BANKS AND BANKING

RBA needs to cut official interest rate to 1.5pc: ANZ

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 3 : 25-Sep-15

The ANZ Bank says Australia’s unemployment rate of 6.2 per cent is unlikely to fall significantly in the near-term due to factors such as slowing global economic growth and the uncertain outlook for the Chinese economy. Chief economist Warren Hogan warns that the unemployment rate could potentially rise over the next year or so. ANZ believes that a combination of factors means the Reserve Bank will have to reduce the cash rate in both February and May 2016.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY

Get used to lower growth, returns

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Original article by Vanessa Desloires
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 23 : 18-Sep-15

UBS Global Asset Management’s Tracey McNaughton believes that the US Federal Reserve should raise the cash rate in September 2015, but warns that financial markets may experience further volatility in the near-term regardless of its decision. McNaughton also says Australian investors can expect to receive lower returns in the future and should no longer rely on the traditional "set and forget" investment strategy.

CORPORATES
UBS GLOBAL ASSET MANAGEMENT (AUSTRALIA) LIMITED, UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, NIKKO ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP

Citi says 55pc chance of global recession

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Original article by Karen Maley
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 22 : 11-Sep-15

A new report from Citigroup’s chief economist Willem Buiter has raised the prospect of an emerging market-driven global recession. Buiter rates the chances of a global recession in the next two years at 55 per cent, warning that if the Chinese economy goes into recession it will have a flow-on effect on other emerging market economies. He adds that the limited scope for further interest rate cuts in developed economies may require central banks to consider more stimulus measures.

CORPORATES
CITIGROUP INCORPORATED

Fed urged to avoid panic with rate hike

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Original article by Jonathan Shapiro, Vesna Poljak
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 24 : 10-Sep-15

The US Federal Reserve is not expected to lift the cash rate in September 2015, with financial markets pricing in a 28 per cent chance. Kaushik Basu, chief economist at the World Bank, has expressed concern that emerging markets in particular are likely to experience an increase in volatility if the US tightens monetary policy.

CORPORATES
UNITED STATES. FEDERAL RESERVE BOARD, WORLD BANK, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK, ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT, BT INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LIMITED – ASX BTT

$A overshoots as iron ore export volumes up again

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Original article by Mark Mulligan
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 26 : 10-Sep-15

The Australian dollar is trading at around $US0.70, having recently fallen to $US0.6896. However, Annette Beacher of TD Securities argues that the rebound in the iron ore price means the currency should be trading at the $US0.76 level. Meanwhile, Beacher says the Reserve Bank is likely to maintain the cash rate at two per cent in the wake of the currency’s recent downturn.

CORPORATES
TD SECURITIES, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, CAPITAL ECONOMICS LIMITED, GROUP OF TEN (G-10)

Global investors want Australian assets: HSBC

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Original article by Larry Schlesinger
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 45 : 3-Sep-15

US, Canadian and European pension funds are seeking Australian commercial property because the long-term demographics look good, according to HSBC’s global head of corporate real estate, Andy Armstrong. Visiting from London, Armstrong says strong population growth, urban infrastructure renewal and a business-friendly environment make Australia a stand-out economy for real estate investment.

CORPORATES
HSBC BANK PLC, ERNST AND YOUNG, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, MACQUARIE BANK LIMITED – ASX MBL, HSBC BANK AUSTRALIA LIMITED

Reserve Bank calls out big banks on high credit card profits

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Original article by Shaun Drummond
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 21 : 20-Aug-15

The Reserve Bank of Australia says interest rates on credit cards, which spiked after the global financial crisis, have remained high despite the fall in the cash rate since then. Advertised rates have risen from 16 per cent eight years ago to about 20 per cent on standard credit cards. It is estimated the "spread" the banks earn on cards above the cost of funding them has risen from about six percentage points in 2007 to nine in the March quarter of 2015.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, RETAIL FINANCE INTELLIGENCE PTY LTD

RBA moves to cool housing will take time

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 19-Aug-15

Reserve Bank of Australia’s minutes of the July 2015 board meeting suggest that the central bank is likely to continue to keep the official interest rate at its current record low. The fall in the Australian dollar of five per cent against the US currency in June 2015 is expected to stimulate exports. The central bank noted that low interest rates had led to house price inflation.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, BARCLAYS BANK PLC

Hockey says yuan falls good news

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Original article by Lisa Murray, Jacob Greber, Tony Walker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1&8 : 14-Aug-15

Treasurer Joe Hockey is relaxed about the devaluation of the yuan, claiming it will assist China’s exporters, who are important buyers of Australian resources. Hockey has joined the International Monetary Fund and ratings agency Standard & Poor’s in supporting China’s more market-based foreign exchange policy.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION, CHINA. NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFORM COMMISSION, CHINA. MINISTRY OF FINANCE, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Hockey says yuan falls good news

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Original article by Lisa Murray, Jacob Greber, Tony Walker
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1&8 : 14-Aug-15

Treasurer Joe Hockey is relaxed about the devaluation of the yuan, claiming it will assist China’s exporters, who are important buyers of Australian resources. Hockey has joined the International Monetary Fund and ratings agency Standard & Poor’s in supporting China’s more market-based foreign exchange policy.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY, PEOPLE’S BANK OF CHINA, INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND, STANDARD AND POOR’S CORPORATION, CHINA. NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT AND REFORM COMMISSION, CHINA. MINISTRY OF FINANCE, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA