ASSET ALLOCATION

Thriving US equities tipped to defy global risks

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 11-Feb-20

Kevin Anderson of State Street Global Advisors expects US economic growth to slow in 2020, but he says the country is unlikely to go into recession. Anderson adds that the asset manager has an overweight exposure to equities, and it is particularly upbeat about US shares. He says earnings will be a major driver of returns from equities in 2020, and the US is less vulnerable to an earnings shock than other markets. Meanwhile, Anderson is not unduly concerned about a recent flattening of the US yield curve, saying it was primarily due to 10-year bonds being regarded as a safe-haven investment.

CORPORATES
STATE STREET GLOBAL ADVISORS INCORPORATED

Share indexes tipped to test recent lows

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 27 : 15-Feb-18

Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Bull & Bear Indicator suggests that global equities face a further pullback and could fall to around the level seen during the recent sharemarket rout. Meanwhile, BAML’s latest survey of fund managers shows that respondents’ average cash balance has risen by 0.3 per cent to 4.7 per cent, while equity allocation has fallen by 12 per cent and bond allocation has fallen to the lowest level in two decades.

CORPORATES
BANK OF AMERICA NA, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, MSCI ALL COUNTRY WORLD INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC

Christmas rally shows no sign of slowdown

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 18 : 21-Dec-17

The latest survey of fund managers by Bank of America Merrill Lynch suggests that the global sharemarket rally may continue into 2018. The December survey shows that the average cash balance of respondents has increased from 4.4 per cent to 4.7 per cent, compared with the average over the last decade of 4.5 per cent. The survey also found that 54 per cent of the 203 respondents expect global economic growth to be above trend over the next year, while inflation is expected to be below trend.

CORPORATES
BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, FACEBOOK INCORPORATED, APPLE INCORPORATED, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, ALPHABET INCORPORATED, BAIDU.COM INCORPORATED, ALIBABA.COM CORPORATION, TENCENT HOLDINGS LIMITED, BELL POTTER SECURITIES LIMITED

Fund managers wind back expectations and hoard a little extra cash

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 28 : 17-Aug-17

Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s latest survey of fund managers shows that just 33 per cent expect a rise in global corporate profits in the next 12 months, compared with 58 per cent in February 2017. Chief investment strategist ­Michael Hartnett says the survey provides a "warning sign" of the likely performance of shares against bonds, as well as cyclical stocks against defensive stocks. The survey also found that the average cash balance of the 174 respondents is now 4.9 per cent, compared with an average of 4.5 per cent over the last decade.

CORPORATES
BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, MSCI WORLD INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, NASDAQ, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK

Pressure mounts on hedge funds over fees

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Original article by James Thomson
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 20 : 24-Jul-17

Investors in hedge funds are seeking a better deal on fees, as well as more flexible fee structures, according to a survey by Credit Suisse. The survey, which encompassed upwards of 200 corporate investors, also found that just under 90 per cent of investors who had withdrawn monies from poorly performing hedge funds intended to reinvest in the sector, and that 57 per cent of hedge funds envisage at least a "moderate" increase in their allotment to quantitative strategies.

CORPORATES
CREDIT SUISSE AG

Traders pour into gold as tensions rise

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Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 32 : 13-Apr-17

The price of gold has rallied in recent weeks as growing geopolitical tensions prompt renewed investor support for "safe haven" assets. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year US Treasuries recently reached a five-month low and it is again testing this level, while the VIX volatility index has risen to its highest level in five months. However, Joseph Capurso of the Commonwealth Bank says the continued strength of the US dollar suggests that recent financial market trends do not constitute a "global risk-off event".

CORPORATES
CHICAGO BOARD OPTIONS EXCHANGE VOLATILITY INDEX, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, MORGAN STANLEY CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL ALL COUNTRY WORLD INDEX, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED

Clinton victory set to unleash a ‘wave of cash’ into global markets

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Original article by David Rogers, Glenda Korporaal, Michael Bennet
The Australian – Page: 19 & 32 : 8-Nov-16

The Australian sharemarket rallied on 7 November 2016, after a new FBI probe cleared US presidential candidate Hillary Clinton over the use of a private email server. AMP Capital’s Nader Naeimi says investors are likely to reallocate cash holdings to higher-risk assets if Clinton wins the election. Meanwhile, Paul Donovan of UBS has warned that world trade and global capital flows could be disrupted if Donald Trump becomes president.

CORPORATES
STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, UBS AG, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, NIKKEI 225 INDEX, NZSX-50 INDEX, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD

Trump might win, and beware the turmoil

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Original article by Matthew Cranston
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 15 & 20 : 26-Oct-16

Hedge fund expert Jim Rogers says global financial market volatility is likely regardless of the outcome of the US presidential election. Rogers adds that a number of other factors will also contribute to looming financial market turbulence. He cautions against investing in bonds, and says investors should seek exposure to the agricultural sector, including farmland and agricultural futures. Rogers also says the Australian Government should take action to address the nation’s growing debt.

CORPORATES
QUANTUM FUND NV, APPLE INCORPORATED, AMAZON.COM INCORPORATED, GOOGLE INCORPORATED, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, PARAWAY PASTORAL COMPANY LIMITED

Anglo American rallies to the defence of coal

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Original article by Peter Ker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 11-Jun-15

Anglo American spokesman James Wyatt-Tilby notes that coal is used to generate about 41 per cent of global electricity supply at present. He expects coal to remain a primary source of energy supply for many years, and argues that a global push for investment funds to eliminate their exposure to coal producers will have no impact on demand. However, he says it will result in less funding for initiatives aimed at reducing carbon emissions.

CORPORATES
ANGLO AMERICAN PLC, AXA SA, OXFORD UNIVERSITY, UNISUPER LIMITED, AMP CAPITAL INVESTORS LIMITED, AMP LIMITED – ASX AMP, HUNTER HALL INTERNATIONAL LIMITED – ASX HHL, GROUP OF SEVEN (G-7), GLENCORE PLC, PEABODY ENERGY CORPORATION

Fundies move to cash as risks increase

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Original article by Bianca Hartge-Hazelman
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 15-Aug-14

A survey of 224 fund managers by Bank of America Merrill Lynch shows that 27 per cent have an overweight position on cash investments, compared with 12 per cent in July. Factors such as geopolitical tensions and renewed volatility in equity markets has prompted many fund managers to rebalance their portfolios in favour of cash rather than shares. There has also been a sharp fall in the number of investors who are overweight on equities

CORPORATES
BANK OF AMERICA CORPORATION, MERRILL LYNCH AND COMPANY INCORPORATED, BT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX BTT, STANDARD AND POOR’S 500 INDEX, STANDARD AND POOR’S ASX 200 INDEX, AQUASIA PTY LTD