Shorten fell for elites, says Trump strategist

Original article by Cameron Stewart
The Australian – Page: 1 & 6 : 21-May-19

Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s unexpected election win has been likened to Donald Trump’s US presidential election victory in 2016. Steve Bannon, Trump’s former chief strategist, says there were similarities between the US businessman’s "forgotten people" and Morrison’s "quiet Australians". He believes that as was the case in the US, many Australian voters were reluctant to tell pollsters that they supported Morrison. Bannon adds that former Labor leader Bill Shorten had focused on "inner-city elites" rather than ordinary Australian families.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT

GetUp to get what’s coming: Dutton

Original article by Brad Norington
The Australian – Page: 5 : 21-May-19

Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton claims activist group GetUp spent over $1 million in its unsuccessful attempt to remove him from his seat of Dickson at the federal election. Dutton has accused GetUp of being a front for the Greens and Labor, and says it engaged in "deceptive", "undemocratic" and "unrepresentative" conduct. Dutton says he would back efforts by Liberal MPs Ben Morton and Eric Abetz to get the Australian Electoral Commission to declare that GetUp is an "associated" political entity of either the Greens and Labor, which would damage its stance of being independent.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HOME AFFAIRS, GETUP LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Unions try to fathom loss of workers’ vote

Original article by David Marin-Guzman
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 21-May-19

Analysis of voting at the federal election indicates that the labour movement needs to do a better job of communicating with working-class voters, following Labor’s shock loss. BCG Gamma has found that electorates with households with a median weekly income of more than $1,800 preferred to vote for Labor rather than the Coalition, as were electorates where more voters had a higher education. Union leaders suggest that working-class voters steered away from Labor over a range of issues, including its proposed changes to negative gearing and its mixed messages on the Adani coal mine. The ACTU is tipped to review its $10 million ‘Change the Rules’ advertising campaign in the wake of the election.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, BCG GAMMA, ACTU, ELECTRICAL TRADES UNION, VICTORIAN TRADES HALL COUNCIL

Libs ahead in three of six undecided seats

Original article by Rachel Baxendale, Sarah Elks
The Australian – Page: 5 : 21-May-19

The Coalition remains one seat short of the 76 lower house seats needed to form majority government. The outcome of six seats is still in doubt, although the Coalition had a slim lead in the seats of Macquarie, Bass and Chisholm on 20 May. Labor in turn had a narrow lead in the seats of Cowan, Lilley and Corangamite. Postal and absentee votes may determine the final result in all seats that are still in doubt.

CORPORATES
LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL-NATIONAL PARTY OF QUEENSLAND

Search for rival to take on Albanese

Original article by Ben Packham, Greg Brown
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 21-May-19

There is growing support within Labor – including members of the party’s Right faction – for the Left’s Anthony Albanese to succeed Bill Shorten as Opposition leader. However, some members of the party’s Right believe that the faction should field its own candidate. There is speculation that Shorten himself will support a candidate from the Right, after deputy leader Tanya Plibersek chose not to contest the leadership for family reasons. Chris Bowen and Jim Chalmers are seen as the most likely Right faction contenders to challenge for the leadership.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Labor punished for not backing coal jobs, Fitzgibbon says

Original article by Mark Ludlow
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 6 : 21-May-19

Adani Mining CEO Lucas Dow says the Queensland government needs to take note of Labor’s poor showing in the state at the federal election, describing it as a referendum on the Carmichael coal project. State Labor MPs are worried about the impact that the government’s delay in approving the mine will have on its fortunes at the state election in 2020. Federal Labor frontbencher Joel Fitzgibbon says the party needs to show more support for the coal industry and the jobs it creates; he suffered a 10 per cent swing against him in the coal mining seat of Hunter.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, QUEENSLAND RESOURCES COUNCIL LIMITED, QUEENSLAND. DEPT OF ENVIRONMENT AND HERITAGE PROTECTION, ADANI MINING PTY LTD

Cut-down crossbench boosts PM

Original article by Rosie Lewis
The Australian – Page: 3 : 20-May-19

Political strategist Glenn Druery expects the Coalition to have 33 or 34 seats in the new Senate, compared with 30 in the previous parliament. The Coalition’s prospects of passing bills in the upper house are also likely to be enhanced by a significantly smaller crossbench, which is expected to be reduced from 12 to six in the new Senate. Druery says the Coalition’s Senate voting reforms in 2016 have made it harder for ordinary Australians to win seats in the upper house.

CORPORATES
LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, ONE NATION PARTY, LIBERAL-NATIONAL PARTY OF QUEENSLAND, PALMER UNITED PARTY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, CENTRE ALLIANCE, AUSTRALIAN CONSERVATIVES

Albo, Plibersek to fight it out

Original article by Ben Packham, Greg Brown
The Australian – Page: 5 : 20-May-19

Bill Shorten has indicated that he is keen to have a seat on Labor’s frontbench after stepping down as Opposition leader following the federal election loss. Deputy leader Tanya Plibersek intends to contest the leadership, as will fellow Labor Left faction member Anthony Albanese. Shadow treasurer Chris Bowen and finance spokesman Jim Chalmers – both members of the Right faction – are also considering a tilt at the leadership, with the latter advising that he will wait to see what Bowen decides to do.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Messiah from The Shire

Original article by Simon Benson
The Australian – Page: 1 & 2 : 20-May-19

Prime Minister Scott Morrison has identified a number of immediate priorities for the Coalition’s third term in office. They include the income tax cuts package, counter-­terrorism legislation and fixing shortcomings in the National Disability Insurance Scheme. Morrison wants to reconvene federal parliament as quickly as possible, saying the election win has given the Coalition a mandate for its Budget reforms. He says the election result came down to the final week of campaigning. The Coalition currently has 75 seats in the lower house, one short of being able to form a majority government; five seats remain in doubt.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, ONE NATION PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Scott Morrison wins surprise Federal Election

Original article by Gary Morgan, Michele Levine, Julian McCrann
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 20-May-19

Saturday’s Federal Election results shows the L-NP Government will likely be returned with a small majority. Analysis of the polls show all polls significantly underestimated the L-NP primary vote. The Roy Morgan Poll a week before the Federal Election had L-NP support at 38.5% – 2.9% lower than their actual vote of 41.4%. Roy Morgan throughout the election campaign period showed from survey data that: The Federal Election would be close – even a ‘Hung Parliament’ was possible. There will be many views and reasons posed for why Saturday’s election result was a victory for the Morrison led L-NP. The question still to be answered is whether: All polls were wrong in underestimating the L-NP (38.5% vs. 41.4%) vote during the whole election campaign (the Trump Factor), or did electors change their minds in the last week – after the death of former ALP Prime Minister Bob Hawke (much loved) and Shorten who on the last day raised the ‘ghost’ of Gough Whitlam ignoring electors concerns of bad economic news resulting in a fall in the $AUD and the escalation of the US/China ‘trade war’. Morrison never changed his message that a Coalition Government would ‘Cut taxes’ while Labor would ‘Increase tax’ on Incomes, Capital gains and ‘Super’, eliminate Franking credits and cut Negative gearing. The revenue raised would then be used to increase wages and massive Government spending on Health, Education and other areas including ‘Climate Change’. Morrison refused to be drawn into the debate on ‘Climate Change’ like Fraser in 1975 refused to be drawn into the debate on the ‘Dismissal’ – both issues having no relevance to ‘day-to-day’ living costs which easily concerned the electorate the most – as it did in 1975. While preferences from One Nation (vote 3%) and Palmer’s United Australian Party (vote 3.4%) enabled the Coalition to win sufficient seats to retain Government the ALP vote was at a low 33.9% – down 1.1% on the last Federal Election. View full release here.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, ONE NATION PARTY, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY