Original article by Ronald Mizen
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 8 : 22-Dec-21
The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s monthly board meeting for December show that the central bank remains upbeat about the outlook for the economy. The RBA does not expect the new Omicron variant of COVID-19 to "derail" the nation’s economic recovery. However, the variant may affect the RBA’s timetable for winding back quantitative easing.
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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA
Original article by Cecile Lefort
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 27 : 20-Oct-21
The minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest monthly board meeting show that it still expects the cash rate to remain on hold until 2024, when inflation is forecast to be sustainably within its target range of 2-3 per cent. However, the consensus of economists is that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy in mid-2023. Judo Bank’s chief economist Warren Hogan says the first rate rise could potentially be in November 2022, while Su-Lin Ong of RBC Capital Markets expects a rate rise in the December 2023 quarter.
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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, JUDO BANK PTY LTD, RBC CAPITAL MARKETS
Original article by John Kehoe
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 6 : 8-Sep-21
Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe has warned that GDP is likely to decline "materially" in the September quarter due to COVID-19 lockdowns. However, he believes that the economy will rebound as vaccination rates increase and restrictions are eased, and growth in the December quarter will allow Australia to avoid a technical recession. The central bank left official interest rates on hold at 0.1 per cent at its September board meeting; it has also advised that its bond-buying program will be maintained at the current level until at least February 2022.
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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA
Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 19 : 21-Jul-21
The Reserve Bank of Australia recently signalled that it will begin scaling back its bond-buying program in September, amid the nation’s stronger-than-expected economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. However, economists at a number of banks anticipate that the potential economic impact of the latest wave of lockdowns will prompt the central bank to delay plans to slash its bond-buying program by $1bn a week. Gareth Aird from the Commonwealth Bank says the RBA could potentially start to reduce its bond purchases in November.
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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, COMMS GROUP LIMITED – ASX CCG
Original article by David Rogers
The Australian – Page: 13 & 20 : 9-Jul-21
Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe has downplayed speculation that it could begin tightening monetary policy in 2022. Lowe has told the Economics Society of Queensland that inflation must be "sustainably" within the RBA’s target range of 2-3 per cent before it will consider a rise in the official interest rate; he added that wage growth of at least three per cent is likely to be needed for inflation to reach the central bank’s target range, while wages growth is "materially" less than three per cent at present. George Tharenou of UBS expects the RBA to abandon its bond yield target in the second half of 2022, which would enable it to increase the cash rate in 2023.
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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD
Original article by William McInnes
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 25 : 7-Jul-21
Marcel Thieliant of Capital Economics now expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to begin tightening monetary policy in early 2023, and he has flagged a cash rate of 0.75 per cent by the end of that year. RBA governor Philip Lowe has previously reiterated that interest rates are likely to remain at 0.1 per cent until at least 2024, but he indicated in a statement on 6 July that this is now merely its "central scenario" and the conditions that could justify a rate rise could be met earlier than this. Interest rate futures pricing also suggests that the cash rate could begin rising earlier than expected.
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CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA
Original article by Cliona O’Dowd, David Swan
The Australian – Page: 14 : 12-Jan-21
Reserve Bank of New Zealand governor Adrian Orr says the central bank is treating a data breach as a top priority, and the National Cyber Security Centre has been informed of the incident. Orr says the hackers had targeted Accellion rather than the RBNZ’s own computer systems; Accellion provides a third-party file-sharing service which the central bank uses to share and store sensitive information. Spotless is among the Australian companies that were targeted by hackers in 2020, and Prime Minister Scott Morrison warned in June of a rise in cyber attacks in both the public and private sectors.
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RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND, ACCELLION INCORPORATED, SPOTLESS GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET
Original article by Patrick Commins
The Australian – Page: 4 : 4-Nov-20
Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe has conceded that retirees and savers will be hard hit by the decision to reduce the cash rate to a record low of 0.1 per cent. However, Lowe contends that they need to be mindful of the "collective good", arguing that lower rates will benefit the broader community by supporting spending and creating jobs. Rice Warner’s executive director Michael Rice notes that retirees who are only partly self-funded will be particularly hard hit by the decline in deposit rates, and many will become more reliant on the age pension.
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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, RICE WARNER ACTUARIES PTY LTD
Original article by Patrick Commins
The Australian – Page: 1 & 4 : 4-Nov-20
Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe has flagged the use of "additional monetary policy options" if necessary, after reducing the cash rate to a record low and announcing a quantitative easing program. Lowe has indicated that the cash rate will remain at 0.1 per cent for 3-5 years, while the RBA’s three-year bond rate target has also been reduced to 0.1 per cent. Meanwhile, former RBA board member John Edwards has hailed the "courageous" and "historic" decision to pursue quantitative easing. The central bank will purchase about $5bn worth of federal and state government bonds each week over the next six months.
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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA
Original article by David Rogers, Patrick Commins
The Australian – Page: 13 & 20 : 16-Oct-20
Expectations of an official interest rate cut in November have been heightened by comments made by Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe. He has told the Citi Investment conference that further easing of monetary policy is likely to "get more traction" as the economy re-opens than it would have at the COVID-19 pandemic’s peak. Kristina Clifton of the Commonwealth Bank says the RBA is likely to reduce the cash rate from 0.25 per cent to 0.1 per cent in November, and expand its bond-buying program to include five and 10-year government bonds.
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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA
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