% of Australians (up 2ppts) say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year, while 51% (up 1ppt) say their families are ‘worse off’. Looking forward, 31% (down 2ppts) of Australians expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, while 35% (up 2ppts) expect to be ‘worse off’ (the highest figure for this indicator so far this year). Now 8% (down 3ppts) of Australians expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months, while 35% (up 2ppts) expect ‘bad times’. Meanwhile, 21% (down 1ppt) of Australians say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 51% (up 1ppt) say now is a ‘bad time to buy’.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations in late May have dropped to 4.9% after spiking in April as petrol prices increased

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-May-24

The latest weekly ANZ-Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations are at 4.9% for the week of May 20-26. This represents a slight decline from the average so far this year of 5.0%, and a pullback from the month of April (5.2%). A look at monthly Inflation Expectations for April 2024 shows the measure at 5.2% for the month – the highest monthly figure so far this year and up 0.3% points from March 2024 (4.9%). This is the largest monthly increase in Inflation Expectations since June 2023, when the measure increased 0.4% points to 5.6%. Looking back over the last few months, since the start of the year, weekly Inflation Expectations have moved in a narrow band of 4.8% – 5.3% and averaged 5.0%. The data for the Inflation Expectations series is drawn from the Roy Morgan Single Source, which has interviewed an average of around 5,100 Australians aged 14+ per month over the last decade, and includes interviews with 7,593 Australians aged 14+ in April 2024.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Rapist attacks 25 women, teen – and keeps his visa

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Original article by Paul Garvey, Rhiannon Down
The Australian – Page: 1 & 5 : 29-May-24

The federal government is continuing to attract scrutiny over Direction 99, which requires the Administrative ­Appeals Tribunal to take into account a foreign-born offender’s ties to Australia in assessing an appeal against the cancellation of their visa. It has been revealed that a serial rapist, a child sex offender and a Chinese national who was in possession of a huge quantity of child pornography are amongst those who have had their visas reinstated due to Direction 99. It has also been disclosed that Immigration Minister Andrew Giles’ own department had warned that about 25 per cent of foreign-born criminals could have the cancellation of their visa overturned via Direction 99.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HEALTH AND AGED CARE, AUSTRALIA. ADMINISTRATIVE APPEALS TRIBUNAL

1200 Chinese spies on Aussie turf, former spook reveals

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Original article by Kathryn Bermingham
Herald Sun – Page: Online : 29-May-24

A former Chinese spy has told the Defending Australia summit that the nation has been infiltrated by many operatives from his homeland. ‘Eric’ warned that at least 1,200 Chinese spies are currently active in Australia; this includes about 1,000 "low-level" operatives and an additional 200 "professional" operatives. Eric said that most of the spies are being directed by China’s Ministry of State Security, the Public Security Bureau or a consulate, and that they are collecting information, undertaking surveillance and harassing targets on behalf of the Communist regime.

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We can’t mount solo defence against invasion any more: Beazley

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Original article by Ben Packham, Sarah Ison, Joe Kelly
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 29-May-24

Defence Minister Richard Marles delivered a keynote speech at the Defending Australia summit in Canberra on Tuesday night. He said the world is currently facing the most threatening strategic circumstance since the end of World War II, and emphasised the importance of the AUKUS alliance to Australia’s defence strategy. However, former Labor leader Kim Beazley told the summit that Australia’s military can longer defend the nation from invasion without support from the US; he argued that the nation was ”absolutely" able to defend itself when he was defence minister in the 1980s.

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AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF DEFENCE